ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s7

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0947

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0537

actual -0.0220

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.295604	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.322111	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.296926	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.292939	-7.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.300141	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.286909	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.300407	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.27394	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.288564	-7.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.298427	-7.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.303217	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.303063	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.272964	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.285143	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.275971	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.298161	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.291675	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.301376	-7.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.283824	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.301338	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.304943	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.306872	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.310953	-7.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.299429	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.306018	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.302891	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.312916	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.31396	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.321009	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.315278	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.301412	-6.81%	0.31945	-1.24%	0.1185	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.258457	-6.66%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2708	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.262566	-6.78%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1900	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.266304	-6.94%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1546	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.236778	-6.49%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2460	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.233436	-6.29%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.2110	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.227311	-6.09%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2669	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.250537	-6.72%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.1235	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.242471	-6.63%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1710	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.243312	-6.63%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.2227	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.238626	-6.38%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.2328	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.239	-6.64%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.2317	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.234045	-6.16%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1742	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.235747	-6.52%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.2238	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.207929	-6.13%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.3029	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.24537	-7.27%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.2082	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.241738	-6.77%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1916	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.238084	-6.19%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.2317	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.248779	-5.55%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1684	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.245885	-5.63%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1908	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.238966	-5.02%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.2276	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.246031	-4.79%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.2337	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.235235	-4.72%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2801	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.239865	-4.32%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.2340	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.245712	-4.13%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.2155	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.251086	-2.91%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.2145	✗	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.255368	-2.72%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.2176	✗	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.256515	-2.24%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.2047	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.263141	-1.56%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.2085	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.262357	-1.63%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.1512	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.265169	-2.12%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0755	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.265288	-0.83%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0049	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.233085	-4.04%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0805	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.205134	-4.81%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1964	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.190823	-5.25%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1403	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.191818	-5.32%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.1183	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.193782	-5.52%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0576	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.191319	-5.52%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1472	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.195315	-5.64%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.1071	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.197116	-5.69%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0998	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.203266	-5.85%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0492	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.208306	-6.00%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0414	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.222839	-6.45%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0648	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.221149	-6.21%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0390	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.223846	-6.26%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.1867	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.221174	-6.12%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0099	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.219712	-6.15%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0262	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.212179	-5.82%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0074	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.209225	-5.75%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0184	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.204052	-5.62%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0712	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.202226	-5.55%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0399	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.191257	-5.32%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.1043	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.193623	-5.36%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0574	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.196424	-5.25%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0756	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.197268	-5.34%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0852	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.196367	-5.32%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0710	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.190177	-5.24%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1302	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.197589	-5.23%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.1229	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.203573	-5.45%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0862	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.204459	-5.47%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0935	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.208302	-5.45%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.1115	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.206644	-5.25%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.1045	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.211728	-5.27%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0535	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.20806	-5.34%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0192	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.208644	-5.42%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0353	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.20918	-5.39%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0277	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.209	-5.47%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0044	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.208058	-5.43%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0168	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.208362	-5.29%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0173	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.202047	-5.10%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0553	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.199187	-5.28%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0638	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.20963	-5.36%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0585	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.208585	-5.27%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.1309	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.207585	-5.17%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.1177	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.206853	-5.20%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.1198	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.209838	-5.31%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0783	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.210116	-5.14%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0947	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.2118	-5.06%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0534	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.205257	-4.93%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0722	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.202526	-4.87%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0603	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.202394	-4.89%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0434	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.19775	-4.88%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0042	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.193405	-4.91%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0178	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.18109	-4.89%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0558	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.192579	-4.90%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0332	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.192744	-4.91%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0191	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.19473	-4.92%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0164	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.195058	-4.90%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0010	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.201903	-4.94%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0068	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.209174	-4.96%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0037	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.210681	-4.88%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0164	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.210316	-4.83%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0114	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.207257	-4.80%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0372	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.207286	-4.74%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0468	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.204175	-4.72%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0630	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.203447	-4.71%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0605	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.209546	-4.67%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0601	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.215097	-4.66%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0440	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.222353	-4.69%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0075	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.215885	-4.64%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0056	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.211783	-4.65%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0189	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.21183	-4.62%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0422	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.210466	-4.59%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0427	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.20069	-4.57%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0548	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.206214	-4.62%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0387	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.202562	-4.63%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0999	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.202696	-4.70%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0885	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.199633	-4.76%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0733	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.204332	-4.78%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0250	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.21626	-4.86%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0076	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.225174	-4.91%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0408	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.240098	-5.17%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.0940	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.256265	-5.54%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1493	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.260492	-5.52%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2046	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.257294	-5.44%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1527	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.249357	-5.33%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1168	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.245592	-5.32%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.0917	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.255471	-5.42%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1263	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.268408	-5.46%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1346	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.263777	-5.22%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0428	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.269947	-5.31%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.0810	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.269843	-5.35%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1043	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.267973	-5.44%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1140	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.267094	-5.22%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1020	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.273468	-5.34%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1366	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.27206	-5.40%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1362	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.269702	-5.37%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1090	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.268463	-5.30%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.0856	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.273913	-5.32%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.0732	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.287879	-5.43%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1367	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.291509	-5.14%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1418	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.290572	-5.41%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1414	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.293552	-5.21%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1508	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.305329	-5.18%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2066	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.297011	-4.80%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1486	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.293297	-5.05%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.1776	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.293524	-5.13%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.1839	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.292413	-5.09%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.1730	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.300616	-4.84%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1289	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.302492	-5.00%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1544	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.286213	-4.85%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.0713	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.283519	-5.05%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0286	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.285941	-5.07%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0014	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.28693	-5.15%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0074	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.280859	-5.34%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0129	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.280999	-5.39%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0469	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.288049	-5.40%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.0838	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.288942	-5.20%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0449	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.296214	-5.00%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0219	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.300156	-5.31%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.0727	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.29649	-5.24%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0357	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.29885	-5.07%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0354	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.303079	-5.17%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0471	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.298236	-5.50%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.0653	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.298602	-5.60%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0448	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.300419	-5.94%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.0662	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.306752	-5.64%	0.285	-12.33%	0.0827	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.313273	-5.27%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1022	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.305428	-5.35%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.0764	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.29988	-5.16%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0165	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.295346	-5.13%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0115	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.291861	-4.96%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0136	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.284792	-5.35%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0063	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.298437	-5.20%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0097	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.290143	-5.03%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0024	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.284623	-5.09%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0133	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.28529	-5.16%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0101	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.284245	-5.00%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0176	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.283445	-5.30%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0056	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.280822	-5.22%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0282	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.280661	-5.34%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0364	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.270928	-5.20%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0010	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.273089	-5.21%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0016	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.278833	-5.19%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0038	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.265343	-5.03%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0422	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.260964	-5.07%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0504	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.257155	-5.07%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0773	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.265895	-5.11%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0399	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.271243	-5.13%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0316	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.275288	-5.04%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0636	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.280194	-4.89%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0573	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.278766	-4.92%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0547	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.281849	-4.91%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0625	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.271131	-5.03%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0765	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.27381	-5.03%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0829	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.275072	-4.98%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.1200	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.284387	-5.05%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0822	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.298916	-5.05%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0489	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.313291	-4.83%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0188	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.319408	-4.68%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0097	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.31061	-4.75%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0096	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.30079	-4.84%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0077	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.307417	-4.88%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0197	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.30112	-4.86%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0216	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.303147	-4.88%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0174	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.306123	-4.90%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0371	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.305212	-4.98%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0390	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.304884	-5.08%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.0747	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.302943	-5.00%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0274	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.304031	-4.96%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0343	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.299692	-4.80%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0246	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.308694	-4.64%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0220	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.314254	-4.97%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.0715	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.320821	-4.97%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.0795	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.327847	-5.16%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.1880	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.33706	-5.19%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2011	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.329656	-5.08%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.1975	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.337564	-5.05%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.1726	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.341779	-5.03%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1594	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.301491	-4.74%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.0890	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.283058	-4.73%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0281	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.280149	-4.78%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0154	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.289614	-4.76%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0065	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.290448	-4.80%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0156	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.295819	-4.82%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0475	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.305322	-4.82%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.0987	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.31336	-4.84%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.0724	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.313419	-4.88%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0220	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.315899	-4.91%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0149	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.355614	-5.12%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1133	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.35189	-5.10%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1195	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.343897	-5.03%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1402	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.342505	-5.02%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1031	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.359996	-5.21%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1484	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.364175	-5.26%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1346	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.374066	-5.42%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1466	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.378907	-5.51%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1559	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.384449	-5.61%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1275	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.339072	-4.81%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1092	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.346846	-4.90%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0111	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.346964	-4.92%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0292	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.339582	-4.96%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0441	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.328487	-5.01%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1337	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.344192	-5.05%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.1271	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.369951	-5.17%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.2016	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.387013	-5.26%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1697	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.401869	-5.22%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1929	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.408954	-5.27%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1658	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.403547	-5.27%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1658	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.405614	-5.34%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0873	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.410755	-5.29%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0395	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.410247	-5.28%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0020	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.414487	-5.30%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0143	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.424836	-5.38%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0066	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.409415	-5.36%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0592	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.430139	-5.30%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.1133	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.438462	-5.28%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.1192	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.44928	-5.22%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0842	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.454687	-5.17%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0950	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.465135	-5.21%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1768	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.484143	-5.20%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1586	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.43604	-4.90%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2548	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.424262	-5.19%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.2216	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.428913	-5.23%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.2272	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.430106	-5.26%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.2063	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.436235	-5.29%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2444	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.428981	-5.22%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2933	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.434716	-5.23%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2979	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.459465	-5.15%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.3078	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.47341	-5.22%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0912	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.465233	-5.34%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0263	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.460648	-5.33%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0531	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.465662	-5.41%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.0744	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.457239	-5.37%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0607	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.441947	-5.24%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.0696	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.46883	-5.46%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.0752	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.450995	-5.25%	0.424	-10.92%	0.0940	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.453461	-5.17%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.0686	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.410324	-4.91%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0307	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.40712	-4.95%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0626	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.409897	-4.96%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0272	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.420671	-4.98%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0008	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.423512	-5.00%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0019	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.442095	-5.03%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0033	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.45187	-5.07%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0385	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.470238	-5.19%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.0987	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.462275	-5.10%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.0819	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.430302	-4.97%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0467	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.439825	-4.98%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0507	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.432569	-4.97%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0112	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.427907	-5.02%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0197	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.451694	-5.05%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.0909	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.452833	-5.03%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0258	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.457374	-5.03%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0194	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.470463	-5.00%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0033	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.488392	-5.13%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0357	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.494084	-5.15%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0629	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.496818	-5.24%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.0893	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.506023	-5.31%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.0934	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.497746	-5.26%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.0659	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.47821	-5.15%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0055	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.483793	-5.14%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0288	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.492537	-5.15%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0532	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.509826	-5.32%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0123	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.474222	-5.27%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0370	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.512087	-5.41%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0002	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.518181	-5.46%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0247	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.550308	-5.83%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.0916	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.566153	-6.10%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2151	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.57798	-6.46%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2487	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.581733	-6.91%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.2966	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.566085	-6.29%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2347	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.578689	-6.66%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.2717	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.504102	-5.03%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1446	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.430112	-4.80%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0420	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.42939	-4.88%	0.496	+9.88%	0.1143	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.449065	-4.92%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1390	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.485087	-4.96%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0588	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.475722	-5.05%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0735	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.487641	-5.13%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0392	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.493734	-5.11%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0645	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.495663	-4.95%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0671	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.538399	-5.19%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0325	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.565283	-5.31%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0239	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.587627	-5.43%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0053	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.58957	-5.34%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0879	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.606319	-5.51%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0434	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.604911	-5.57%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0536	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.608229	-5.54%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0880	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.582537	-5.32%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.1016	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.608232	-5.54%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0556	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.541737	-5.22%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0884	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.531539	-5.37%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1992	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.576679	-5.43%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2542	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.595011	-5.36%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2411	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.592574	-5.14%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2376	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.59917	-4.94%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.2124	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.578787	-4.96%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3447	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.572391	-5.08%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.4273	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.65297	-5.37%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3458	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.699178	-5.76%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3547	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.641795	-5.45%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3352	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.645304	-5.51%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3708	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.628613	-5.26%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2678	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.584541	-4.98%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.1223	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.599965	-5.14%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0788	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.631315	-5.22%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0204	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.637334	-5.31%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0342	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.59077	-5.13%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0782	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.581179	-5.13%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0723	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.59298	-5.15%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0681	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.621203	-5.12%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0754	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.641162	-5.17%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0794	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.662455	-5.24%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0983	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.668687	-5.34%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.1064	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.583462	-5.37%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1322	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.554202	-5.52%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2695	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.646772	-5.12%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2530	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.676275	-5.08%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.2129	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.667022	-5.35%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1824	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.699413	-4.97%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1820	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.678792	-4.94%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.1104	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.685237	-5.03%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0003	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.695924	-5.03%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0137	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.706579	-5.26%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0172	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.688701	-5.40%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0193	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.647718	-5.69%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0478	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.65319	-5.74%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0107	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.667471	-5.92%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1119	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.652519	-6.10%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0093	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.640405	-6.18%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0756	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.651196	-6.32%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0015	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.690574	-6.35%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0237	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.670035	-6.38%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0194	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.699849	-6.32%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0461	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.735262	-6.26%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0391	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.753579	-6.32%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0450	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.75094	-6.34%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0009	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.762143	-6.26%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0490	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.728127	-6.41%	0.6126	-21.26%	0.0174	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.