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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s6

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
245
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
74.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2377
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0250
actual -0.0866

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002698-2.07%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002708-2.07%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002663-2.09%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002665-2.20%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002984-2.97%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002644-1.88%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002647-1.79%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002695-1.81%0.002755+0.36%0.0024✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002714-1.86%0.002765+0.00%0.0099✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002785-1.77%0.00272-4.06%0.0216✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002706-1.60%0.002725-0.91%0.0060✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002778-1.65%0.003075+8.85%0.1171✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002792-1.68%0.002695-5.11%0.0208✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002746-1.58%0.002695-3.41%0.0087✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002704-1.49%0.002745+0.00%0.0108✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002842-1.68%0.002765-4.33%0.0120✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002897-1.48%0.002835-3.57%0.0009✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003184-2.03%0.00275-15.38%0.1042✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.00308-1.60%0.002825-9.74%0.0544✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002978-1.73%0.00284-6.27%0.0267✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002883-1.62%0.00279-4.78%0.0104✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002961-1.63%0.002745-8.80%0.0401✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002911-1.65%0.00289-2.36%0.0042✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002869-1.57%0.00294+0.86%0.0026✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002947-1.76%0.00325+8.33%0.0731✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003083-1.81%0.00313-0.32%0.0069✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003337-2.43%0.00303-11.40%0.1002✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002856-1.34%0.00293+1.21%0.0207✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002769-1.11%0.00301+7.50%0.0780✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002809-1.09%0.00296+4.23%0.0622✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002926-0.65%0.002915-1.02%0.0254✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002883-0.40%0.003+3.63%0.0770✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.00249-1.18%0.00314+24.60%0.1976✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002596-1.28%0.00342+30.04%0.2423✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002845-1.73%0.002895+0.00%0.0177✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002617-1.61%0.0028+5.26%0.0158✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002372-1.18%0.00284+18.33%0.0941✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002426-1.18%0.002945+19.96%0.0785✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002515-1.19%0.002895+13.75%0.0490✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002549-1.21%0.00252-2.33%0.0595✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002665-1.29%0.00263-2.59%0.0582✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002709-1.31%0.002895+5.46%0.0280✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002574-1.21%0.00266+2.11%0.0353✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002821-1.35%0.0024-16.08%0.1381✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002701-0.72%0.002455-9.74%0.0644✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002613-0.45%0.002545-3.05%0.0169✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002671-0.14%0.00258-3.55%0.0045✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002752+0.24%0.0027-1.64%0.0100✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002645+0.39%0.002745+4.17%0.0632✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002902+0.76%0.002605-9.55%0.0608✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002931+0.04%0.00286-2.39%0.0363✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003204-0.17%0.00272-15.26%0.1764✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003038+0.43%0.002625-13.22%0.1527✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002579+0.73%0.002675+4.49%0.0052✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.00257+0.97%0.002745+7.86%0.0463✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002811+0.93%0.002635-5.39%0.0874✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002878+1.34%0.00288+1.41%0.0113✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002717+1.21%0.00293+9.12%0.0956✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002734+1.07%0.00321+18.67%0.1739✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002896+1.08%0.003025+5.58%0.0484✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003082+0.90%0.00256-16.20%0.1849✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002977+0.74%0.002545-13.87%0.1716✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003061+0.70%0.002785-8.39%0.0885✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003042+0.05%0.00284-6.58%0.1654✗1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003034-2.11%0.002685-13.39%0.2772✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002953-2.86%0.002705-11.02%0.3401✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003125-3.25%0.002865-11.30%0.3297✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002948-3.02%0.003055+0.49%0.2091✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.00298-3.24%0.002955-4.06%0.2348✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002846-2.71%0.00304+3.93%0.1787✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002846-2.71%0.00304+3.93%0.1017✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003074-3.63%0.0031-2.82%0.0751✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002861-2.86%0.00304+3.23%0.0476✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003283-4.16%0.00323-5.69%0.0180✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002942-3.23%0.00304+0.00%0.0350✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002986-3.38%0.00308-0.32%0.0312✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.00318-3.92%0.002925-11.63%0.0833✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003547-4.77%0.002925-21.48%0.1921✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004682-5.99%0.00319-35.94%0.3828✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002916-2.48%0.002945-1.51%0.0087✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003092-2.76%0.003425+7.70%0.1032✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003198-2.80%0.00304-7.60%0.0480✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003174-2.34%0.00309-4.92%0.0214✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003076-1.73%0.00331+5.75%0.0786✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003157-1.81%0.003725+15.86%0.1642✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003378-2.09%0.00498+44.35%0.3908✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.00355-2.20%0.00299-17.63%0.1709✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003577-1.99%0.00318-12.88%0.1185✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003699-2.15%0.00329-12.96%0.1245✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.00363-1.76%0.00325-12.04%0.1163✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003633-1.54%0.00313-15.18%0.1525✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003769-1.72%0.003215-16.17%0.1601✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003925-1.88%0.00345-13.75%0.1367✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003912-1.71%0.00363-8.79%0.0843✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003822-1.49%0.00365-5.93%0.0509✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004043-1.63%0.00378-8.03%0.0651✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004005-1.49%0.003695-9.10%0.0820✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.00415-1.55%0.00369-12.46%0.1169✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004255-1.50%0.003835-11.23%0.1004✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004455-1.65%0.004-11.70%0.1021✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003659-0.83%0.00398+7.86%0.0896✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004068-0.78%0.00388-5.37%0.0429✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004209-0.86%0.00411-3.18%0.0219✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.00432-0.80%0.004065-6.66%0.0558✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004672-1.02%0.004215-10.70%0.1040✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005266-1.20%0.00432-18.95%0.1958✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004887-0.67%0.00453-7.93%0.0661✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006086-2.46%0.00369-40.87%0.4904✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007164-3.59%0.0041-44.82%0.5693✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007804-3.77%0.004245-47.66%0.6084✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007505-3.78%0.004355-44.17%0.5421✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007938-3.96%0.00472-42.89%0.5146✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.0082-4.20%0.00533-37.73%0.4259✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007593-4.00%0.00492-37.80%0.4250✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008216-4.47%0.00624-27.44%0.2624✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.00867-4.62%0.00743-18.26%0.1412✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006913-2.77%0.00811+14.06%0.1787✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007559-3.34%0.0078-0.26%0.0470✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007813-3.55%0.008265+2.04%0.0686✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007721-3.43%0.00856+7.07%0.1120✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007617-3.34%0.00791+0.38%0.0342✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.00828-3.84%0.0086-0.12%0.0193✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008632-3.98%0.00909+1.11%0.0326✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008347-3.94%0.00711-18.18%0.1800✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009106-4.45%0.00782-17.94%0.1751✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008743-4.40%0.0081-11.43%0.0946✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008535-4.42%0.007995-10.47%0.0813✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009236-4.89%0.00788-18.85%0.1788✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009642-5.29%0.00861-15.42%0.1286✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009068-5.15%0.00899-5.96%0.0184✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008018-4.55%0.00869+3.45%0.0684✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008943-5.56%0.00953+0.63%0.0628✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007207-3.78%0.009145+22.10%0.2379✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007135-3.58%0.00893+20.68%0.2207✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007277-3.48%0.00971+28.78%0.3037✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006377-2.34%0.01018+55.90%0.4871✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006991-2.90%0.00956+32.78%0.3318✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007569-3.34%0.0084+7.28%0.1217✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007819-3.23%0.00947+17.20%0.2188✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007668-2.81%0.00749-5.07%0.0064✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008517-3.65%0.0074-16.29%0.1428✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008742-3.83%0.00754-17.05%0.1631✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009304-4.58%0.00653-33.03%0.3769✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011686-6.74%0.0072-42.54%0.6281✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008934-4.81%0.00783-16.57%0.2674✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008505-4.55%0.00808-9.32%0.2159✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010294-6.42%0.00789-28.27%0.4079✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007086-2.80%0.00884+21.26%0.1221✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007314-2.80%0.00909+20.80%0.1206✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007447-2.90%0.00975+27.12%0.1811✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008579-3.93%0.01253+40.31%0.3536✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009517-4.49%0.009385-5.82%0.0263✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010156-4.64%0.00891-16.34%0.1356✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011579-4.90%0.011-9.65%0.0533✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013069-5.50%0.00729-47.29%0.5924✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012487-5.48%0.007525-43.04%0.5122✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016587-6.32%0.00767-56.68%0.7723✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019006-7.51%0.00893-56.55%0.7559✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016202-7.10%0.009965-42.86%0.4844✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.01681-7.74%0.01065-41.55%0.4509✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020585-9.28%0.012175-46.34%0.5140✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015568-9.44%0.01383-19.55%0.0999✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.019286-11.61%0.01321-39.46%0.3684✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006251-7.86%0.017705+160.94%1.0945✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004212-4.28%0.02055+367.05%1.6654✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002443+0.13%0.01744+614.75%2.0548✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002417-0.52%0.01822+649.79%2.0670✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002361-0.81%0.02269+853.36%2.2848✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002252-0.79%0.01719+657.27%2.0122✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002233-0.30%0.02182+874.11%2.3218✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002347-0.35%0.006785+188.11%1.0668✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.00228-0.86%0.0044+91.30%0.6351✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002386-1.00%0.00244+1.24%0.0213✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002455-1.02%0.00243-2.02%0.0340✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002397-0.95%0.00238-1.65%0.0309✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002616-1.11%0.00227-14.18%0.1883✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002711-1.22%0.00224-18.40%0.2622✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002908-1.42%0.002355-20.17%0.2682✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002879-1.39%0.0023-21.23%0.2561✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.00308-1.28%0.00241-22.76%0.2438✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.00271-1.45%0.00248-9.82%0.1015✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003219-1.55%0.00242-25.99%0.2950✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003319-1.21%0.002645-21.28%0.2022✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003402-1.25%0.002745-20.32%0.1835✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003208-1.89%0.00295-9.79%0.0835✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003471-2.49%0.00292-17.98%0.1917✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003438-3.02%0.00312-11.99%0.1573✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003387-2.52%0.00275-20.86%0.2329✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003447-2.34%0.00327-7.37%0.0575✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003717-3.21%0.00336-12.50%0.1420✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003499-2.95%0.003445-4.44%0.0598✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003468-3.14%0.00327-8.66%0.0875✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003429-3.15%0.00356+0.56%0.0187✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.00386-3.85%0.003545-11.71%0.1317✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003959-3.80%0.003475-15.55%0.1703✓1.12
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