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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s6

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
251
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
61.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0779
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0051
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002743-0.44%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002753-0.44%0.002755-0.36%0.0016✓1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002708-0.45%0.002765+1.65%0.0076✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002712-0.48%0.00272-0.18%0.0106✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003055-0.63%0.002725-11.38%0.1124✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002685-0.37%0.003075+14.10%0.1281✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002686-0.35%0.002695+0.00%0.0049✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002735-0.36%0.002695-1.82%0.0074✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002755-0.37%0.002745-0.72%0.0101✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002825-0.36%0.002765-2.47%0.0031✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002741-0.32%0.002835+3.09%0.0183✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002815-0.34%0.00275-2.65%0.0053✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.00283-0.35%0.002825-0.53%0.0090✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.00278-0.34%0.00284+1.79%0.0177✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002736-0.34%0.00279+1.64%0.0114✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002879-0.39%0.002745-5.02%0.0334✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.00293-0.34%0.00289-1.70%0.0070✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003235-0.47%0.00294-9.54%0.0934✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003119-0.36%0.00325+3.83%0.0497✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003018-0.39%0.00313+3.30%0.0169✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002919-0.37%0.00303+3.41%0.0346✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002999-0.36%0.00293-2.66%0.0196✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002949-0.37%0.00301+1.69%0.0063✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002905-0.36%0.00296+1.54%0.0199✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002988-0.41%0.002915-2.83%0.0266✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003127-0.42%0.003-4.46%0.0305✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003401-0.56%0.00314-8.19%0.0803✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002886-0.29%0.00342+18.13%0.1658✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002793-0.25%0.002895+3.39%0.0394✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002833-0.26%0.0028-1.41%0.0117✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002939-0.21%0.00284-3.57%0.0136✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.00289-0.18%0.002945+1.73%0.0236✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002513-0.27%0.002895+14.88%0.0858✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002622-0.30%0.00252-4.18%0.0389✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002883-0.41%0.00263-9.15%0.0959✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002651-0.35%0.002895+8.83%0.0401✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002394-0.23%0.00266+10.83%0.1030✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002449-0.23%0.0024-2.24%0.0268✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002539-0.25%0.002455-3.54%0.0033✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002574-0.25%0.002545-1.36%0.0266✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002692-0.28%0.00258-4.44%0.0373✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002737-0.30%0.0027-1.64%0.0141✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002597-0.29%0.002745+5.37%0.0474✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.00285-0.34%0.002605-8.92%0.0707✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002716-0.16%0.00286+5.15%0.0535✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002622-0.10%0.00272+3.62%0.0432✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002673-0.06%0.002625-1.87%0.0047✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002745+0.01%0.002675-2.55%0.0315✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002636+0.03%0.002745+4.17%0.0390✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002881+0.05%0.002635-8.51%0.0739✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002928-0.07%0.00288-1.71%0.0632✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003205-0.15%0.00293-8.72%0.0887✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003025-0.02%0.00321+6.12%0.0743✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002562+0.09%0.003025+18.16%0.1518✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002548+0.12%0.00256+0.59%0.0118✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002788+0.10%0.002545-8.62%0.0961✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002843+0.12%0.002785-1.94%0.0093✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002687+0.09%0.00284+5.77%0.0408✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002706+0.05%0.002685-0.74%0.0138✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002867+0.05%0.002705-5.58%0.0527✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003056+0.02%0.002865-6.22%0.0803✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002955-0.01%0.003055+3.38%0.0249✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003039-0.05%0.002955-2.80%0.0119✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003037-0.10%0.00304+0.00%0.0707✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003086-0.46%0.00304-1.94%0.0764✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003022-0.58%0.0031+1.97%0.0644✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003209-0.66%0.00304-5.88%0.0578✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003022-0.61%0.00323+6.25%0.0371✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.00306-0.64%0.00304-1.30%0.0034✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.00291-0.53%0.00308+5.30%0.0561✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.00291-0.53%0.002925+0.00%0.0138✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003167-0.71%0.002925-8.31%0.0798✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002929-0.56%0.00319+8.32%0.0869✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003397-0.83%0.002945-14.01%0.1415✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003021-0.64%0.003425+12.66%0.1266✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003069-0.67%0.00304-1.62%0.0095✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003283-0.80%0.00309-6.65%0.0607✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003687-1.01%0.00331-11.14%0.1086✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004915-1.30%0.003725-25.20%0.2771✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002976-0.46%0.00498+66.56%0.5160✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003164-0.51%0.00299-5.97%0.0552✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003273-0.52%0.00318-3.34%0.0288✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003236-0.42%0.00329+1.23%0.0183✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003121-0.29%0.00325+3.83%0.0404✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003205-0.32%0.00313-2.64%0.0292✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003437-0.38%0.003215-6.81%0.0638✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003615-0.40%0.00345-4.96%0.0467✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003637-0.36%0.00363-0.55%0.0014✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003765-0.40%0.00365-3.44%0.0376✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003683-0.32%0.00378+2.30%0.0298✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.00368-0.27%0.003695+0.14%0.0046✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003823-0.32%0.00369-3.78%0.0387✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003986-0.36%0.003835-4.13%0.0422✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003967-0.33%0.004+0.50%0.0068✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.00387-0.27%0.00398+2.58%0.0322✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004098-0.30%0.00388-5.60%0.0529✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004054-0.27%0.00411+1.11%0.0133✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004203-0.28%0.004065-3.56%0.0307✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004308-0.27%0.004215-2.43%0.0215✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004516-0.30%0.00432-4.64%0.0484✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003686-0.11%0.00453+22.76%0.2052✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004096-0.09%0.00369-10.00%0.1003✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.00424-0.12%0.0041-3.42%0.0365✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.00435-0.11%0.004245-2.53%0.0247✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004713-0.16%0.004355-7.73%0.0806✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.00532-0.19%0.00472-11.44%0.1161✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004916-0.08%0.00533+8.33%0.0845✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006212-0.45%0.00492-21.15%0.2398✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007378-0.70%0.00624-16.02%0.1719✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008049-0.75%0.00743-8.38%0.0788✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007742-0.74%0.00811+3.97%0.0480✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.0082-0.78%0.0078-5.63%0.0482✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008489-0.83%0.008265-3.45%0.0237✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007849-0.77%0.00856+8.22%0.0927✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008526-0.87%0.00791-8.02%0.0710✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.009007-0.92%0.0086-5.39%0.0521✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007076-0.47%0.00909+27.85%0.2537✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007772-0.61%0.00711-9.08%0.0914✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008047-0.66%0.00782-3.46%0.0289✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007945-0.63%0.0081+1.31%0.0208✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007832-0.61%0.007995+1.46%0.0161✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008546-0.74%0.00788-8.48%0.0886✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.00892-0.78%0.00861-4.23%0.0418✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008623-0.77%0.00899+3.45%0.0452✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009446-0.88%0.00869-8.81%0.0885✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009066-0.86%0.00953+4.21%0.0537✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008852-0.87%0.009145+2.41%0.0354✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009614-0.99%0.00893-8.03%0.0828✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010068-1.10%0.00971-4.62%0.0422✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009458-1.07%0.01018+6.49%0.0708✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008323-0.91%0.00956+13.81%0.1413✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009363-1.13%0.0084-11.30%0.1038✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007437-0.71%0.00947+26.44%0.2463✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007351-0.67%0.00749+1.22%0.0186✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007492-0.63%0.0074-1.86%0.0015✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006505-0.38%0.00754+15.47%0.1464✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007164-0.51%0.00653-9.31%0.1010✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007783-0.61%0.0072-8.05%0.0796✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008034-0.57%0.00783-3.09%0.0069✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007851-0.49%0.00808+2.41%0.0274✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008778-0.70%0.00789-10.75%0.1317✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009022-0.74%0.00884-2.75%0.0218✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.00966-0.93%0.00909-6.77%0.0726✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012347-1.46%0.00975-22.19%0.3151✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009293-0.98%0.01253+33.51%0.2707✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008828-0.92%0.009385+5.33%0.0590✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010848-1.38%0.00891-19.00%0.1926✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007254-0.50%0.011+50.89%0.4150✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007487-0.51%0.00729-3.12%0.0337✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.00763-0.52%0.007525-1.89%0.0276✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008862-0.76%0.00767-14.11%0.1503✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009876-0.89%0.00893-10.39%0.0997✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010549-0.95%0.009965-6.43%0.0564✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.012046-1.06%0.01065-12.53%0.1220✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013656-1.26%0.012175-11.97%0.1193✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.013042-1.28%0.01383+4.69%0.0588✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017437-1.51%0.01321-25.39%0.2769✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.020166-1.87%0.017705-13.84%0.1298✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.017133-1.76%0.02055+17.83%0.1836✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017866-1.94%0.01744-4.28%0.0215✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.022164-2.32%0.01822-19.70%0.1931✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016787-2.34%0.02269+32.00%0.3118✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.021205-2.82%0.01719-21.22%0.2196✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006649-2.00%0.02182+221.59%1.2052✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004349-1.16%0.006785+54.20%0.4652✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002438-0.07%0.0044+80.33%0.5988✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002426-0.18%0.00244+0.41%0.0219✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002374-0.24%0.00243+2.10%0.0143✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002265-0.22%0.00238+4.85%0.0460✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002237-0.15%0.00227+1.34%0.0430✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002351-0.15%0.00224-4.88%0.0549✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002294-0.24%0.002355+2.39%0.0134✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002404-0.24%0.0023-4.56%0.0600✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002474-0.26%0.00241-2.82%0.0245✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002415-0.23%0.00248+2.48%0.0213✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002638-0.26%0.00242-8.51%0.1109✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002737-0.29%0.002645-3.64%0.0413✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.00294-0.34%0.002745-6.95%0.0613✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002909-0.37%0.00295+1.03%0.0275✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003108-0.39%0.00292-6.41%0.0457✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.00274-0.37%0.00312+13.45%0.1173✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003258-0.35%0.00275-15.90%0.1720✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003349-0.32%0.00327-2.68%0.0137✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003434-0.31%0.00336-2.47%0.0228✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003256-0.43%0.003445+5.35%0.0335✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.00354-0.56%0.00327-8.15%0.0855✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003521-0.67%0.00356+0.42%0.0149✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003455-0.57%0.003545+2.01%0.0506✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.00351-0.56%0.003475-1.56%0.0075✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003814-0.69%0.00353-8.07%0.1030✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003583-0.61%0.00384+6.52%0.0649✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003557-0.66%0.003605+0.70%0.0047✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003516-0.67%0.00358+1.13%0.0216✗1.00
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