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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s6

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
222
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
75.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5572
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1262
actual -0.2467

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002451-11.04%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002482-10.24%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002444-10.13%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002454-9.94%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002692-12.47%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002386-11.48%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002379-11.71%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002416-11.97%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002432-12.04%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002523-11.01%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002448-10.97%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002519-10.85%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002533-10.79%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002505-10.22%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002478-9.74%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002606-9.83%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002663-9.44%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.002901-10.74%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.002814-10.09%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002723-10.13%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.00265-9.54%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002697-10.41%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002661-10.11%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002636-9.59%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002705-9.85%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.002817-10.30%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003022-11.62%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002627-9.27%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.00256-8.56%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002603-8.35%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002732-7.24%0.002755-6.45%0.0309✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002732-5.64%0.002765-4.49%0.0426✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002321-7.89%0.00272+7.94%0.1399✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002424-7.83%0.002725+3.61%0.1107✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002638-8.87%0.003075+6.22%0.1407✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002409-9.43%0.002695+1.32%0.0589✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002189-8.78%0.002695+12.29%0.1509✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002235-8.95%0.002745+11.81%0.1326✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002321-8.81%0.002765+8.64%0.1370✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002352-8.86%0.002835+9.88%0.1182✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002463-8.77%0.00275+1.85%0.0597✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002516-8.34%0.002825+2.91%0.0492✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002419-7.14%0.00284+9.02%0.0882✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002661-6.97%0.00279-2.45%0.0022✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002509-7.75%0.002745+0.92%0.0561✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.00241-8.19%0.00289+10.10%0.1395✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002483-7.17%0.00294+9.91%0.1142✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002604-5.14%0.00325+18.40%0.1584✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002514-4.59%0.00313+18.79%0.1507✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002807-2.53%0.00303+5.21%0.0435✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002805-4.26%0.00293+0.00%0.0396✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003103-3.32%0.00301-6.23%0.1159✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.002964-2.00%0.00296-2.15%0.0626✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002462-3.84%0.002915+13.87%0.0775✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002484-2.39%0.003+17.88%0.1257✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002696-3.19%0.00314+12.75%0.0726✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002852+0.42%0.00342+20.42%0.1327✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002711+0.96%0.002895+7.82%0.0084✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002758+1.97%0.0028+3.51%0.0515✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002899+1.18%0.00284-0.87%0.0809✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003061+0.19%0.002945-3.60%0.1416✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002956+0.03%0.002895-2.03%0.1352✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003079+1.29%0.00252-17.11%0.2351✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002908-4.33%0.00263-13.49%0.2095✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.002835-8.54%0.002895-6.61%0.1612✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002704-11.07%0.00266-12.50%0.2320✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.002842-12.02%0.0024-25.70%0.3680✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002656-12.64%0.002455-19.24%0.2911✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002713-11.93%0.002545-17.37%0.3063✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002596-11.23%0.00258-11.79%0.2290✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002601-11.08%0.0027-7.69%0.1977✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.002808-11.99%0.002745-13.95%0.2075✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002612-11.29%0.002605-11.54%0.1389✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.002998-12.48%0.00286-16.50%0.0890✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002693-11.42%0.00272-10.53%0.0027✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002734-11.54%0.002625-15.05%0.0412✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.002915-11.93%0.002675-19.18%0.0884✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003233-13.21%0.002745-26.31%0.1779✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.003821-23.28%0.002635-47.09%0.3808✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002658-11.11%0.00288-3.68%0.1155✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.002807-11.74%0.00293-7.86%0.0704✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.002896-11.98%0.00321-2.43%0.1277✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.002849-12.33%0.003025-6.92%0.0956✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.002782-11.13%0.00256-18.21%0.0486✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.002831-11.94%0.002545-20.84%0.0710✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.002992-13.27%0.002785-19.28%0.0262✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003169-12.70%0.00284-21.76%0.0552✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.0032-12.33%0.002685-26.44%0.1273✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003326-12.01%0.002705-28.44%0.1591✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.00325-12.04%0.002865-22.46%0.0771✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003261-11.63%0.003055-17.21%0.0318✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003383-11.80%0.002955-22.95%0.0982✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.00354-11.49%0.00304-24.00%0.1131✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003537-11.13%0.00304-23.62%0.1296✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003438-11.40%0.0031-20.10%0.0910✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003642-11.39%0.00304-26.03%0.1806✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003614-11.09%0.00323-20.54%0.1134✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.003746-11.13%0.00304-27.88%0.2120✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.00386-10.64%0.00308-28.70%0.2279✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.00403-11.04%0.002925-35.43%0.3278✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003327-9.84%0.002925-20.73%0.1347✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003708-9.57%0.00319-22.20%0.1486✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.003836-9.63%0.002945-30.62%0.2648✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.003939-9.56%0.003425-21.35%0.1391✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004228-10.42%0.00304-35.59%0.3266✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.004787-10.20%0.00309-42.03%0.4312✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004458-9.39%0.00331-32.72%0.2873✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.005608-10.13%0.003725-40.30%0.4034✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.006665-10.29%0.00498-32.97%0.2877✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007216-11.02%0.00299-63.13%0.8796✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.006929-11.16%0.00318-59.23%0.7777✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007284-11.88%0.00329-60.19%0.7915✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.007459-12.87%0.00325-62.03%0.8269✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.006931-12.38%0.00313-60.43%0.7837✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.007375-14.24%0.003215-62.62%0.8142✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.007701-15.28%0.00345-62.05%0.7902✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006245-12.16%0.00363-48.95%0.5224✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.006829-12.67%0.00365-53.32%0.6079✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007025-13.27%0.00378-53.33%0.5943✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.006933-13.28%0.003695-53.78%0.6070✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.006873-12.78%0.00369-53.17%0.6114✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007445-13.53%0.003835-55.46%0.6531✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.007744-13.86%0.004-55.51%0.6503✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007453-14.23%0.00398-54.20%0.6113✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008111-14.89%0.00388-59.29%0.7324✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.007754-15.21%0.00411-55.06%0.6286✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.007564-15.29%0.004065-54.48%0.6118✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008192-15.63%0.004215-56.59%0.6677✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.00859-15.62%0.00432-57.56%0.6969✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.00809-15.38%0.00453-52.62%0.5864✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007159-14.78%0.00369-56.07%0.6662✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.007856-17.05%0.0041-56.71%0.6585✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006393-14.65%0.004245-43.32%0.4084✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006304-14.80%0.004355-41.15%0.3688✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006379-15.39%0.00472-37.40%0.2875✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.005619-13.95%0.00533-18.38%0.0453✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006086-15.48%0.00492-31.67%0.2176✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.006538-16.50%0.00624-20.31%0.0465✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.006719-16.84%0.00743-8.04%0.1246✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.006574-16.69%0.00811+2.79%0.2275✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007335-17.02%0.0078-11.76%0.0550✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.00751-17.38%0.008265-9.08%0.0870✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008045-17.48%0.00856-12.21%0.0382✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.009962-20.50%0.00791-36.87%0.4334✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.007704-17.91%0.0086-8.36%0.0963✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007301-18.05%0.00909+2.02%0.0447✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.008754-20.42%0.00711-35.36%0.3698✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.005881-19.32%0.00782+7.27%0.1421✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006-20.27%0.0081+7.64%0.1610✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006025-21.45%0.007995+4.24%0.1191✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.006977-21.87%0.00788-11.76%0.0473✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.00776-22.13%0.00861-13.60%0.0480✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.008305-22.02%0.00899-15.59%0.0570✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.009513-21.86%0.00869-28.62%0.1034✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.010854-21.51%0.00953-31.09%0.1606✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.010589-19.84%0.009145-30.77%0.1743✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.014064-20.57%0.00893-49.56%0.4702✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.015962-22.32%0.00971-52.75%0.4729✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.013675-21.59%0.01018-41.63%0.2457✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.01414-22.39%0.00956-47.53%0.3435✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.016944-25.32%0.0084-62.98%0.6578✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.012852-25.23%0.00947-44.91%0.2100✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.01542-29.33%0.00749-65.67%0.6265✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.00512-24.54%0.0074+9.06%0.6354✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.003565-18.99%0.00754+71.36%1.1295✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002324-4.75%0.00653+167.62%1.4599✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.0023-5.36%0.0072+196.30%1.5023✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002271-4.58%0.00783+228.99%1.6012✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002152-5.18%0.00808+255.95%1.7383✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002158-3.67%0.00789+252.23%1.7544✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002258-4.11%0.00884+275.37%1.5948✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002197-4.50%0.00909+295.22%1.6323✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.00227-5.82%0.00975+304.56%1.6161✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002348-5.32%0.01253+405.24%1.7694✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002272-6.10%0.009385+287.81%1.4773✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002461-6.96%0.00891+236.86%1.3198✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002557-6.83%0.011+300.73%1.4904✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002737-7.22%0.00729+147.12%1.0164✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002757-5.60%0.007525+157.71%1.0442✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002966-4.94%0.00767+145.83%0.9867✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.00259-5.82%0.00893+224.73%1.2428✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.00299-8.55%0.009965+204.74%1.2097✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.00311-7.45%0.01065+216.96%1.2516✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003159-8.31%0.012175+253.41%1.3843✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.002991-8.52%0.01383+322.94%1.5163✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003225-9.40%0.01321+271.07%1.3899✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.00321-9.45%0.017705+399.44%1.6705✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003157-9.16%0.02055+491.37%1.8578✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003225-8.63%0.01744+394.05%1.6838✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.00343-10.66%0.01822+374.48%1.6310✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.00322-10.68%0.02269+529.40%1.8974✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003196-10.72%0.01719+380.17%1.5934✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003155-10.87%0.02182+516.38%1.8706✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003478-13.37%0.006785+68.99%0.5270✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003558-13.53%0.0044+6.93%0.0871✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003503-13.40%0.00244-39.68%0.4947✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.00335-12.98%0.00243-36.88%0.4493✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.00348-13.65%0.00238-40.94%0.5128✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.003705-14.92%0.00227-47.88%0.6073✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003306-12.66%0.00224-40.82%0.5586✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003488-14.72%0.002355-42.42%0.5533✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003548-15.53%0.0023-45.24%0.6061✓1.01
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