UMX

UMX · · lstm_s6

token id: #759
symbol: UMX
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-07
predictions: 201

Track record at +30d

assessed

37

of 67 predictions shown

direction hit

81.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2444

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0145

actual -0.2589

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0466	0.047194	+1.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.042915	0.043906	+2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.22
2026-10-19	oos	0.05515	0.054392	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-18	oos	0.055405	0.054654	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-17	oos	0.05585	0.054948	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-16	oos	0.059095	0.057873	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-15	oos	0.059045	0.058124	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.05934	0.05845	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.05942	0.05909	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-12	oos	0.06042	0.059595	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.060205	0.060173	-0.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-10	oos	0.06067	0.060258	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.060945	0.060369	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.06053	0.059766	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.061825	0.061378	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-06	oos	0.061715	0.062527	+1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.06169	0.062649	+1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-04	oos	0.06171	0.063314	+2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-03	oos	0.061395	0.061784	+0.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.0617	0.061842	+0.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.06148	0.061813	+0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-30	oos	0.06139	0.06102	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-29	oos	0.06121	0.060867	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.060615	0.060368	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.06074	0.061046	+0.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.06106	0.061356	+0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-25	oos	0.060915	0.061278	+0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-24	oos	0.06117	0.061841	+1.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-23	oos	0.06117	0.061928	+1.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-22	oos	0.060735	0.062794	+3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.06117	0.063729	+4.18%	0.0466	-23.82%	0.2870	✗	0.56
2026-09-20	oos	0.061435	0.060771	-1.08%	0.042915	-30.15%	0.3598	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.06046	0.059932	-0.87%	0.05515	-8.78%	0.0873	✓	0.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.06137	0.060652	-1.17%	0.055405	-9.72%	0.0984	✓	0.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.06115	0.059327	-2.98%	0.05585	-8.67%	0.0932	✓	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.06201	0.06005	-3.16%	0.059095	-4.70%	0.0511	✓	0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.06086	0.059097	-2.90%	0.059045	-2.98%	0.0428	✓	0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.06052	0.059125	-2.31%	0.05934	-1.95%	0.0243	✓	0.66
2026-09-13	oos	0.060775	0.059211	-2.57%	0.05942	-2.23%	0.0462	✓	0.63
2026-09-12	oos	0.062595	0.060919	-2.68%	0.06042	-3.47%	0.0447	✓	0.65
2026-09-11	oos	0.065045	0.063152	-2.91%	0.060205	-7.44%	0.1002	✓	0.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.06506	0.063141	-2.95%	0.06067	-6.75%	0.0912	✓	0.64
2026-09-09	oos	0.06486	0.063504	-2.09%	0.060945	-6.04%	0.0815	✓	0.76
2026-09-08	oos	0.066495	0.065133	-2.05%	0.06053	-8.97%	0.1048	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.068065	0.066947	-1.64%	0.061825	-9.17%	0.1217	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.06993	0.0693	-0.90%	0.061715	-11.75%	0.1713	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.071875	0.071145	-1.02%	0.06169	-14.17%	0.2141	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.07207	0.071272	-1.11%	0.06171	-14.37%	0.2263	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.07313	0.074048	+1.26%	0.061395	-16.05%	0.2293	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07424	0.072491	-2.36%	0.0617	-16.89%	0.2502	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.07438	0.072939	-1.94%	0.06148	-17.34%	0.2628	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.07495	0.074563	-0.52%	0.06139	-18.09%	0.2560	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.07579	0.074774	-1.34%	0.06121	-19.24%	0.2743	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.07513	0.074722	-0.54%	0.060615	-19.32%	0.2739	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.07633	0.075728	-0.79%	0.06074	-20.42%	0.3022	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.07696	0.07896	+2.60%	0.06106	-20.66%	0.3074	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.08217	0.083247	+1.31%	0.060915	-25.87%	0.3745	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.08355	0.084214	+0.79%	0.06117	-26.79%	0.3917	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.08871	0.090152	+1.63%	0.06117	-31.04%	0.4539	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.08672	0.086639	-0.09%	0.060735	-29.96%	0.4586	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.08671	0.085898	-0.94%	0.06117	-29.45%	0.4562	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.08346	0.083696	+0.28%	0.061435	-26.39%	0.3448	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.08276	0.079529	-3.90%	0.06046	-26.95%	0.3808	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08486	0.080875	-4.70%	0.06137	-27.68%	0.4304	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.08495	0.081226	-4.38%	0.06115	-28.02%	0.4497	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.08465	0.080898	-4.43%	0.06201	-26.75%	0.4322	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.08446	0.08084	-4.29%	0.06086	-27.94%	0.4686	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.