SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s6
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2858
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1363
actual -0.1438
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.085231 | -6.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.085055 | -6.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.085285 | -6.74% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.085425 | -7.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.086718 | -7.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.086489 | -7.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.087589 | -7.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.082439 | -7.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.083275 | -7.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.09522 | -8.10% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.092457 | -8.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.092223 | -7.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.091718 | -8.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.090482 | -8.50% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.09024 | -8.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.08855 | -8.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.091123 | -7.36% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.079894 | -5.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.087427 | -5.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.085166 | -6.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.087583 | -6.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.088979 | -6.48% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.099651 | -7.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.115351 | -8.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.112613 | -8.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.138632 | -12.36% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.116101 | -9.23% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.09737 | -7.64% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.096366 | -7.35% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.096366 | -7.23% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.089597 | -5.50% | 0.090935 | -4.09% | 0.0303 | ✓ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.096871 | -5.80% | 0.090825 | -11.68% | 0.1242 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.103351 | -8.64% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.0761 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.107785 | -9.36% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1431 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.107894 | -9.79% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.1123 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.113203 | -12.46% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.2539 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.120971 | -13.86% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.3092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.112462 | -13.37% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.3204 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.130661 | -16.10% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.4166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.12966 | -17.21% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.3031 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.146353 | -21.12% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.4275 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.151778 | -22.60% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.4954 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.143452 | -22.84% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.4402 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.110525 | -19.15% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.1642 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.109463 | -20.20% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.1408 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.09667 | -17.72% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.0547 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.088286 | -14.21% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.0454 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.06989 | -9.21% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.1179 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.068735 | -9.13% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.2185 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.06802 | -7.19% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.2469 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.063342 | -9.67% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.3023 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.063249 | -9.36% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.3164 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.063941 | -7.94% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.4642 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.065056 | -8.94% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.5928 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.066128 | -7.72% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.5603 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.068625 | -8.05% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.7535 | ✗ | 1.00 |