MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s6

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

69.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0835

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0081

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042063	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042563	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043226	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043012	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044405	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045876	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044582	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044814	-1.96%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0653	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043592	-1.84%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0023	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042861	-1.83%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0255	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045754	-2.09%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0115	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042285	-1.73%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.0963	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040791	-1.64%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1572	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040353	-1.61%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1120	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043571	-1.75%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0781	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.04542	-1.77%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0197	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.049049	-1.98%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0463	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048222	-1.90%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0172	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048939	-2.07%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0964	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045333	-2.13%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0544	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048628	-3.01%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1148	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041099	-1.61%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0808	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041313	-1.59%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0800	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041519	-1.62%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1478	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043164	-1.68%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.0955	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044044	-1.75%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1208	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045618	-1.95%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0082	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044112	-1.78%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1200	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042893	-1.69%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0122	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045642	-1.94%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0391	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044477	-1.76%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0037	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042178	-1.89%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0225	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041611	-1.83%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0144	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040202	-1.66%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0864	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034885	-1.15%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1123	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034216	-0.88%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.1012	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033845	-0.69%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1508	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.03546	-0.70%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1147	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035236	-0.66%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1282	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036803	-0.73%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0778	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037393	-0.62%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0309	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.03673	-0.36%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0367	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038533	-0.29%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0727	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041811	-0.79%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1534	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040187	+0.04%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1016	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039884	+0.77%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0518	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040558	+1.02%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0425	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039298	+1.83%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0031	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.041103	+2.58%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0199	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.037496	+2.20%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0116	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.038388	+2.53%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0733	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.03917	+3.24%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0156	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037878	+3.22%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0028	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039711	+3.39%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0165	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.038654	+3.32%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0334	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040621	+3.81%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0304	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040776	+3.20%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0753	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039925	+2.63%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0442	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.041087	+2.23%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0724	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.043503	+1.50%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1690	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040673	+1.08%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0786	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042926	+1.05%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1289	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037659	-0.40%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0884	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034507	-1.10%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0399	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.03153	-1.62%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0496	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031662	-1.67%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0332	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031039	-1.62%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0364	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030762	-1.50%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0029	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030711	-1.41%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0296	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032151	-1.54%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0300	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032695	-1.58%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0567	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032623	-1.56%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0423	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035708	-1.90%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1155	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035345	-1.76%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0692	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035515	-1.80%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0868	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034691	-1.67%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0655	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034931	-1.74%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0487	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035441	-1.75%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0382	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035212	-1.75%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0490	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036016	-1.84%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0006	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035865	-1.77%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0270	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035872	-1.72%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0402	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035947	-1.62%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0651	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036458	-1.47%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0151	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035905	-1.35%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0105	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038913	-1.66%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0866	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039065	-1.65%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0578	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042557	-1.60%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1148	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041808	-1.69%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1035	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042738	-1.73%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1301	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042524	-1.49%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1322	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043113	-1.32%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1232	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042831	-1.22%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0228	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042215	-1.32%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0285	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043415	-1.44%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0179	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043892	-1.32%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0209	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042749	-1.27%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0131	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.04545	-1.41%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0790	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047346	-1.41%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1092	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048324	-1.46%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1404	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046405	-1.81%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1458	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045287	-1.75%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0490	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.04587	-1.74%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0539	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046642	-1.66%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0690	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047144	-1.70%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0361	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.04651	-1.73%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0250	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049378	-1.87%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0445	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.04852	-1.80%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0140	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050316	-1.96%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.0913	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051326	-2.09%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1110	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.049986	-2.05%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.0899	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048581	-1.99%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0524	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044453	-1.52%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0118	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044643	-1.30%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0101	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047258	-1.73%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0410	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045085	-1.32%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0397	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046549	-1.48%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0499	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046085	-1.34%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0469	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.045934	-1.24%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0370	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.049907	-1.55%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0784	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054535	-1.76%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1018	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054862	-1.73%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0533	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055512	-1.71%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1155	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053817	-1.61%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0379	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056073	-1.69%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1058	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060923	-2.01%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1961	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056146	-1.69%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0152	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056461	-1.79%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0575	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058976	-2.16%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0023	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.06099	-2.99%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0144	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.060801	-3.04%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.1004	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046579	-0.15%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2039	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046285	+0.42%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3095	✓	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.043571	+2.47%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2141	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.048091	+1.87%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1049	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050739	+1.28%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1135	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.049546	+2.20%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.1942	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.046475	+4.20%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2445	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.048134	+4.39%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0701	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.052198	+3.22%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.1210	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.055756	+2.70%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2336	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.055821	+2.31%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0819	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059361	+0.39%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0052	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.0609	-0.11%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0050	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062953	-0.17%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0462	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.06203	+0.66%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1125	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063782	+0.60%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0905	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067451	-0.12%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0682	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067734	+0.05%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0874	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073199	-0.97%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1335	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.076558	-1.06%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1825	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.07939	-0.95%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1920	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.080071	-0.31%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2339	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.085685	-1.51%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2478	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081274	-0.41%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1436	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.081171	+0.06%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1691	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085642	-0.42%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1512	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089122	-0.91%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1357	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.09173	-1.08%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1161	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098622	-1.63%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1585	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103504	-1.78%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1292	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.101653	-1.66%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1966	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.107806	-1.79%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2371	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.116291	-1.92%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2414	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.124291	-2.07%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2634	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.122837	-2.13%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2490	✓	1.00