MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s6

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

166

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

61.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0326

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0068

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.04588	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.045733	-0.56%	0.04613	+0.30%	0.0050	✓	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.043142	-0.49%	0.04599	+6.08%	0.0439	✗	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043821	-0.52%	0.043355	-1.58%	0.0313	✓	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043605	-0.52%	0.04405	+0.49%	0.0133	✗	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.045035	-0.55%	0.043835	-3.20%	0.0388	✓	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.046559	-0.59%	0.045285	-3.31%	0.0255	✓	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.045231	-0.57%	0.046835	+2.96%	0.0467	✗	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.045456	-0.56%	0.04549	-0.48%	0.0098	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.044173	-0.53%	0.04571	+2.93%	0.0640	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.043432	-0.52%	0.04441	+1.72%	0.0041	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.046449	-0.60%	0.04366	-6.57%	0.0256	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042828	-0.47%	0.04673	+8.60%	0.0734	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.041301	-0.41%	0.04303	+3.76%	0.0344	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040863	-0.37%	0.04147	+1.11%	0.0007	✓	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.044144	-0.45%	0.041015	-7.51%	0.0456	✓	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.046013	-0.49%	0.044345	-4.10%	0.0022	✓	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.049758	-0.56%	0.04624	-7.59%	0.0698	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048873	-0.57%	0.05004	+1.80%	0.0365	✗	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.049657	-0.64%	0.049155	-1.64%	0.0406	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.046019	-0.65%	0.049975	+7.89%	0.0783	✗	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.049755	-0.76%	0.04632	-7.61%	0.0656	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041582	-0.45%	0.050135	+20.03%	0.1654	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041788	-0.46%	0.04177	-0.50%	0.0010	✓	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.042007	-0.47%	0.04198	-0.53%	0.0038	✓	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043685	-0.49%	0.042205	-3.86%	0.0172	✓	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044598	-0.52%	0.0439	-2.07%	0.0165	✓	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.046257	-0.58%	0.04483	-3.64%	0.0369	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044663	-0.55%	0.046525	+3.60%	0.0459	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043395	-0.54%	0.04491	+2.93%	0.0342	✗	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046269	-0.59%	0.04363	-6.26%	0.0272	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045018	-0.57%	0.046545	+2.81%	0.0403	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.04273	-0.61%	0.045275	+5.32%	0.0437	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042128	-0.61%	0.04299	+1.43%	0.0217	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040646	-0.57%	0.042385	+3.68%	0.0351	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035163	-0.36%	0.04088	+15.84%	0.0699	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034415	-0.31%	0.03529	+2.23%	0.0214	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.03399	-0.26%	0.03452	+1.29%	0.0060	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.0356	-0.31%	0.03408	-4.56%	0.0009	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035367	-0.29%	0.03571	+0.68%	0.0131	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036949	-0.34%	0.03547	-4.33%	0.0332	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037494	-0.35%	0.037075	-1.46%	0.0121	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036753	-0.30%	0.037625	+2.06%	0.0116	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038524	-0.31%	0.036865	-4.61%	0.0136	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041964	-0.43%	0.038645	-8.30%	0.0795	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040071	-0.25%	0.042145	+4.92%	0.0620	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039543	-0.09%	0.04017	+1.49%	0.0385	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040123	-0.07%	0.03958	-1.42%	0.0228	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038618	+0.07%	0.04015	+4.04%	0.0360	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040142	+0.18%	0.03859	-3.69%	0.0101	✗	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036748	+0.16%	0.04007	+9.21%	0.0125	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037523	+0.22%	0.03669	-2.00%	0.0207	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038065	+0.33%	0.03744	-1.32%	0.0047	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036824	+0.35%	0.03794	+3.39%	0.0140	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038553	+0.37%	0.036695	-4.46%	0.0394	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037552	+0.38%	0.03841	+2.67%	0.0157	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039284	+0.39%	0.03741	-4.40%	0.0068	✗	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039645	+0.34%	0.03913	-0.96%	0.0347	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039011	+0.29%	0.03951	+1.57%	0.0039	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040277	+0.22%	0.0389	-3.21%	0.0269	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042896	+0.08%	0.04019	-6.23%	0.0879	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040248	+0.02%	0.04286	+6.51%	0.0506	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042453	-0.06%	0.04024	-5.27%	0.0307	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037724	-0.23%	0.04248	+12.35%	0.0248	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034724	-0.48%	0.03781	+8.37%	0.0155	✗	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.03186	-0.59%	0.03489	+8.86%	0.0015	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.032004	-0.61%	0.03205	-0.47%	0.0028	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031374	-0.56%	0.0322	+2.06%	0.0087	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.031075	-0.50%	0.03155	+1.02%	0.0191	✗	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.031007	-0.46%	0.03123	+0.26%	0.0062	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032471	-0.56%	0.03115	-4.61%	0.0318	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.033028	-0.58%	0.032655	-1.70%	0.0117	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032958	-0.55%	0.03322	+0.24%	0.0105	✗	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.036154	-0.68%	0.03314	-8.96%	0.0789	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035746	-0.65%	0.0364	+1.17%	0.0387	✗	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035925	-0.66%	0.03598	-0.51%	0.0028	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.035053	-0.64%	0.036165	+2.51%	0.0309	✗	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.035315	-0.66%	0.03528	-0.76%	0.0147	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035828	-0.67%	0.03555	-1.44%	0.0004	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035603	-0.66%	0.03607	+0.64%	0.0008	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036438	-0.69%	0.03584	-2.32%	0.0297	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.036269	-0.66%	0.03669	+0.49%	0.0123	✗	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.036269	-0.63%	0.03651	+0.03%	0.0101	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036319	-0.60%	0.0365	-0.11%	0.0064	✗	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036789	-0.57%	0.03654	-1.24%	0.0359	✗	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036212	-0.50%	0.037	+1.66%	0.0040	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039341	-0.58%	0.036395	-8.02%	0.0789	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039509	-0.53%	0.03957	-0.38%	0.0017	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.043012	-0.55%	0.03972	-8.16%	0.0453	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042294	-0.54%	0.04325	+1.70%	0.0008	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.043251	-0.55%	0.042525	-2.22%	0.0214	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042958	-0.48%	0.04349	+0.75%	0.0327	✗	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043499	-0.44%	0.043165	-1.20%	0.0139	✗	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043188	-0.40%	0.04369	+0.76%	0.0205	✗	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042615	-0.39%	0.04336	+1.36%	0.0099	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043869	-0.41%	0.04278	-2.88%	0.0365	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044307	-0.39%	0.04405	-0.97%	0.0034	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043156	-0.33%	0.04448	+2.73%	0.0110	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045922	-0.39%	0.0433	-6.07%	0.0615	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047829	-0.41%	0.0461	-4.01%	0.0165	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048842	-0.40%	0.048025	-2.07%	0.0111	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.047104	-0.33%	0.04904	+3.77%	0.0194	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045959	-0.30%	0.04726	+2.53%	0.0619	✗	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046552	-0.27%	0.046095	-1.25%	0.0091	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047308	-0.26%	0.04668	-1.58%	0.0053	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047851	-0.23%	0.04743	-1.11%	0.0308	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.04724	-0.19%	0.04796	+1.33%	0.0067	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050192	-0.25%	0.04733	-5.94%	0.0337	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049294	-0.24%	0.05032	+1.84%	0.0362	✗	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051181	-0.27%	0.04941	-3.72%	0.0449	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052268	-0.29%	0.05132	-2.10%	0.0300	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050902	-0.25%	0.05242	+2.72%	0.0161	✗	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049461	-0.22%	0.05103	+2.95%	0.0069	✗	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045069	-0.16%	0.04957	+9.81%	0.0610	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045172	-0.13%	0.04514	-0.20%	0.0345	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.048013	-0.16%	0.04523	-5.95%	0.0215	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045638	-0.11%	0.04809	+5.25%	0.0369	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047191	-0.12%	0.04569	-3.30%	0.0220	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046661	-0.10%	0.04725	+1.16%	0.0140	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.04647	-0.09%	0.04671	+0.43%	0.0015	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050622	-0.13%	0.04651	-8.25%	0.0572	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055391	-0.21%	0.05069	-8.68%	0.0550	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055687	-0.25%	0.05551	-0.56%	0.0233	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056331	-0.26%	0.055825	-1.16%	0.0236	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054559	-0.26%	0.05648	+3.25%	0.0553	✗	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056854	-0.33%	0.0547	-4.10%	0.0546	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.06179	-0.61%	0.05704	-8.25%	0.0934	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056893	-0.38%	0.06217	+8.86%	0.1275	✗	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.057215	-0.48%	0.05711	-0.66%	0.0271	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059832	-0.74%	0.05749	-4.63%	0.0239	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.062241	-1.00%	0.06028	-4.12%	0.0461	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.062086	-1.00%	0.06287	+0.26%	0.0197	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046545	-0.22%	0.06271	+34.43%	0.2794	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046	-0.20%	0.04665	+1.22%	0.0146	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042507	-0.03%	0.04609	+8.40%	0.0408	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047157	-0.11%	0.04252	-9.93%	0.0989	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050014	-0.17%	0.04721	-5.77%	0.0316	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048451	-0.06%	0.0501	+3.34%	0.0379	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044671	+0.16%	0.04848	+8.70%	0.0437	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046193	+0.18%	0.0446	-3.27%	0.0322	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050611	+0.08%	0.04611	-8.82%	0.0531	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054313	+0.04%	0.05057	-6.85%	0.0681	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054573	+0.02%	0.05429	-0.49%	0.0391	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059017	-0.19%	0.05456	-7.73%	0.0117	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060795	-0.29%	0.05913	-3.02%	0.0206	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.06286	-0.32%	0.06097	-3.31%	0.0264	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061512	-0.18%	0.06306	+2.33%	0.0194	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.06328	-0.19%	0.061625	-2.80%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067324	-0.31%	0.0634	-6.12%	0.0492	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067502	-0.29%	0.06753	-0.25%	0.0205	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073578	-0.46%	0.0677	-8.41%	0.0647	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.076988	-0.51%	0.073915	-4.48%	0.0443	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079723	-0.53%	0.07738	-3.46%	0.0341	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079943	-0.47%	0.08015	-0.21%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.086497	-0.58%	0.08032	-7.68%	0.0466	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081278	-0.40%	0.087	+6.61%	0.0671	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080845	-0.34%	0.081605	+0.60%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085672	-0.38%	0.08112	-5.67%	0.0523	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089564	-0.42%	0.086	-4.38%	0.0346	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.092328	-0.43%	0.08994	-3.01%	0.0172	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.099744	-0.51%	0.09273	-7.51%	0.0608	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.104796	-0.55%	0.10026	-4.86%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.10285	-0.50%	0.10538	+1.94%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.109164	-0.55%	0.10337	-5.83%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.117841	-0.62%	0.10977	-7.42%	0.0556	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.126065	-0.67%	0.11857	-6.58%	0.0555	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.124686	-0.66%	0.12692	+1.12%	0.0012	✓	1.00