MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s6

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

136

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

81.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1760

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0278

actual -0.1624

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.040883	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.041444	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042052	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.041879	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.043142	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.044532	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.043347	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.043501	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.042419	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.041725	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.04456	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.04116	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.039709	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.039237	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.042367	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.044217	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.047659	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.046973	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.047662	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.044378	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.047444	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.04015	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.040402	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.040627	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.04222	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043056	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.044542	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043214	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042166	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.044827	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.043879	-3.08%	0.04289	-5.27%	0.0473	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.041243	-4.06%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0160	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.040775	-3.80%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0657	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039495	-3.39%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0830	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034177	-3.15%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1919	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.033559	-2.78%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2395	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033164	-2.69%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2100	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.034943	-2.15%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2148	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034627	-2.38%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1478	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036248	-2.23%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1148	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.036904	-1.92%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1350	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036223	-1.74%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0637	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.03809	-1.44%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0137	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041152	-2.36%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0590	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.039566	-1.50%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0412	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039299	-0.71%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0715	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.039933	-0.54%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1222	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038706	+0.30%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1171	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040581	+1.28%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1460	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036702	+0.03%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1007	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037664	+0.60%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1489	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038582	+1.69%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0085	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037408	+1.94%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0129	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039453	+2.72%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0206	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.038748	+3.58%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0137	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.041542	+6.16%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0075	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.04218	+6.76%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0125	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.041935	+7.80%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0312	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.043918	+9.28%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0970	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.046605	+8.74%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.1486	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.043688	+8.57%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.1287	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.046844	+10.27%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.1354	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.03877	+2.54%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0535	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.03442	-1.35%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0341	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030915	-3.54%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0896	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031038	-3.61%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.1164	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030284	-4.01%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1305	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.029984	-3.99%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1162	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029936	-3.90%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0986	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031374	-3.92%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.1024	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.031884	-4.02%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.1043	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.031785	-4.09%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.1066	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.034735	-4.57%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1717	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.034474	-4.19%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0674	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.034635	-4.23%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1313	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.033887	-3.95%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1453	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034057	-4.20%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1433	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.034561	-4.18%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1882	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034288	-4.33%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1836	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035017	-4.56%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2358	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.034859	-4.52%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.2126	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.03481	-4.63%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2366	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034894	-4.50%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2538	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.03558	-3.84%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1956	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034949	-3.97%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.2020	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.037881	-4.27%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2823	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.037946	-4.47%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2559	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.041561	-3.91%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3133	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.040708	-4.27%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2883	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.041603	-4.34%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2292	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.04158	-3.67%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2631	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042331	-3.11%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2295	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042135	-2.82%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2366	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.041374	-3.29%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2541	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.042467	-3.59%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2814	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043032	-3.26%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2831	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.041809	-3.44%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2586	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.044447	-3.58%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3366	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.046394	-3.40%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3608	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.047376	-3.39%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3386	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.044991	-4.80%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3287	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.04395	-4.65%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.2776	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.044634	-4.38%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2071	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.045558	-3.95%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2523	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.04604	-4.00%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.2811	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.045367	-4.15%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3125	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.048171	-4.27%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3253	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.047419	-4.03%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.2872	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.049079	-4.37%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3252	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.049982	-4.65%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3181	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.048662	-4.64%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3102	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.047258	-4.67%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.2883	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.04325	-4.19%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2323	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.043356	-4.14%	0.037	-18.20%	0.2985	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.045858	-4.64%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3143	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.043724	-4.30%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.1952	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.045154	-4.44%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2099	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.044717	-4.27%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1475	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.04456	-4.19%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1455	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.048505	-4.31%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.1735	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.05302	-4.49%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2529	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.053414	-4.32%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2432	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.054047	-4.31%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.2856	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.052515	-3.99%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2254	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.054712	-4.08%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2425	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.059259	-4.68%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3297	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.054879	-3.91%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2234	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055319	-3.78%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1364	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.057795	-4.12%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1470	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.059713	-5.02%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1790	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059343	-5.37%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1714	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.04575	-1.93%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0033	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.04532	-1.67%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0252	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042275	-0.58%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0644	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.04678	-0.91%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0035	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049446	-1.31%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0282	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048059	-0.87%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0456	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044924	+0.73%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0465	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046538	+0.93%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0583	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050409	-0.32%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0493	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.053773	-0.95%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0306	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.053791	-1.41%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0075	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.057217	-3.23%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0053	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.058669	-3.77%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.0946	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.060588	-3.92%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.0851	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.059569	-3.34%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0553	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.061147	-3.55%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0536	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.064524	-4.45%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.1091	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.06483	-4.24%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0931	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.070135	-5.11%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0882	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.07341	-5.13%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0735	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.076227	-4.89%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.1304	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.076802	-4.38%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.1308	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.082159	-5.56%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.2183	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.077553	-4.97%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.1079	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.077279	-4.73%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.081687	-5.02%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1807	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.085101	-5.38%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2270	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.087962	-5.14%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.2137	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.095032	-5.21%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2282	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.100115	-5.00%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2379	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.098103	-5.10%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5219	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.10436	-4.93%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5812	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.112774	-4.89%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6902	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.120468	-5.08%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6497	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.118755	-5.38%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6170	✓	1.00