HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s6

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

54.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2694

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0040

actual -0.1284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006859	+1.02%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.007023	+1.26%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.007037	+1.82%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007563	+1.16%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008452	+0.04%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008864	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.00863	+0.15%	–	pending	–	–	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.009021	-0.15%	0.00679	-24.83%	0.3307	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.00886	+0.13%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2381	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008781	+0.64%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2435	✗	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009131	+0.07%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.1283	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010899	-0.83%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1881	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009964	-0.42%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0682	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008596	+1.27%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0162	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010786	-0.63%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.1063	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.012068	-0.74%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.2109	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011818	-0.65%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.1383	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013624	-1.05%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2876	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014562	-1.58%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.2057	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012949	-1.13%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1760	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014651	-1.72%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.4150	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011704	-0.94%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0639	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012662	-1.21%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.1164	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010704	-0.68%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0136	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011585	-0.71%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.0914	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.014086	-1.54%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.0363	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013368	-1.37%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0370	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009919	-0.34%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.3882	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008991	-0.14%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3077	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009462	-0.03%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4124	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012379	-0.36%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0088	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010791	-0.72%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0673	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011711	-0.93%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.0605	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015715	-3.14%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2886	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011871	-1.01%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.5033	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012776	-1.66%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6847	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011441	+0.22%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.6161	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009917	+2.39%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1764	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008363	+4.49%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0515	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010382	+3.34%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0563	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012267	+1.72%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1093	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010796	+3.64%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1076	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009989	+4.06%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.2906	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012292	+2.22%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0368	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.013	+1.63%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2827	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015679	+0.02%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6274	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022512	-1.58%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7740	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018202	-0.93%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3802	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.02415	-1.61%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7810	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.01887	-1.40%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6884	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.02066	-1.68%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5546	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024669	-2.35%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6635	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025902	-4.04%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5360	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021682	-2.19%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0333	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014203	-0.56%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2341	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016613	-0.29%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3781	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022386	-2.03%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1348	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019431	-1.42%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.0928	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.0187	-1.14%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3061	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015993	-0.97%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5243	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.01362	-0.72%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4719	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013285	-0.33%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0787	✗	1.00