HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s6
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 189
Track record at +1d
assessed
62
of 63 predictions shown
direction hit
54.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1368
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0066
actual -0.0142
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.007225 | 0.007192 | -0.45% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.007181 | 0.007152 | -0.40% | 0.007225 | +0.61% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006911 | -0.34% | 0.007181 | +3.54% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006891 | -0.30% | 0.006935 | +0.35% | 0.0384 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007451 | -0.34% | 0.006911 | -7.56% | 0.0684 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.008412 | -0.43% | 0.007476 | -11.50% | 0.1436 | ✓ | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.00885 | -0.48% | 0.008448 | -5.00% | 0.0416 | ✓ | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.00858 | -0.44% | 0.008892 | +3.20% | 0.0617 | ✗ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008991 | -0.48% | 0.008617 | -4.62% | 0.0656 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.00881 | -0.44% | 0.009034 | +2.10% | 0.0900 | ✗ | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008692 | -0.38% | 0.008849 | +1.42% | 0.0395 | ✓ | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.009084 | -0.43% | 0.008725 | -4.37% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010917 | -0.66% | 0.009124 | -16.98% | 0.2124 | ✓ | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009955 | -0.51% | 0.010989 | +9.83% | 0.0830 | ✗ | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.008464 | -0.28% | 0.010006 | +17.88% | 0.1306 | ✗ | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.010793 | -0.57% | 0.008488 | -21.81% | 0.1746 | ✓ | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.012077 | -0.67% | 0.010855 | -10.71% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.011819 | -0.64% | 0.012157 | +2.20% | 0.0367 | ✗ | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.013663 | -0.76% | 0.011895 | -13.60% | 0.1085 | ✓ | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.014665 | -0.89% | 0.013768 | -6.95% | 0.1347 | ✓ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.012992 | -0.80% | 0.014797 | +12.98% | 0.1203 | ✗ | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.014765 | -0.95% | 0.013097 | -12.15% | 0.1059 | ✓ | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.011725 | -0.76% | 0.014907 | +26.17% | 0.1882 | ✗ | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.012706 | -0.86% | 0.011815 | -7.81% | 0.0694 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.010706 | -0.67% | 0.012816 | +18.92% | 0.1726 | ✗ | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.011581 | -0.75% | 0.010778 | -7.63% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.014162 | -1.01% | 0.011668 | -18.44% | 0.1955 | ✓ | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.01342 | -0.99% | 0.014306 | +5.55% | 0.0511 | ✗ | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.009896 | -0.58% | 0.013554 | +36.18% | 0.3267 | ✗ | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008964 | -0.44% | 0.009953 | +10.54% | 0.1044 | ✗ | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009421 | -0.47% | 0.009004 | -4.87% | 0.0318 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.012333 | -0.73% | 0.009465 | -23.81% | 0.2485 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.010797 | -0.66% | 0.012424 | +14.30% | 0.0961 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.011727 | -0.80% | 0.01087 | -8.05% | 0.0726 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.016004 | -1.36% | 0.011822 | -27.14% | 0.3189 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.01188 | -0.93% | 0.016224 | +35.29% | 0.1234 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.012851 | -1.09% | 0.011992 | -7.70% | 0.0779 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.011326 | -0.79% | 0.012992 | +13.81% | 0.1132 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.00965 | -0.36% | 0.011416 | +17.87% | 0.3004 | ✗ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007994 | -0.11% | 0.009685 | +21.02% | 0.1242 | ✗ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.01002 | -0.27% | 0.008004 | -20.34% | 0.2024 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.012002 | -0.48% | 0.010047 | -16.69% | 0.1804 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.010396 | -0.20% | 0.01206 | +15.77% | 0.1397 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.009592 | -0.08% | 0.010417 | +8.51% | 0.1051 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.012 | -0.22% | 0.0096 | -20.18% | 0.2211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.012765 | -0.21% | 0.012026 | -5.99% | 0.0515 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.015621 | -0.35% | 0.012792 | -18.40% | 0.1842 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.022672 | -0.88% | 0.015676 | -31.46% | 0.3753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.018264 | -0.59% | 0.022874 | +24.50% | 0.2231 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.024311 | -0.96% | 0.018372 | -25.15% | 0.2604 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.018983 | -0.81% | 0.024546 | +28.26% | 0.2071 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.020811 | -0.96% | 0.019138 | -8.93% | 0.0826 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.024936 | -1.29% | 0.021014 | -16.82% | 0.1562 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.026567 | -1.58% | 0.025262 | -6.42% | 0.0619 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.021897 | -1.22% | 0.026994 | +21.78% | 0.2166 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.014206 | -0.54% | 0.022167 | +55.20% | 0.4399 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.016616 | -0.27% | 0.014283 | -14.27% | 0.1205 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.022567 | -1.24% | 0.016661 | -27.09% | 0.3191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.019519 | -0.97% | 0.02285 | +15.93% | 0.1512 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018775 | -0.75% | 0.019711 | +4.20% | 0.0544 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.016015 | -0.84% | 0.018916 | +17.13% | 0.1505 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013611 | -0.79% | 0.01615 | +17.72% | 0.1623 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013264 | -0.49% | 0.013719 | +2.93% | 0.0501 | ✗ | 1.00 |