HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s6
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
90.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4472
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0245
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.006678 | -1.65% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006849 | -1.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006821 | -1.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007369 | -1.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.008307 | -1.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008726 | -1.87% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008479 | -1.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008877 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008718 | -1.48% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008577 | -1.70% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008991 | -1.46% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010759 | -2.09% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009819 | -1.87% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.008309 | -2.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.010644 | -1.94% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.011953 | -1.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.011728 | -1.41% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.013478 | -2.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.0143 | -3.35% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.012784 | -2.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.014381 | -3.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.011575 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.012505 | -2.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.010604 | -1.61% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.011511 | -1.35% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.013862 | -3.10% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.013196 | -2.64% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.009879 | -0.74% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008901 | -1.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.00948 | +0.16% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.012436 | +0.10% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.4432 | ✗ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.010655 | -1.98% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.5084 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.011555 | -2.25% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.5410 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.015123 | -6.78% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.7546 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.011589 | -3.36% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.5247 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.012419 | -4.41% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.5556 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.011103 | -2.75% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.5227 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.009536 | -1.54% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.2209 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.00799 | -0.17% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1988 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009964 | -0.83% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.3421 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011857 | -1.68% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.5574 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.010333 | -0.80% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.009511 | -0.93% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011787 | -1.99% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3688 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.012548 | -1.91% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1965 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.015468 | -1.33% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.3036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.022038 | -3.65% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6881 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017911 | -2.51% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.3454 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.023675 | -3.55% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.5119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.018468 | -3.50% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.4327 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.020194 | -3.90% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3954 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.02404 | -4.84% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7720 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.024885 | -7.81% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7376 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.021243 | -4.17% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.7432 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.014103 | -1.26% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2712 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.01667 | +0.05% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.2032 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.021963 | -3.88% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.5448 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.019208 | -2.55% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.7294 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018604 | -1.65% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7918 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015954 | -1.22% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.01364 | -0.58% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.2101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013447 | +0.88% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2483 | ✗ | 1.00 |