GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s6

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

145

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

55.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0819

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0225

actual -0.0279

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.301615	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.301606	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.296357	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.291663	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.294149	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.291683	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.29731	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.292691	-2.58%	0.3105	+3.34%	0.0601	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.3093	-3.00%	0.3103	-2.68%	0.0042	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.308616	-2.83%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0096	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.318728	-3.25%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0600	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.324858	-3.29%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0720	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.333661	-3.57%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1073	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.330939	-3.46%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0795	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.312246	-2.82%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0385	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.314923	-2.80%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0123	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.319063	-2.62%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0051	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.319992	-2.58%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0297	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.314339	-1.69%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0671	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.318122	-2.22%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0846	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.319687	-2.22%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0705	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.313152	-1.63%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0270	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.316532	-1.88%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0234	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.314012	-1.70%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0419	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.311869	-1.56%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0510	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.32403	-1.57%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0135	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.336648	-1.78%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0342	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.342646	-1.82%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0470	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.348261	-1.83%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0899	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.336491	-1.78%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0420	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.345478	-1.98%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0789	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.351374	-2.08%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1036	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.359146	-4.15%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.0906	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.329815	-3.24%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0349	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.325636	-4.28%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0655	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.338876	-6.00%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0245	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.294067	-2.76%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1295	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.295088	-2.80%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1374	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.291725	-2.37%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1711	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.288377	-2.39%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2425	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.290312	-2.27%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1442	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.297056	-2.33%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.1181	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.28193	-1.80%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2467	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.284381	-1.44%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0717	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.298935	-1.65%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0288	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.288921	-1.12%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0379	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.293519	-0.91%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0233	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.297198	-1.05%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0117	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.290797	-0.85%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0611	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.291801	+0.19%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0162	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286698	+0.28%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0003	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.280151	+1.03%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0747	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.28702	+1.17%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0143	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.285658	+1.39%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0281	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.28942	+1.73%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0323	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.287856	+1.84%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0131	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.311075	+2.16%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0683	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.312726	+1.78%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0848	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.314143	+1.90%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1210	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.318696	+1.95%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1152	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.328308	+1.33%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1528	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.337118	+0.81%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1727	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.345488	+1.21%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.1995	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310653	-0.14%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0254	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.323379	-1.74%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0330	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.353748	-2.94%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1541	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.357126	-2.89%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1534	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.353768	-2.93%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1075	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.360909	-3.06%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.0936	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.357539	-3.00%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0703	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.380113	-3.30%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2125	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.363862	-3.23%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1077	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.360038	-3.45%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0107	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.352298	-3.20%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0422	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.335449	-2.78%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0864	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.336781	-2.73%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.1035	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.332668	-2.61%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1058	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.329982	-2.56%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1764	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.348831	-2.64%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0768	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.33997	-2.74%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0932	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.333466	-2.81%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0869	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.319467	-2.59%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0755	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.313159	-2.59%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.0984	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.319885	-2.68%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0636	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.322577	-2.52%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0491	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.320742	-2.61%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1101	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.339998	-2.86%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0275	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.356024	-3.19%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0367	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.364497	-3.02%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1039	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.357543	-3.56%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1051	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.350553	-3.08%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0635	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.343289	-2.67%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0365	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.346889	-2.44%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0501	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.353488	-2.71%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0078	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.31637	-2.32%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1491	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.309058	-2.43%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1964	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.311576	-2.40%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1733	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.316658	-2.51%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1332	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.324067	-2.61%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0859	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.32479	-2.44%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0917	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.323195	-2.43%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1184	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.318152	-2.72%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0227	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.329405	-2.66%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0373	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.336356	-2.56%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0501	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.339372	-2.38%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0444	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.339602	-2.53%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0191	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.34578	-2.75%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0332	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.363813	-2.93%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.0898	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.366068	-2.77%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1170	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.370568	-2.93%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.0904	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.375641	-3.11%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.0829	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.372116	-3.09%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0641	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.376118	-3.26%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0725	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.381277	-3.40%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0647	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.381429	-3.36%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0055	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.380821	-3.31%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0022	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.36746	-2.87%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0515	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.366678	-2.83%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0659	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.37896	-2.99%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0210	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.380221	-2.83%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0280	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.371197	-2.55%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0586	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.380723	-2.65%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0225	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.389104	-2.71%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0012	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.399351	-2.83%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0663	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.404978	-2.86%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0848	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.3919	-2.60%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0176	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.365379	-1.89%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0504	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.403588	-2.75%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0847	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.415016	-2.87%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0831	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.423019	-2.91%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0746	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.476558	-3.43%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1633	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.43444	-2.95%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0380	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.441906	-2.87%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.0928	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.458349	-2.97%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.1968	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.458304	-2.72%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1469	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.441725	-2.42%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.0950	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.452575	-2.40%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0877	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.45724	-2.24%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0390	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.401604	-0.96%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0514	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.43031	-1.21%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0154	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.423882	-1.45%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1122	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.471865	-1.61%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0397	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.498959	-1.97%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0198	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.43762	-1.94%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1809	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.441696	-2.08%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2076	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.465865	-2.28%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0538	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.441944	-2.56%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1696	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.609692	-2.89%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.2073	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.691475	-2.97%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2171	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.648994	-3.19%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1141	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.61449	-3.40%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2399	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.689535	-4.64%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3791	✓	1.00