GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s6

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

122

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

77.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1207

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0363

actual -0.0868

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.297439	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.297163	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.291757	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.286062	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.28821	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.28551	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.291393	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.288229	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.303475	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.304309	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.313548	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.32119	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.329519	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.326769	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.308791	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.31343	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.319215	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.320896	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.316836	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.320206	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.321966	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.31602	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.319333	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.317177	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315527	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.329612	+0.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.343052	+0.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.349299	+0.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.356573	+0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.345509	+0.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.360485	+2.28%	0.3105	-11.90%	0.1497	✗	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.368065	+2.57%	0.3103	-13.53%	0.1707	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.361075	-3.64%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1684	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.332445	-2.47%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.1029	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.328036	-3.58%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.0827	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.336844	-6.56%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1306	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.289477	-4.27%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0388	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.289629	-4.60%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0113	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.289102	-3.25%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0830	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.284175	-3.82%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0835	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.286326	-3.61%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.1220	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.292549	-3.81%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.1078	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.277592	-3.31%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1916	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.282233	-2.19%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1749	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.296557	-2.43%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0656	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.288616	-1.23%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0968	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296199	-0.00%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0776	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.299883	-0.16%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0643	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293611	+0.11%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0429	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.297908	+2.29%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0654	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.288446	+0.89%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0820	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.28203	+1.71%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0745	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.290722	+2.48%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0707	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.289357	+2.70%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0811	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.295075	+3.72%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0556	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.294418	+4.16%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.0920	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.322992	+6.07%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0494	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.326347	+6.22%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0532	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.330978	+7.36%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0509	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.338233	+8.20%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0016	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.35074	+8.25%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0158	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.361327	+8.05%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0296	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.3715	+8.83%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0014	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.324582	+4.33%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0429	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.327593	-0.46%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0591	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.35044	-3.84%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0141	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.354174	-3.69%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1746	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.350291	-3.89%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1601	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.357896	-3.87%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1990	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.354273	-3.89%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.2033	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.376493	-4.22%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2541	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.360342	-4.16%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1857	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.356483	-4.40%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2317	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.347995	-4.38%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.2046	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.331216	-4.01%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.1069	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.332495	-3.97%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1510	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.32859	-3.81%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.1270	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.325773	-3.80%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.1038	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.344465	-3.86%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1815	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.335214	-4.10%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1615	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.327915	-4.43%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1526	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.313789	-4.32%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1384	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.30679	-4.58%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0922	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.31304	-4.76%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.1187	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.316746	-4.28%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.1193	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.313739	-4.74%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.1158	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.332167	-5.10%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.1020	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.347461	-5.52%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1392	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.35613	-5.25%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1553	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.347574	-6.25%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1160	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.338396	-6.44%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0515	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.331253	-6.08%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0000	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.334775	-5.84%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0102	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.341202	-6.10%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.0972	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.305481	-5.69%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0780	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.299254	-5.52%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.1971	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.301398	-5.59%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.1986	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.305268	-6.01%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1761	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.312328	-6.14%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1749	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.313898	-5.71%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1591	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.313324	-5.41%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2254	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.308217	-5.76%	0.376	+14.97%	0.2007	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.3186	-5.85%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1569	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.32405	-6.13%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.1164	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.326679	-6.03%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0562	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.327917	-5.88%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0580	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.334777	-5.84%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0253	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.35201	-6.08%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0364	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.353804	-6.03%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0141	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.357712	-6.30%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0220	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.361976	-6.64%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0527	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.358444	-6.66%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.0865	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.361789	-6.95%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1150	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.365936	-7.29%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1008	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.36661	-7.12%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.0871	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.366609	-6.92%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.0982	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.355432	-6.04%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0013	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.355063	-5.91%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0472	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.365462	-6.45%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0442	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.366386	-6.37%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0261	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.358877	-5.78%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0161	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.367993	-5.91%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0349	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.376842	-5.78%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0510	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.386568	-5.94%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0520	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.392981	-5.74%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.1902	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.381284	-5.24%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1806	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.357899	-3.89%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.1038	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.394405	-4.96%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.1984	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.406165	-4.95%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2140	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.414391	-4.89%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2313	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.465223	-5.73%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3440	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.423831	-5.32%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2250	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.430537	-5.37%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2440	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.445397	-5.72%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2581	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.444205	-5.71%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2878	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.428418	-5.36%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2306	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.439074	-5.31%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1978	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.443626	-5.15%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1689	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.390025	-3.82%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.418103	-4.02%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.1319	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.41353	-3.85%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0532	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.460449	-3.99%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1575	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.486471	-4.43%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1433	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.42872	-3.94%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.0907	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.43365	-3.87%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1348	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.457218	-4.10%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.0547	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.433616	-4.40%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.0735	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.595298	-5.18%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2517	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.672755	-5.60%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.3296	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.631803	-5.75%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2401	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.598535	-5.91%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.2155	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.66706	-7.74%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3279	✓	1.00