GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s6

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

55.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0339

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.308899	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.308696	-0.52%	0.3105	+0.06%	0.0060	✗	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304093	-0.53%	0.3103	+1.50%	0.0215	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.298559	-0.53%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0249	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.300769	-0.54%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0021	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298057	-0.53%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0148	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.303935	-0.54%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0143	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.298989	-0.49%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0216	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317218	-0.51%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0541	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316193	-0.44%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0078	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.32784	-0.49%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0314	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334311	-0.47%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0150	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344237	-0.51%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0246	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341093	-0.50%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0142	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.320006	-0.40%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0688	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322878	-0.35%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0049	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326679	-0.30%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0087	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327534	-0.28%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0004	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.31925	-0.16%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0286	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324586	-0.23%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0156	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.32617	-0.24%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0026	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317783	-0.18%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0286	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321846	-0.23%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0115	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318796	-0.20%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0119	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.316163	-0.20%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0103	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.328573	-0.19%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0364	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.341841	-0.27%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0377	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.347779	-0.35%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0146	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.353281	-0.41%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0121	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.340911	-0.49%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0398	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350596	-0.53%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0234	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.357017	-0.51%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0129	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.371206	-0.93%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0396	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.338277	-0.75%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1023	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.337325	-0.85%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0100	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.35704	-0.96%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0605	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.300786	-0.53%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1805	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.301921	-0.55%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0007	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297428	-0.46%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0324	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294015	-0.49%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0099	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.295661	-0.47%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0012	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.302664	-0.49%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0190	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.285986	-0.39%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0584	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.287687	-0.30%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0063	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303001	-0.31%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0481	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.29162	-0.20%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0444	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.295872	-0.11%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0067	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300013	-0.11%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0152	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293059	-0.08%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0236	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.291433	+0.06%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0171	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.285965	+0.02%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0060	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277621	+0.12%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0300	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.28425	+0.19%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0167	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.28241	+0.23%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0018	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285331	+0.29%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0109	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283557	+0.32%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0021	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.305466	+0.32%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0715	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.308222	+0.32%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0157	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.309325	+0.33%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0084	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.31352	+0.29%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0155	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324865	+0.27%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0417	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.33517	+0.23%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0356	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.34201	+0.19%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0192	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.311293	+0.06%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0882	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.328287	-0.25%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0466	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362645	-0.50%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1029	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365847	-0.52%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0041	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.362487	-0.54%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0120	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.370153	-0.58%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0153	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.366542	-0.56%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0155	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.3907	-0.61%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0576	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.373688	-0.61%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0506	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.370556	-0.63%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0147	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361885	-0.57%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0305	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343326	-0.50%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0599	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344468	-0.51%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0018	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.339808	-0.52%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0188	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336781	-0.55%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0132	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356134	-0.60%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0498	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.347316	-0.64%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0304	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340923	-0.63%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0243	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326047	-0.58%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0510	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.319604	-0.59%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0251	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.326628	-0.63%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0158	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.328892	-0.61%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0013	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.327352	-0.61%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0100	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.34774	-0.65%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0544	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.365205	-0.69%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0427	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.373184	-0.71%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0131	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.367958	-0.75%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0204	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.359189	-0.69%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0315	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350286	-0.68%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0329	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353075	-0.70%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0002	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.360638	-0.75%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0139	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.321981	-0.59%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1220	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.314961	-0.56%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0286	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317413	-0.58%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0022	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.322851	-0.60%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0103	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.330687	-0.62%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0178	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.330898	-0.60%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0047	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329408	-0.56%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0103	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325313	-0.53%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0225	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.336454	-0.58%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0314	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.343112	-0.60%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0139	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.34555	-0.60%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0017	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.346426	-0.57%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0055	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.353587	-0.55%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0129	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.372553	-0.60%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0494	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.374213	-0.61%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0001	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.379351	-0.63%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0066	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.385163	-0.65%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0078	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.381549	-0.64%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0174	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.386285	-0.65%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0034	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.392136	-0.65%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0051	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.392347	-0.60%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0097	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.391521	-0.59%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0040	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.376522	-0.47%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0473	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.375643	-0.45%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0055	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.388685	-0.50%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0298	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.38944	-0.48%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0041	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.3793	-0.42%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0276	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.389234	-0.48%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0270	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.397919	-0.51%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0218	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.408865	-0.52%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0198	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.414693	-0.53%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0121	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400563	-0.44%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0430	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.37142	-0.26%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0833	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413124	-0.45%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1158	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.425182	-0.50%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0335	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.433422	-0.52%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0194	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490321	-0.64%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1147	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.445182	-0.55%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0834	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.452416	-0.56%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.469587	-0.60%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.468486	-0.55%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0255	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.450473	-0.49%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0487	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.461241	-0.53%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.465234	-0.53%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.404447	-0.26%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1058	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.43418	-0.33%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0654	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.428483	-0.38%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0609	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.477257	-0.49%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1004	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.50609	-0.57%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.44399	-0.52%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2042	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.448483	-0.58%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0263	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.473488	-0.68%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0458	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.450252	-0.73%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0517	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.622647	-0.83%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3149	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.706451	-0.87%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1071	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.663885	-0.96%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0910	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.629651	-1.01%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0812	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.714238	-1.22%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1194	✓	1.00