GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s6

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

56.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0338

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0054

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.304799	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.303667	-0.66%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0110	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.298398	-0.58%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0255	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.300715	-0.56%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0020	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298029	-0.54%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0149	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.30379	-0.59%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0138	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.298649	-0.60%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0227	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.316781	-0.65%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0527	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.315776	-0.57%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0091	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.327231	-0.67%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0296	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.333573	-0.69%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0128	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.343344	-0.77%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0220	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.340227	-0.75%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0168	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.319394	-0.59%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0707	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322117	-0.58%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0026	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.325848	-0.55%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0062	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.326672	-0.54%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0030	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.318646	-0.35%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0305	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.323908	-0.44%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0135	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325498	-0.44%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0005	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317308	-0.33%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0301	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321415	-0.37%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0101	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318442	-0.32%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0130	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315905	-0.28%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0111	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.328283	-0.28%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0355	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.341643	-0.32%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0371	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.347783	-0.35%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0146	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.353304	-0.41%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0122	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.340725	-0.55%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0403	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.349147	-0.94%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0193	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.355351	-0.98%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0082	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.368051	-1.77%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0311	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.336581	-1.25%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1074	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.333799	-1.88%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0205	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.351987	-2.36%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0463	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.300673	-0.57%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1809	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.301826	-0.58%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0004	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297317	-0.50%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0328	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.293965	-0.50%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0101	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.295608	-0.49%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0014	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.302498	-0.54%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0184	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286004	-0.38%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0584	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.287613	-0.32%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0065	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.302829	-0.37%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0475	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.291424	-0.27%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0451	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.295492	-0.24%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0054	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.299524	-0.28%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0135	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.29258	-0.25%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0252	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.291097	-0.05%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0182	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.285864	-0.01%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0056	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277562	+0.09%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0302	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284029	+0.12%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0159	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282162	+0.15%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0027	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.28501	+0.18%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0098	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283175	+0.19%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0034	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.305075	+0.19%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0702	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.307645	+0.13%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0138	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308712	+0.13%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0064	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312925	+0.10%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0136	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324078	+0.02%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0393	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334284	-0.03%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0329	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341292	-0.02%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0171	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310629	-0.15%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0903	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.327915	-0.36%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0454	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362284	-0.59%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1020	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365579	-0.59%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0034	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.362222	-0.61%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0128	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.369681	-0.70%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0140	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.366217	-0.65%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0164	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.390084	-0.77%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0560	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.372999	-0.80%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0525	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.369419	-0.93%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0178	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361206	-0.75%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0324	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343137	-0.55%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0605	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344367	-0.54%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0021	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.339833	-0.52%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0187	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336908	-0.51%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0128	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356197	-0.59%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0500	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.347212	-0.67%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0307	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340815	-0.67%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0246	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326221	-0.53%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0505	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.31983	-0.52%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0243	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.326789	-0.58%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0163	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.329043	-0.56%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0008	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.327581	-0.54%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0093	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.347829	-0.62%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0546	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.364991	-0.75%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0421	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.372765	-0.82%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0120	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.367	-1.01%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0230	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.35928	-0.67%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0313	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350573	-0.60%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0321	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353337	-0.62%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0009	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.360148	-0.88%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0125	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.322305	-0.49%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1210	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315142	-0.51%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0280	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317639	-0.50%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0029	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323098	-0.52%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0111	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.330839	-0.57%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0183	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.330958	-0.58%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0046	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329536	-0.52%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0099	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325256	-0.55%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0227	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.33654	-0.55%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0317	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.343378	-0.53%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0147	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.345908	-0.50%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0028	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.346568	-0.53%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0051	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.353446	-0.59%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0125	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.372492	-0.62%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0492	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.374313	-0.58%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0003	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.379403	-0.61%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0067	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.385157	-0.66%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0078	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.38152	-0.65%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0175	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.386135	-0.69%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0030	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.391853	-0.72%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0043	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.391937	-0.70%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0107	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.391116	-0.69%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0050	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.376119	-0.58%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0484	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.375214	-0.57%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0067	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.388302	-0.60%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0288	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.389121	-0.56%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0049	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379042	-0.49%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0283	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.389094	-0.51%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0266	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.397807	-0.54%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0215	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.408678	-0.57%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0194	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.41449	-0.58%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0116	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.40031	-0.51%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0436	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371151	-0.34%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0840	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.412798	-0.53%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1150	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.424879	-0.57%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0328	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.433169	-0.58%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0188	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.489828	-0.74%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1137	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.445017	-0.59%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0838	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.452336	-0.57%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0243	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.469518	-0.61%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0311	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.468508	-0.55%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0256	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.450612	-0.46%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0483	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.461525	-0.47%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.465625	-0.44%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.404963	-0.13%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1045	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.434788	-0.19%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0668	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.429048	-0.24%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0596	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.477949	-0.34%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1018	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.506743	-0.44%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.44472	-0.35%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2025	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.449236	-0.41%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0247	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.474079	-0.56%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0470	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.450301	-0.72%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0516	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.622761	-0.81%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3151	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.707169	-0.77%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1081	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.663728	-0.99%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0912	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.628794	-1.15%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0826	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.709606	-1.86%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1129	✓	1.00