DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s6

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

62.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0665

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0072

actual -0.0084

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	15.1066	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.5845	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.3723	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.3272	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.3119	-0.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.6504	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	15.0123	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.9769	-1.09%	15.295	-5.31%	0.0658	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.2004	-1.01%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0924	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.1755	-0.96%	14.512	-11.15%	0.1094	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.5433	-0.86%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1184	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.7304	-0.95%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1347	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.2853	-1.14%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1486	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.185	-1.11%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1320	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.8484	-1.33%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0839	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.1305	-1.23%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0802	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.3017	-1.25%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0773	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.1279	-1.24%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0572	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	18.0688	-1.24%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0503	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	18.0192	-1.29%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0119	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.946	-1.24%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0028	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.1854	-1.35%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0027	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.8888	-1.25%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0080	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.6065	-1.18%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0299	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.2695	-1.35%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0145	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.0352	-1.30%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0113	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.49	-1.19%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0388	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.0284	-1.31%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0035	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.0369	-1.30%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0296	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.4783	-1.34%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0060	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.7685	-1.13%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0315	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.0803	-1.28%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0482	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.2802	-1.27%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0245	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.4976	-1.36%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0209	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.6222	-1.36%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0112	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.5176	-1.07%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0782	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.632	-0.81%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1358	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.5022	-1.14%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0087	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.1564	-1.07%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0270	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.9087	-0.93%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0578	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.7426	-0.82%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0838	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.4395	-0.76%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0894	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.3378	-0.86%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0203	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.1208	-1.37%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1217	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.69	-0.63%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0708	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.4566	-0.86%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0262	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.7	-1.21%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0470	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.4517	-0.68%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0497	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.4439	+1.05%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1215	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.9195	-0.20%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1579	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.3405	-0.31%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1791	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.508	-0.25%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0788	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.0711	+0.03%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1364	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.2672	+0.10%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0907	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.1413	+0.09%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0757	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.1931	+1.87%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0037	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.0073	+1.13%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0151	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.8131	+1.08%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0532	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.9858	+0.97%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0438	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.2319	-0.13%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0109	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.9405	-0.32%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0088	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.1418	+1.05%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0781	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.9751	+0.17%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0695	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8717	-0.48%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0325	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.6176	-0.81%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0385	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.963	-0.95%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0646	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.8532	-0.96%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0406	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.923	-0.95%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0531	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.8604	-0.92%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1383	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.0263	-0.94%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1545	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.1243	-0.99%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1101	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.8224	-1.25%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1095	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.626	-1.23%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0537	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.7821	-1.31%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0323	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.6349	-1.27%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0171	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.6002	-1.19%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0195	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.3613	-1.19%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0041	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.8021	-1.35%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0248	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.1879	-1.47%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0068	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.0759	-1.47%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0301	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	13.0363	-1.47%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0289	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.9008	-1.54%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0439	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.9163	-1.84%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0474	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.2965	-2.27%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0534	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.5218	-1.10%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1081	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.4579	-1.06%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1523	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.089	-0.84%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1831	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5766	-0.93%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1610	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.4879	-0.80%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1547	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.5065	-0.75%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1532	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8943	-0.83%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1393	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.362	-0.87%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0276	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.4994	-0.79%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0377	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.6244	-0.82%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0985	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.6259	-0.74%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0873	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.6233	-0.73%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0787	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.4892	-0.75%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0773	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.1965	-1.05%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1151	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.3041	-1.47%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0854	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.4961	-1.95%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0917	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.186	-2.61%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0037	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.9736	-1.84%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0471	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.1603	-0.82%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1162	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0813	-0.71%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1305	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.9354	-0.70%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1901	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.8908	-0.73%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1798	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.9343	-0.71%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2065	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.1313	-0.75%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1420	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.062	-0.74%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.0955	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.1959	-0.79%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0048	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.3844	-0.86%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0435	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.0923	-0.81%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0320	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.8604	-0.73%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0236	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.6684	-0.56%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0391	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.1943	-0.77%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0520	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11.0337	-0.65%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0474	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.3973	-0.79%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0539	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.1142	-0.74%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0022	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.8526	-0.98%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0055	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.9868	-1.58%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0786	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.1211	-0.50%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0259	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.4498	-0.55%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0403	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.3792	-0.47%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0309	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.8057	-0.57%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0419	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.5656	-0.44%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0239	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.4495	-0.26%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0081	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.9863	-0.45%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0712	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.3287	-0.50%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0517	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.5979	-0.57%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0544	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.7253	-0.68%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0688	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.1766	-0.53%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0220	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	12.0112	-0.17%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0324	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.1748	+0.02%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0480	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.962	+1.10%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0412	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	12.1259	+1.37%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0402	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.3961	+1.02%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.5295	+1.19%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0150	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.6085	+2.59%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0867	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.4682	+3.03%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0759	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	13.2812	+0.98%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0834	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.5128	+0.05%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1629	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.6598	-0.58%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1258	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.4434	-1.09%	12.271	-21.41%	0.1070	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.8075	-1.21%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0939	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.