DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s6

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

53.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1002

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0089

actual +0.0156

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.2637	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.3799	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.1561	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.101	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.0855	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.4372	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.8122	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.6989	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.961	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.9001	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.3404	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.4517	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.9702	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.8646	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.5079	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.8643	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.0505	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.8925	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.8265	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.7609	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.7101	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.9111	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.6403	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.3758	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.9939	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.7723	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.2558	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.7673	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.7886	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.2424	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.5998	-2.07%	14.773	-17.80%	0.1391	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.8193	-2.79%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1491	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.0319	-2.69%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1662	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.2444	-2.79%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1881	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.344	-3.01%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1792	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.2824	-2.57%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0920	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.4203	-2.25%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0226	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.2422	-2.69%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0373	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.8901	-2.70%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0298	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.6771	-2.38%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0014	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.543	-2.08%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0092	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.2559	-1.94%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0404	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.1893	-1.76%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0379	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.9926	-2.11%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0071	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.6149	-1.10%	18.089	+14.57%	0.1076	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.4159	-1.10%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0646	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.7785	-0.71%	18.533	+16.62%	0.1074	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.4456	-0.72%	18.355	+17.98%	0.1130	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.6596	+2.56%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.1886	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.9083	-0.28%	18.255	+30.88%	0.1943	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.3544	-0.21%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1544	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.6327	+0.61%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1778	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.1547	+0.62%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1837	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.4318	+1.26%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1559	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.3431	+1.52%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1864	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.974	+7.48%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1549	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.6985	+6.12%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1310	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.6468	+7.18%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1583	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.9966	+8.27%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1405	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.7709	+3.65%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1462	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.4479	+3.31%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1155	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.9697	+7.41%	17.302	+33.04%	0.1814	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.2624	+2.57%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2637	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.9336	+0.04%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2533	✓	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.5494	-1.39%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2062	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.8681	-1.73%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1058	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.7356	-1.95%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0335	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.8112	-1.88%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1180	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.7481	-1.85%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1197	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.9228	-1.79%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.0895	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.0201	-1.84%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0701	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.6519	-2.57%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0100	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.4553	-2.57%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0650	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.6015	-2.71%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1182	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.4683	-2.58%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0264	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.4553	-2.33%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0607	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.2265	-2.27%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0332	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.6426	-2.58%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0133	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.9722	-3.08%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1573	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.8554	-3.13%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1293	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.8293	-3.03%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0970	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.7143	-2.96%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.1056	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.7517	-3.09%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1286	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.1179	-3.59%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.1196	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.4175	-1.99%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0191	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.3295	-2.17%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0180	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.9322	-2.24%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0264	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.4308	-2.18%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0021	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.3539	-1.96%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0008	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.3791	-1.85%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0392	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.7534	-2.00%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0123	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.225	-1.96%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0982	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.3845	-1.70%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1231	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.4974	-1.82%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.1054	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.5266	-1.52%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0672	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.5717	-1.14%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0353	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.4434	-1.12%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0227	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.1543	-1.36%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0771	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.3344	-1.24%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0811	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.537	-1.65%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0850	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.257	-2.05%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0166	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.0124	-1.52%	12.985	+6.46%	0.0808	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.1469	-0.94%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1350	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0569	-0.92%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1481	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.91	-0.93%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1354	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.8511	-1.09%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1239	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.908	-0.94%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1236	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.0956	-1.07%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1481	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.0322	-1.01%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.1866	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.1636	-1.07%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1674	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.3421	-1.23%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1396	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.0438	-1.24%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1522	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.8027	-1.26%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1550	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.6085	-1.12%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1584	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.132	-1.32%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0071	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.9869	-1.07%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0084	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.3539	-1.17%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0674	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.1172	-0.71%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0225	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.9296	-0.28%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0037	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.9594	-1.80%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0685	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.079	-0.88%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0451	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.4233	-0.77%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0580	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.3209	-0.98%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.0614	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.7578	-0.97%	12.729	+7.21%	0.0641	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.5015	-0.99%	12.72	+9.49%	0.0819	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.3849	-0.82%	12.716	+10.78%	0.0805	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.9509	-0.74%	12.584	+4.52%	0.0602	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.3236	-0.54%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1075	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.6101	-0.47%	13.502	+6.57%	0.0922	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.6725	-1.09%	13.764	+7.43%	0.0936	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.0778	-1.34%	12.513	+2.21%	0.0696	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.9227	-0.91%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0196	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.1129	-0.49%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0769	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.8278	-0.04%	11.16	-5.68%	0.1008	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	12.0083	+0.39%	11.012	-7.94%	0.1105	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.3438	+0.59%	10.971	-10.59%	0.1047	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.4879	+0.86%	11.012	-11.06%	0.1261	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.4402	+1.22%	11.216	-8.74%	0.1541	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.2823	+1.49%	11.145	-7.91%	0.1381	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	13.1955	+0.33%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.1451	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.4164	-0.62%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.2034	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.5329	-1.45%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1813	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.2308	-2.45%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1575	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.5828	-2.62%	10.729	-32.95%	0.1443	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.