DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s6

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +1d

assessed

143

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

52.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0230

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0011

actual -0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.7367	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.7291	-0.14%	14.773	+0.16%	0.0052	✗	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.4992	-0.09%	14.749	+1.63%	0.0070	✗	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.4452	-0.06%	14.512	+0.40%	0.0062	✗	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.4065	-0.00%	14.454	+0.33%	0.0024	✓	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.7477	-0.01%	14.407	-2.32%	0.0223	✓	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	15.1166	-0.04%	14.749	-2.47%	0.0190	✓	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	16.1335	-0.12%	15.122	-6.38%	0.0698	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.3465	-0.11%	16.153	-1.30%	0.0021	✗	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.3166	-0.10%	16.365	+0.20%	0.0095	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.67	-0.10%	16.3325	-2.12%	0.0012	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.8751	-0.10%	16.686	-1.22%	0.0186	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.4582	-0.15%	16.8915	-3.39%	0.0365	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.3543	-0.14%	17.4845	+0.61%	0.0007	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	18.0517	-0.21%	17.3785	-3.93%	0.0232	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.3213	-0.19%	18.089	-1.45%	0.0078	✗	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.4978	-0.19%	18.356	-0.96%	0.0058	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.3207	-0.19%	18.533	+0.97%	0.0183	✗	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	18.2664	-0.16%	18.355	+0.32%	0.0112	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	18.2235	-0.17%	18.2965	+0.23%	0.0018	✗	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	18.1423	-0.16%	18.255	+0.46%	0.0093	✗	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.3998	-0.19%	18.171	-1.43%	0.0246	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	18.0868	-0.16%	18.434	+1.76%	0.0198	✗	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.7912	-0.14%	18.116	+1.68%	0.0164	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.4843	-0.19%	17.8165	-3.79%	0.0272	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.2413	-0.17%	18.519	+1.35%	0.0147	✗	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.6759	-0.14%	18.273	+3.24%	0.0301	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.2347	-0.18%	17.7	-3.11%	0.0270	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.2393	-0.20%	18.268	-0.04%	0.0015	✓	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.6867	-0.23%	18.275	-2.42%	0.0040	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.9423	-0.16%	18.729	+4.22%	0.0465	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.2711	-0.18%	17.971	+3.87%	0.0133	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.4674	-0.20%	17.302	-1.15%	0.0088	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.6915	-0.27%	17.503	-1.33%	0.0144	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.8078	-0.26%	17.739	+5.26%	0.0060	✗	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.6651	-0.13%	16.852	+7.43%	0.0708	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.7485	-0.02%	15.686	+6.33%	0.0554	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.6667	-0.15%	14.752	-11.62%	0.0968	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.3124	-0.12%	16.692	+2.21%	0.0097	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.0456	-0.08%	16.3315	+1.70%	0.0222	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.8629	-0.06%	16.0585	+1.17%	0.0117	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.551	-0.05%	15.873	+2.02%	0.0138	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.4543	-0.15%	15.558	-5.59%	0.0394	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.27	-0.51%	16.4795	-5.06%	0.0453	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.777	-0.08%	17.3585	+9.94%	0.1018	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.5581	-0.25%	15.789	-4.88%	0.0358	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.7978	-0.59%	16.599	+4.45%	0.0447	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.529	-0.18%	15.892	+2.15%	0.0217	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.3336	+0.28%	15.5575	+8.84%	0.0975	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.9579	+0.07%	14.294	+2.48%	0.0197	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.3854	+0.00%	13.9475	-3.04%	0.0299	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.5323	-0.08%	14.385	-1.10%	0.0027	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.0823	+0.11%	14.5445	+3.39%	0.0225	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.2653	+0.09%	14.067	-1.30%	0.0078	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.1385	+0.07%	14.2525	+0.87%	0.0037	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	13.9742	+0.30%	14.129	+1.41%	0.0381	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.8799	+0.21%	13.932	+0.58%	0.0101	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.6849	+0.15%	13.851	+1.36%	0.0065	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.8561	+0.04%	13.665	-1.34%	0.0089	✗	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.2266	-0.17%	13.851	-2.81%	0.0409	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.9479	-0.26%	14.251	+1.90%	0.0138	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.0224	+0.13%	13.985	+7.53%	0.0863	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.9666	+0.10%	13.0055	+8.79%	0.0226	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.9279	-0.01%	11.955	+0.22%	0.0461	✓	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.7061	-0.05%	11.9285	+1.84%	0.0526	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	12.0668	-0.09%	11.7125	-3.02%	0.0331	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.9586	-0.08%	12.0775	+0.91%	0.0174	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	12.027	-0.08%	11.9685	-0.57%	0.0018	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.9614	-0.07%	12.037	+0.56%	0.0056	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.1287	-0.09%	11.97	-1.40%	0.0057	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.2303	-0.13%	12.14	-0.87%	0.0076	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.9621	-0.18%	12.246	-5.69%	0.0548	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.7628	-0.16%	12.985	+1.58%	0.0236	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.9279	-0.19%	12.7835	-1.30%	0.0042	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.7755	-0.18%	12.952	+1.20%	0.0147	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.7325	-0.16%	12.798	+0.36%	0.0049	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.4887	-0.17%	12.7525	+1.94%	0.0107	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.9472	-0.23%	12.51	-3.60%	0.0289	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.3532	-0.23%	12.977	-3.04%	0.0378	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.2396	-0.23%	13.3845	+0.86%	0.0011	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	13.196	-0.26%	13.2705	+0.30%	0.0062	✗	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	13.0572	-0.35%	13.2305	+0.98%	0.0007	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	13.0838	-0.56%	13.1025	-0.42%	0.0025	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.4962	-0.81%	13.158	-3.29%	0.0064	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.6251	-0.21%	13.606	+16.79%	0.1447	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.5607	-0.17%	11.6495	+0.59%	0.0069	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.1782	-0.04%	11.581	+3.56%	0.0331	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.676	-0.08%	11.183	-4.30%	0.0186	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.5761	-0.04%	11.685	+0.90%	0.0062	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.59	-0.03%	11.5805	-0.11%	0.0040	✓	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.9891	-0.04%	11.5935	-3.34%	0.0192	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.4631	-0.06%	11.9935	-3.82%	0.0235	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.5935	-0.04%	12.47	-1.02%	0.0038	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.7225	-0.05%	12.5985	-1.03%	0.0289	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.714	-0.05%	12.729	+0.07%	0.0068	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.7039	-0.10%	12.72	+0.03%	0.0030	✗	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.5714	-0.10%	12.716	+1.05%	0.0022	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.2986	-0.28%	12.584	-5.64%	0.0571	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.4183	-0.62%	13.336	-1.23%	0.0083	✗	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.6339	-0.95%	13.502	-1.90%	0.0056	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.3366	-1.41%	13.764	+10.00%	0.0726	✗	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.0992	-0.81%	12.513	+2.59%	0.0549	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.2389	-0.13%	12.1975	+8.39%	0.0823	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.1551	-0.04%	11.253	+0.83%	0.0137	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	11.0068	-0.05%	11.16	+1.34%	0.0004	✓	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.9649	-0.06%	11.012	+0.37%	0.0092	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	11.0066	-0.05%	10.971	-0.37%	0.0125	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.2102	-0.05%	11.012	-1.82%	0.0081	✓	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.1397	-0.05%	11.216	+0.64%	0.0009	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.2771	-0.07%	11.145	-1.24%	0.0190	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.4722	-0.10%	11.2845	-1.73%	0.0249	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.1748	-0.07%	11.4835	+2.69%	0.0120	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.9362	-0.03%	11.1825	+2.22%	0.0004	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.7311	+0.02%	10.94	+1.97%	0.0025	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.2758	-0.05%	10.729	-4.89%	0.0256	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11.1034	-0.02%	11.281	+1.58%	0.0060	✗	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.4774	-0.10%	11.106	-3.33%	0.0263	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.1794	-0.16%	11.4885	+2.60%	0.0282	✗	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.9084	-0.47%	11.197	+2.16%	0.0220	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	12.107	-0.59%	10.96	-10.01%	0.0835	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.1766	-0.00%	12.179	+8.96%	0.1103	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.51	-0.02%	11.177	-2.91%	0.0107	✓	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.4352	+0.02%	11.5125	+0.70%	0.0034	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.8713	-0.01%	11.433	-3.71%	0.0221	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.6199	+0.03%	11.873	+2.20%	0.0098	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.4872	+0.07%	11.617	+1.20%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	12.0415	+0.01%	11.479	-4.66%	0.0232	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.3873	-0.02%	12.04	-2.82%	0.0104	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.6602	-0.08%	12.39	-2.21%	0.0116	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.8018	-0.08%	12.67	-1.11%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.2389	-0.03%	12.812	+4.66%	0.0261	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	12.0407	+0.07%	12.242	+1.75%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.1875	+0.13%	12.032	-1.15%	0.0124	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.8727	+0.34%	12.172	+2.87%	0.0090	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	12.0088	+0.39%	11.832	-1.09%	0.0109	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.31	+0.32%	11.962	-2.52%	0.0066	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.4226	+0.33%	12.271	-0.90%	0.0085	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.358	+0.55%	12.382	+0.75%	0.0376	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.1741	+0.60%	12.29	+1.55%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	13.1869	+0.27%	12.102	-7.98%	0.0414	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.5179	+0.08%	13.152	-9.33%	0.0951	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.737	-0.06%	14.506	-1.63%	0.0243	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.5966	-0.11%	14.746	-5.56%	0.0114	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.9784	-0.14%	15.614	-2.42%	0.0081	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.