BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s6

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

190

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1408

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0215

actual -0.0066

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.05033	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.049756	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.047211	-0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.048645	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.052419	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.05513	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.045403	+1.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.044863	+2.39%	0.05086	+16.08%	0.1131	✓	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.048311	+0.93%	0.050125	+4.72%	0.0385	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.054424	-0.52%	0.047365	-13.43%	0.1399	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.065116	-1.69%	0.048835	-26.27%	0.2747	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.066746	-1.91%	0.05305	-22.04%	0.2169	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.067177	-1.97%	0.056	-18.28%	0.1733	✓	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.064778	-1.80%	0.0446	-32.39%	0.3768	✓	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.066291	-1.78%	0.043815	-35.08%	0.4004	✓	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.066286	-1.26%	0.047865	-28.70%	0.3035	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.061772	-0.64%	0.05471	-12.00%	0.0853	✓	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.062168	-0.40%	0.066235	+6.12%	0.0898	✗	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.06156	-0.50%	0.068045	+9.98%	0.1176	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.06255	-0.46%	0.068525	+9.05%	0.1100	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.064846	-0.58%	0.065965	+1.13%	0.0470	✗	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.065538	-0.94%	0.06749	+2.01%	0.0319	✗	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.06627	-0.94%	0.06713	+0.34%	0.0008	✓	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.06652	-1.00%	0.06217	-7.47%	0.0881	✓	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.070091	-1.22%	0.062415	-12.04%	0.1289	✓	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.070211	-1.30%	0.06187	-13.02%	0.1285	✓	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.06851	-1.02%	0.06284	-9.21%	0.0889	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.066442	-0.67%	0.065225	-2.49%	0.0213	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.063429	-0.35%	0.06616	+3.94%	0.0472	✗	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.068742	-0.26%	0.0669	-2.94%	0.0102	✓	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.068122	-0.09%	0.06719	-1.45%	0.0118	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.065379	-1.16%	0.07096	+7.28%	0.0558	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.064825	-1.05%	0.071135	+8.59%	0.0676	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.064515	-1.02%	0.069215	+6.19%	0.0461	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.061637	-1.32%	0.06689	+7.09%	0.0248	✗	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.060722	-1.14%	0.06365	+3.63%	0.0119	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.062386	-1.29%	0.068925	+9.06%	0.0468	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.062099	-0.87%	0.06818	+8.84%	0.0514	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.061397	-0.70%	0.066145	+6.98%	0.0516	✗	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.063546	-0.76%	0.06551	+2.31%	0.0090	✗	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.063886	-0.56%	0.06518	+1.46%	0.0005	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.060766	+0.29%	0.06246	+3.09%	0.0285	✓	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.062223	+0.47%	0.06142	-0.82%	0.0022	✓	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.067614	-0.08%	0.0632	-6.61%	0.0485	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.067713	+0.41%	0.062645	-7.11%	0.0717	✗	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.067969	+0.84%	0.06183	-8.27%	0.0714	✗	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.069455	+1.02%	0.06403	-6.87%	0.0639	✗	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.069734	+1.57%	0.064245	-6.42%	0.0640	✗	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.071091	+2.10%	0.06059	-12.98%	0.1265	✗	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.068601	+1.98%	0.06193	-7.94%	0.1090	✗	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.068949	+2.20%	0.06767	+0.30%	0.0261	✗	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.070314	+2.84%	0.06744	-1.37%	0.0446	✗	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.069685	+2.72%	0.067405	-0.64%	0.0514	✗	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.072591	+2.82%	0.068755	-2.61%	0.0647	✗	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.07364	+3.02%	0.068655	-3.95%	0.0823	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.075646	+3.26%	0.06963	-4.95%	0.0892	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.074346	+2.95%	0.06727	-6.85%	0.0890	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.070715	+2.47%	0.067465	-2.24%	0.0398	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.07381	+2.12%	0.068375	-5.40%	0.0739	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.074686	+1.68%	0.06784	-7.64%	0.0957	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.075426	+1.32%	0.0706	-5.16%	0.0744	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.09167	+0.81%	0.07148	-21.39%	0.2459	✗	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.083834	-0.40%	0.07326	-12.97%	0.1706	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.078621	-2.63%	0.072215	-10.56%	0.1467	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.075946	-3.84%	0.06901	-12.62%	0.1937	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.074526	-3.74%	0.072275	-6.65%	0.1383	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.074698	-4.21%	0.07345	-5.82%	0.1346	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.076284	-4.37%	0.07444	-6.68%	0.1352	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.072473	-3.49%	0.09093	+21.09%	0.1045	✗	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.072758	-3.47%	0.084175	+11.67%	0.0676	✗	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.073839	-3.53%	0.080745	+5.49%	0.0304	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.074048	-3.41%	0.078975	+3.02%	0.0531	✗	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.07469	-3.43%	0.07742	+0.10%	0.0296	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.071882	-2.93%	0.077985	+5.31%	0.1040	✗	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.074731	-3.22%	0.07977	+3.31%	0.0862	✗	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.075413	-3.18%	0.07509	-3.59%	0.0172	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.080841	-4.04%	0.075375	-10.52%	0.0599	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.077691	-3.50%	0.07654	-4.93%	0.0006	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.074318	-3.12%	0.07666	-0.07%	0.0369	✗	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.074173	-3.02%	0.07734	+1.12%	0.0368	✗	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.073601	-2.99%	0.074055	-2.39%	0.0083	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.073073	-2.82%	0.077215	+2.69%	0.0332	✗	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.076352	-3.40%	0.07789	-1.45%	0.0011	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.076884	-3.31%	0.08424	+5.94%	0.0962	✗	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.077566	-3.28%	0.08051	+0.39%	0.0300	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.077058	-2.72%	0.07671	-3.16%	0.0065	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.077298	-2.54%	0.07648	-3.57%	0.0084	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.084306	-3.14%	0.07587	-12.83%	0.0897	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.082211	-2.80%	0.075195	-11.10%	0.0767	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.082066	-2.78%	0.07904	-6.37%	0.0274	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.074442	-1.96%	0.079515	+4.72%	0.0689	✗	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.082123	-2.52%	0.080195	-4.81%	0.0048	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.083321	-2.45%	0.07921	-7.26%	0.0269	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.08364	-2.56%	0.079315	-7.60%	0.0421	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.087604	-2.93%	0.08704	-3.56%	0.0117	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.089326	-3.03%	0.08458	-8.18%	0.0486	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.089018	-2.95%	0.084415	-7.96%	0.0555	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.088679	-2.91%	0.07593	-16.87%	0.1741	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.086945	-2.82%	0.08425	-5.83%	0.0460	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.084989	-2.74%	0.08541	-2.25%	0.0141	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.091864	-3.02%	0.085835	-9.39%	0.1159	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.09911	-3.01%	0.09025	-11.68%	0.1081	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.095621	-2.73%	0.09212	-6.29%	0.0541	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.101029	-2.82%	0.09172	-11.77%	0.0932	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.107867	-3.19%	0.091335	-18.03%	0.1757	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.085098	-2.25%	0.08947	+2.77%	0.0162	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.08322	-2.14%	0.08738	+2.75%	0.0273	✗	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.09265	-2.32%	0.094725	-0.13%	0.0441	✗	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.090192	-2.35%	0.102185	+10.64%	0.1226	✗	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.089711	-2.51%	0.098305	+6.83%	0.0817	✗	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.092269	-2.83%	0.10396	+9.48%	0.0968	✗	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.097584	-3.60%	0.11142	+10.07%	0.1077	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.120877	-7.40%	0.087055	-33.31%	0.3700	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.095719	-4.47%	0.08504	-15.13%	0.1904	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.079115	-2.62%	0.09485	+16.75%	0.1134	✗	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.078211	-3.02%	0.09236	+14.52%	0.1081	✗	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.073036	-2.46%	0.09202	+22.90%	0.1856	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.065609	-2.09%	0.09496	+41.71%	0.3333	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.069354	-2.44%	0.101225	+42.39%	0.3517	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.080234	-3.82%	0.13053	+56.47%	0.5004	✗	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.094084	-5.43%	0.1002	+0.71%	0.1101	✗	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.090079	-4.42%	0.081245	-13.79%	0.0582	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.089098	-4.98%	0.08065	-13.99%	0.0544	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.084391	-4.59%	0.074875	-15.35%	0.0663	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.091338	-6.64%	0.06701	-31.51%	0.2640	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.089101	-6.53%	0.07109	-25.43%	0.1840	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.074691	-3.99%	0.08342	+7.23%	0.1649	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.073125	-3.95%	0.09949	+30.68%	0.3547	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.074533	-5.14%	0.094245	+19.94%	0.2706	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.06925	-3.21%	0.09377	+31.06%	0.3406	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.067098	-2.90%	0.08845	+28.00%	0.2794	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.071607	-4.42%	0.097835	+30.59%	0.3131	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.070193	-4.00%	0.09533	+30.37%	0.3170	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.061709	-1.83%	0.077795	+23.76%	0.1909	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.063362	-1.99%	0.076135	+17.76%	0.1310	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.063437	-2.01%	0.078575	+21.37%	0.1707	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.068064	-2.95%	0.07155	+2.02%	0.0177	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.065329	-1.61%	0.0691	+4.07%	0.0092	✓	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.062085	-0.09%	0.07492	+20.57%	0.1547	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.062492	-0.85%	0.07312	+16.01%	0.1604	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.068542	-2.29%	0.06286	-10.39%	0.0506	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.064023	-1.47%	0.06465	-0.51%	0.0935	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.069123	-2.98%	0.06474	-9.14%	0.0629	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.069245	-2.95%	0.07013	-1.71%	0.1814	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.074011	-3.85%	0.0664	-13.74%	0.1045	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.073398	-3.87%	0.06214	-18.61%	0.0366	✓	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.060312	-0.95%	0.06303	+3.51%	0.2075	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.061499	-1.15%	0.07015	+12.75%	0.3039	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.061488	-1.11%	0.06498	+4.51%	0.2110	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.067491	-1.84%	0.07125	+3.63%	0.1440	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.067493	-1.47%	0.07135	+4.16%	0.1063	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.070957	-1.52%	0.076975	+6.84%	0.1246	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.070349	-1.06%	0.07635	+7.38%	0.1132	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.081835	-2.58%	0.06089	-27.51%	0.2492	✓	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.075217	-1.87%	0.062215	-18.83%	0.1530	✓	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.070122	-0.92%	0.062175	-12.14%	0.1098	✓	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.070941	-0.77%	0.068755	-3.83%	0.0347	✓	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.070165	-0.39%	0.0685	-2.75%	0.0192	✓	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.074836	-1.26%	0.07205	-4.93%	0.0224	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.074248	-0.88%	0.0711	-5.09%	0.0030	✓	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.085209	-1.97%	0.084	-3.36%	0.0131	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.086902	-2.17%	0.07665	-13.71%	0.1105	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.106655	-3.50%	0.07077	-35.97%	0.3937	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.101491	-3.09%	0.07149	-31.74%	0.3233	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.095301	-3.01%	0.07044	-28.31%	0.2714	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.093726	-2.64%	0.07579	-21.27%	0.1966	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.088076	-2.22%	0.07491	-16.84%	0.1550	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.089803	-2.34%	0.08692	-5.48%	0.0391	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.086383	-1.89%	0.08883	+0.89%	0.0442	✗	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.088717	-1.99%	0.11052	+22.09%	0.2229	✗	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.092643	-2.19%	0.10473	+10.57%	0.1078	✗	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.096617	-2.37%	0.09826	-0.71%	0.0141	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.113282	-2.67%	0.09627	-17.29%	0.1774	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.107418	-2.51%	0.09008	-18.24%	0.1906	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.109589	-2.47%	0.091955	-18.17%	0.2060	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.125695	-3.23%	0.088045	-32.22%	0.4056	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.133148	-3.84%	0.09052	-34.63%	0.4443	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.131689	-3.85%	0.09472	-30.84%	0.3612	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.12992	-2.91%	0.09896	-26.04%	0.2707	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.129907	-3.54%	0.11639	-13.58%	0.1231	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.119056	-2.96%	0.11018	-10.19%	0.0874	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.130327	-4.04%	0.11237	-17.27%	0.1227	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.111414	-2.90%	0.12989	+13.20%	0.1853	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.121915	-6.69%	0.13847	+5.99%	0.1277	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.10751	-5.66%	0.136965	+20.19%	0.2226	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.083519	-3.11%	0.13381	+55.23%	0.4077	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.087955	-3.58%	0.134675	+47.64%	0.4011	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.113589	-7.84%	0.122685	-0.46%	0.0723	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.14316	-13.84%	0.13582	-18.25%	0.0933	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.081925	-4.22%	0.11474	+34.14%	0.2928	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.072822	-3.09%	0.13065	+73.86%	0.5557	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.064087	-2.45%	0.11396	+73.46%	0.5567	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.05824	-2.13%	0.0862	+44.86%	0.3497	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.053751	-1.71%	0.09122	+66.81%	0.4933	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.052946	-1.69%	0.12325	+128.86%	0.7903	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.052692	-1.68%	0.16615	+210.04%	1.1026	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.060739	-1.94%	0.085535	+38.09%	0.2909	✗	1.00