BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s6

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

196

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

53.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0600

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0055

actual -0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.05077	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.050075	-0.10%	0.05086	+1.47%	0.0181	✗	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.047353	-0.03%	0.050125	+5.83%	0.0457	✗	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.048784	-0.10%	0.047365	-3.01%	0.0278	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.052765	-0.54%	0.048835	-7.95%	0.0838	✓	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.055632	-0.66%	0.05305	-5.27%	0.0463	✓	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.044741	+0.32%	0.056	+25.56%	0.2313	✓	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.044002	+0.43%	0.0446	+1.79%	0.0074	✓	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.047976	+0.23%	0.043815	-8.46%	0.0751	✗	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.054697	-0.02%	0.047865	-12.51%	0.1480	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.066035	-0.30%	0.05471	-17.40%	0.1731	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.067794	-0.37%	0.066235	-2.66%	0.0296	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.068236	-0.42%	0.068045	-0.70%	0.0058	✓	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.065668	-0.45%	0.068525	+3.88%	0.0355	✗	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.067183	-0.46%	0.065965	-2.26%	0.0056	✓	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.066928	-0.30%	0.06749	+0.54%	0.0289	✗	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.062099	-0.11%	0.06713	+7.98%	0.0797	✗	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.062372	-0.07%	0.06217	-0.39%	0.0037	✗	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.061831	-0.06%	0.062415	+0.88%	0.0070	✓	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.062814	-0.04%	0.06187	-1.54%	0.0174	✓	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.065177	-0.07%	0.06284	-3.66%	0.0333	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.066059	-0.15%	0.065225	-1.41%	0.0245	✓	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.066762	-0.21%	0.06616	-1.11%	0.0085	✓	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.067053	-0.20%	0.0669	-0.43%	0.0039	✓	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.070739	-0.31%	0.06719	-5.31%	0.0450	✓	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.070888	-0.35%	0.07096	-0.25%	0.0007	✓	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.069102	-0.16%	0.071135	+2.77%	0.0270	✗	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.066824	-0.10%	0.069215	+3.48%	0.0369	✗	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.063617	-0.05%	0.06689	+5.09%	0.0501	✗	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.068871	-0.08%	0.06365	-7.65%	0.0668	✓	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.068123	-0.08%	0.068925	+1.09%	0.0149	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.065979	-0.25%	0.06818	+3.08%	0.0097	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.065365	-0.22%	0.066145	+0.97%	0.0125	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.06506	-0.18%	0.06551	+0.51%	0.0041	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.062318	-0.23%	0.06518	+4.35%	0.0121	✗	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.061298	-0.20%	0.06246	+1.69%	0.0172	✗	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.063065	-0.21%	0.06142	-2.82%	0.0294	✓	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.062561	-0.13%	0.0632	+0.89%	0.0240	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.06177	-0.10%	0.062645	+1.32%	0.0067	✗	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.063946	-0.13%	0.06183	-3.44%	0.0311	✓	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.064145	-0.16%	0.06403	-0.33%	0.0021	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.06065	+0.10%	0.064245	+6.03%	0.0541	✓	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.062	+0.11%	0.06059	-2.16%	0.0142	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.067684	+0.02%	0.06193	-8.48%	0.0878	✗	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.067513	+0.11%	0.06767	+0.34%	0.0066	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.067524	+0.18%	0.06744	+0.05%	0.0068	✓	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.068895	+0.20%	0.067405	-1.96%	0.0252	✗	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.068858	+0.30%	0.068755	+0.15%	0.0026	✓	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.06988	+0.36%	0.068655	-1.40%	0.0067	✗	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.067506	+0.35%	0.06963	+3.51%	0.0044	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.067713	+0.37%	0.06727	-0.29%	0.0059	✗	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.068676	+0.44%	0.067465	-1.33%	0.0114	✗	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.068119	+0.41%	0.068375	+0.79%	0.0024	✓	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.070877	+0.39%	0.06784	-3.91%	0.0400	✗	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.07177	+0.41%	0.0706	-1.23%	0.0191	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.073508	+0.34%	0.07148	-2.43%	0.0120	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.072408	+0.27%	0.07326	+1.45%	0.0039	✓	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.069139	+0.19%	0.072215	+4.64%	0.0404	✓	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.072333	+0.08%	0.06901	-4.52%	0.0442	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.073446	-0.01%	0.072275	-1.60%	0.0247	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.074381	-0.08%	0.07345	-1.33%	0.0173	✓	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.090809	-0.13%	0.07444	-18.13%	0.1912	✓	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.084095	-0.10%	0.09093	+8.02%	0.0516	✗	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.080274	-0.58%	0.084175	+4.25%	0.0229	✗	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.078271	-0.89%	0.080745	+2.24%	0.0037	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.076721	-0.90%	0.078975	+2.01%	0.0273	✗	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.077078	-1.16%	0.07742	-0.72%	0.0098	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.078855	-1.15%	0.077985	-2.24%	0.0095	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.074524	-0.75%	0.07977	+6.23%	0.0676	✗	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.074808	-0.75%	0.07509	-0.38%	0.0077	✗	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.075945	-0.78%	0.075375	-1.52%	0.0077	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.076077	-0.76%	0.07654	-0.16%	0.0073	✓	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.07674	-0.78%	0.07666	-0.88%	0.0033	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.073603	-0.61%	0.07734	+4.44%	0.0599	✗	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.076672	-0.70%	0.074055	-4.09%	0.0341	✓	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.077339	-0.71%	0.077215	-0.87%	0.0018	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.083431	-0.96%	0.07789	-7.54%	0.0761	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.079853	-0.82%	0.08424	+4.63%	0.0575	✗	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.076184	-0.69%	0.08051	+4.95%	0.0490	✗	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.075975	-0.66%	0.07671	+0.30%	0.0031	✓	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.075373	-0.66%	0.07648	+0.80%	0.0149	✗	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.074735	-0.61%	0.07587	+0.90%	0.0075	✗	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.078431	-0.77%	0.075195	-4.86%	0.0415	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.07892	-0.75%	0.07904	-0.60%	0.0217	✗	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.079608	-0.73%	0.079515	-0.85%	0.0096	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.078765	-0.56%	0.080195	+1.24%	0.0175	✗	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.078908	-0.51%	0.07921	-0.13%	0.0023	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.086438	-0.69%	0.079315	-8.88%	0.0719	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.08408	-0.59%	0.08704	+2.91%	0.0262	✗	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.083921	-0.59%	0.08458	+0.20%	0.0061	✗	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.075653	-0.37%	0.084415	+11.17%	0.1183	✗	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.083815	-0.52%	0.07593	-9.88%	0.0899	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.084995	-0.49%	0.08425	-1.36%	0.0051	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.085404	-0.50%	0.08541	-0.50%	0.0091	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.089706	-0.60%	0.085835	-4.89%	0.0484	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.09154	-0.63%	0.09025	-2.03%	0.0128	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.091172	-0.60%	0.09212	+0.44%	0.0010	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.090797	-0.59%	0.09172	+0.42%	0.0083	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.088974	-0.55%	0.091335	+2.08%	0.0364	✗	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.086925	-0.52%	0.08947	+2.39%	0.0323	✗	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.094143	-0.61%	0.08738	-7.75%	0.1190	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.101529	-0.64%	0.094725	-7.30%	0.0462	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.097744	-0.57%	0.102185	+3.95%	0.0450	✗	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.103267	-0.67%	0.098305	-5.44%	0.0440	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.110468	-0.85%	0.10396	-6.70%	0.0756	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.086699	-0.41%	0.11142	+27.99%	0.2379	✗	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.084726	-0.37%	0.087055	+2.37%	0.0414	✗	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.09439	-0.48%	0.08504	-10.34%	0.0958	✓	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.091845	-0.56%	0.09485	+2.70%	0.0264	✗	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.091412	-0.66%	0.09236	+0.37%	0.0032	✓	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.094155	-0.85%	0.09202	-3.10%	0.0309	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.099878	-1.33%	0.09496	-6.19%	0.0658	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.126274	-3.26%	0.101225	-22.45%	0.2493	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.098451	-1.75%	0.13053	+30.27%	0.2598	✗	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.080693	-0.68%	0.1002	+23.33%	0.2469	✗	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.079907	-0.92%	0.081245	+0.74%	0.0066	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.074453	-0.56%	0.08065	+7.71%	0.0868	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.066766	-0.36%	0.074875	+11.74%	0.1156	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.070738	-0.50%	0.06701	-5.74%	0.0586	✓	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.08252	-1.08%	0.07109	-14.78%	0.1318	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.097727	-1.77%	0.08342	-16.15%	0.1397	✓	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.093158	-1.15%	0.09949	+5.57%	0.0810	✗	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.092423	-1.44%	0.094245	+0.51%	0.0112	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.087323	-1.27%	0.09377	+6.01%	0.0832	✗	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.095645	-2.24%	0.08845	-9.59%	0.0877	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.093407	-2.02%	0.097835	+2.63%	0.0387	✗	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.07701	-1.01%	0.09533	+22.54%	0.2376	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.075306	-1.09%	0.077795	+2.18%	0.0507	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.077278	-1.65%	0.076135	-3.11%	0.0048	✓	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.07101	-0.75%	0.078575	+9.82%	0.0928	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.068641	-0.66%	0.07155	+3.55%	0.0226	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.074046	-1.17%	0.0691	-7.77%	0.0832	✓	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.0724	-0.98%	0.07492	+2.46%	0.0346	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.062648	-0.34%	0.07312	+16.32%	0.1256	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.064411	-0.37%	0.06286	-2.77%	0.0211	✓	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.064501	-0.37%	0.06465	-0.14%	0.0216	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.069692	-0.62%	0.06474	-7.69%	0.0704	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.066223	-0.27%	0.07013	+5.62%	0.0249	✗	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.062182	+0.07%	0.0664	+6.86%	0.0681	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.062982	-0.08%	0.06214	-1.41%	0.0258	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.069846	-0.43%	0.06303	-10.15%	0.0995	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.06484	-0.22%	0.07015	+7.96%	0.1220	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.070797	-0.64%	0.06498	-8.80%	0.0152	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.070869	-0.67%	0.07125	-0.14%	0.0404	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.076175	-1.04%	0.07135	-7.31%	0.0625	✓	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.075525	-1.08%	0.076975	+0.82%	0.0130	✗	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.060799	-0.15%	0.07635	+25.39%	0.2301	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.062092	-0.20%	0.06089	-2.13%	0.0070	✓	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.062058	-0.19%	0.062215	+0.06%	0.0268	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.068509	-0.36%	0.062175	-9.57%	0.0761	✓	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.068327	-0.25%	0.068755	+0.37%	0.0023	✓	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.07187	-0.25%	0.0685	-4.93%	0.0528	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.070997	-0.15%	0.07205	+1.34%	0.0030	✓	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.083498	-0.60%	0.0711	-15.36%	0.1368	✓	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.076374	-0.36%	0.084	+9.59%	0.0944	✗	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.070681	-0.13%	0.07665	+8.31%	0.0733	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.071433	-0.08%	0.07077	-1.01%	0.0074	✓	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.070441	+0.00%	0.07149	+1.49%	0.0200	✓	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.075668	-0.16%	0.07044	-7.06%	0.0642	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.074862	-0.06%	0.07579	+1.17%	0.0228	✗	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.086615	-0.35%	0.07491	-13.82%	0.1297	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.088468	-0.41%	0.08692	-2.15%	0.0322	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.109531	-0.89%	0.08883	-19.63%	0.2043	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.103884	-0.81%	0.11052	+5.53%	0.0688	✗	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.097361	-0.91%	0.10473	+6.58%	0.0759	✗	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.095712	-0.58%	0.09826	+2.07%	0.0169	✗	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.089726	-0.39%	0.09627	+6.87%	0.0676	✗	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.09157	-0.42%	0.09008	-2.04%	0.0175	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.087784	-0.30%	0.091955	+4.44%	0.0572	✗	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.090241	-0.31%	0.088045	-2.73%	0.0286	✓	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.094387	-0.35%	0.09052	-4.43%	0.0502	✓	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.098568	-0.40%	0.09472	-4.28%	0.0510	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.115778	-0.53%	0.09896	-14.98%	0.1560	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.109669	-0.46%	0.11639	+5.64%	0.0561	✗	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.111857	-0.46%	0.11018	-1.95%	0.0312	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.128939	-0.73%	0.11237	-13.49%	0.1425	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.137083	-1.00%	0.12989	-6.20%	0.0465	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.13537	-1.16%	0.13847	+1.10%	0.0363	✗	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.132884	-0.69%	0.136965	+2.36%	0.0470	✗	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.133496	-0.88%	0.13381	-0.64%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.121811	-0.71%	0.134675	+9.77%	0.0980	✗	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.13417	-1.21%	0.122685	-9.67%	0.0790	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.113761	-0.85%	0.13582	+18.37%	0.1763	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.127122	-2.70%	0.11474	-12.18%	0.1265	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.111441	-2.21%	0.13065	+14.65%	0.1527	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.085494	-0.82%	0.11396	+32.20%	0.2601	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.090099	-1.23%	0.0862	-5.50%	0.0187	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.118989	-3.46%	0.09122	-25.99%	0.2479	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.155679	-6.30%	0.12325	-25.82%	0.2590	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.084278	-1.47%	0.16615	+94.25%	0.6744	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.07446	-0.91%	0.085535	+13.83%	0.1298	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.06522	-0.73%	0.075145	+14.38%	0.1452	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.05926	-0.41%	0.0657	+10.41%	0.0523	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.054525	-0.29%	0.059505	+8.81%	0.1198	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.053706	-0.28%	0.054685	+1.54%	0.0169	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.05345	-0.26%	0.053855	+0.49%	0.0090	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.061727	-0.34%	0.05359	-13.48%	0.1513	✓	1.00