BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s6

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 594

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

168

of 198 predictions shown

direction hit

64.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2525

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0670

actual -0.0915

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.054285	0.05254	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-21	oos	0.054325	0.05281	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.048979	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.046441	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.047935	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.051696	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.054299	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.043832	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.043082	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.046954	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.053356	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.063657	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.065136	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.065528	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.063316	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.064771	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.064841	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.060441	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.060996	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.060304	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.061378	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.063714	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.064361	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.065172	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.065392	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.068965	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.069048	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.067261	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.065463	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.062714	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.068755	-0.25%	0.054285	-21.24%	0.2232	✓	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.068489	+0.45%	0.054325	-20.32%	0.2108	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.064111	-3.08%	0.050125	-24.22%	0.2603	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.063565	-2.97%	0.047365	-27.70%	0.2990	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.063157	-3.10%	0.048835	-25.08%	0.2658	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.059972	-3.98%	0.05305	-15.07%	0.1590	✓	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.059133	-3.72%	0.056	-8.82%	0.0935	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.060496	-4.28%	0.0446	-29.43%	0.3382	✓	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.060511	-3.41%	0.043815	-30.06%	0.3403	✓	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.059716	-3.42%	0.047865	-22.59%	0.2539	✓	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.061739	-3.58%	0.05471	-14.56%	0.1450	✓	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.062044	-3.43%	0.066235	+3.10%	0.0297	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.058827	-2.91%	0.068045	+12.30%	0.1135	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.060474	-2.35%	0.068525	+10.65%	0.1043	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.065674	-2.95%	0.065965	-2.52%	0.0163	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.066026	-2.10%	0.06749	+0.07%	0.0048	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.066658	-1.11%	0.06713	-0.41%	0.0253	✓	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.068006	-1.09%	0.06217	-9.58%	0.1278	✓	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.068313	-0.50%	0.062415	-9.09%	0.1372	✓	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.070052	+0.61%	0.06187	-11.14%	0.1475	✗	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.066729	-0.80%	0.06284	-6.59%	0.1074	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.067159	-0.45%	0.065225	-3.32%	0.0797	✓	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.06895	+0.84%	0.06616	-3.24%	0.0678	✗	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.068411	+0.84%	0.0669	-1.39%	0.0620	✗	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.071718	+1.58%	0.06719	-4.83%	0.0986	✗	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.073323	+2.58%	0.07096	-0.73%	0.0755	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.076703	+4.70%	0.071135	-2.90%	0.1014	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.075777	+4.93%	0.069215	-4.15%	0.1217	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.072285	+4.75%	0.06689	-3.07%	0.1135	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.075923	+5.05%	0.06365	-11.93%	0.2085	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.076785	+4.54%	0.068925	-6.16%	0.1638	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.077378	+3.95%	0.06818	-8.41%	0.1901	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.094691	+4.14%	0.066145	-27.26%	0.3751	✗	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.080634	-4.21%	0.06551	-22.17%	0.2480	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.073685	-8.74%	0.06518	-19.28%	0.1952	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.071258	-9.77%	0.06246	-20.91%	0.2155	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.069977	-9.61%	0.06142	-20.67%	0.2187	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.070337	-9.81%	0.0632	-18.96%	0.2092	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.071773	-10.03%	0.062645	-21.47%	0.2547	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.068771	-8.42%	0.06183	-17.66%	0.2178	✓	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.069002	-8.45%	0.06403	-15.05%	0.1843	✓	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.069827	-8.77%	0.064245	-16.06%	0.2141	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.069884	-8.84%	0.06059	-20.96%	0.2606	✓	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.070599	-8.72%	0.06193	-19.93%	0.2772	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.068207	-7.90%	0.06767	-8.62%	0.1440	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.070745	-8.38%	0.06744	-12.66%	0.1881	✓	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.071272	-8.50%	0.067405	-13.46%	0.2086	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.075797	-10.02%	0.068755	-18.38%	0.2640	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.073238	-9.03%	0.068655	-14.72%	0.2258	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.070363	-8.27%	0.06963	-9.23%	0.1829	✓	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.070204	-8.21%	0.06727	-12.04%	0.1839	✓	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.069756	-8.06%	0.067465	-11.08%	0.1693	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.069269	-7.88%	0.068375	-9.07%	0.1594	✓	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.072567	-8.19%	0.06784	-14.17%	0.2051	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.073146	-8.01%	0.0706	-11.21%	0.1641	✓	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.073689	-8.11%	0.07148	-10.87%	0.1598	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.072947	-7.91%	0.07326	-7.51%	0.1352	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.073125	-7.80%	0.072215	-8.95%	0.1460	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.079749	-8.38%	0.06901	-20.71%	0.2460	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.077706	-8.13%	0.072275	-14.55%	0.1791	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.077732	-7.92%	0.07345	-12.99%	0.1557	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.070783	-6.78%	0.07444	-1.96%	0.0477	✓	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.078391	-6.95%	0.09093	+7.93%	0.0527	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.079746	-6.63%	0.084175	-1.45%	0.0002	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.080072	-6.71%	0.080745	-5.93%	0.0199	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.083994	-6.93%	0.078975	-12.49%	0.0616	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.08576	-6.90%	0.07742	-15.96%	0.0985	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.085431	-6.86%	0.077985	-14.97%	0.0778	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.085269	-6.64%	0.07977	-12.66%	0.0554	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.083795	-6.34%	0.07509	-16.07%	0.0908	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.082022	-6.13%	0.075375	-13.74%	0.0646	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.088275	-6.81%	0.07654	-19.20%	0.1616	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.095054	-6.98%	0.07666	-24.98%	0.2118	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.091819	-6.60%	0.07734	-21.33%	0.1739	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.096898	-6.79%	0.074055	-28.77%	0.2794	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.103033	-7.53%	0.077215	-30.70%	0.3153	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.081617	-6.25%	0.07789	-10.53%	0.0830	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.079945	-5.99%	0.08424	-0.94%	0.0401	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.089109	-6.05%	0.08051	-15.12%	0.1089	✓	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.086923	-5.89%	0.07671	-16.94%	0.1315	✓	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.086551	-5.94%	0.07648	-16.89%	0.1291	✓	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.089057	-6.22%	0.07587	-20.10%	0.1740	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.094022	-7.12%	0.075195	-25.71%	0.2424	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.115257	-11.70%	0.07904	-39.45%	0.4296	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.09188	-8.30%	0.079515	-20.64%	0.2366	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.075808	-6.69%	0.080195	-1.29%	0.0099	✓	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.074894	-7.14%	0.07921	-1.79%	0.0057	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.069845	-6.72%	0.079315	+5.93%	0.0732	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.062868	-6.18%	0.08704	+29.89%	0.2497	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.066515	-6.44%	0.08458	+18.98%	0.1738	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.077262	-7.38%	0.084415	+1.19%	0.0482	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.090778	-8.76%	0.07593	-23.68%	0.2047	✓	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.086574	-8.14%	0.08425	-10.61%	0.0514	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.085687	-8.62%	0.08541	-8.92%	0.0405	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.08102	-8.40%	0.085835	-2.96%	0.0459	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.088093	-9.96%	0.09025	-7.75%	0.0089	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.085437	-10.38%	0.09212	-3.37%	0.0511	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.070762	-9.04%	0.09172	+17.90%	0.2679	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.069245	-9.05%	0.091335	+19.96%	0.3057	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.070959	-9.69%	0.08947	+13.87%	0.2557	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.064888	-9.31%	0.08738	+22.12%	0.3084	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.062707	-9.25%	0.094725	+37.08%	0.4454	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.067037	-10.52%	0.102185	+36.39%	0.4183	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.065561	-10.34%	0.098305	+34.44%	0.4018	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.058518	-6.91%	0.10396	+65.38%	0.5382	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.05957	-7.86%	0.11142	+72.34%	0.6058	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.0594	-8.25%	0.087055	+34.47%	0.3937	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.062962	-10.22%	0.08504	+21.26%	0.3003	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.06043	-8.99%	0.09485	+42.85%	0.4093	✗	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.058547	-5.78%	0.09236	+48.63%	0.4220	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.058219	-7.63%	0.09202	+45.99%	0.4678	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.063056	-10.11%	0.09496	+35.37%	0.4303	✗	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.05942	-8.56%	0.101225	+55.78%	0.6200	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.063992	-10.19%	0.13053	+83.20%	0.8939	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.064227	-9.98%	0.1002	+40.43%	0.7015	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.068338	-11.22%	0.081245	+5.55%	0.3986	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.067986	-10.95%	0.08065	+5.63%	0.4025	✗	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.056964	-6.45%	0.074875	+22.97%	0.5091	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.05815	-6.53%	0.06701	+7.71%	0.3895	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.058316	-6.21%	0.07109	+14.34%	0.4870	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.063621	-7.47%	0.08342	+21.33%	0.5367	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.063472	-7.34%	0.09949	+45.24%	0.6808	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.066314	-7.96%	0.094245	+30.80%	0.5557	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.065766	-7.50%	0.09377	+31.88%	0.5526	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.076029	-9.49%	0.08845	+5.30%	0.3151	✗	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.070448	-8.09%	0.097835	+27.64%	0.5042	✗	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.06586	-6.94%	0.09533	+34.70%	0.5387	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.06672	-6.67%	0.077795	+8.82%	0.3039	✗	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.066109	-6.15%	0.076135	+8.08%	0.2847	✗	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.070767	-6.63%	0.078575	+3.67%	0.2401	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.070563	-5.80%	0.07155	-4.49%	0.1735	✗	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.081214	-6.56%	0.0691	-20.50%	0.0205	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.082848	-6.73%	0.07492	-15.66%	0.0433	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.101949	-7.76%	0.07312	-33.84%	0.2503	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.097087	-7.30%	0.06286	-39.98%	0.3064	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.091433	-6.95%	0.06465	-34.21%	0.1992	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.089434	-7.10%	0.06474	-32.75%	0.2021	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.084095	-6.64%	0.07013	-22.15%	0.0668	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.085913	-6.57%	0.0664	-27.79%	0.1255	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.083069	-5.65%	0.06214	-29.42%	0.1154	✓	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.085502	-5.54%	0.06303	-30.37%	0.1605	✓	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.089345	-5.68%	0.07015	-25.94%	0.1011	✓	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.093114	-5.91%	0.06498	-34.34%	0.2476	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.108291	-6.96%	0.07125	-38.78%	0.3602	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.102953	-6.56%	0.07135	-35.24%	0.3304	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.105042	-6.52%	0.076975	-31.50%	0.2891	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.120282	-7.40%	0.07635	-41.22%	0.4326	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.127438	-7.97%	0.06089	-56.03%	0.7011	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.125942	-8.05%	0.062215	-54.58%	0.6650	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.123536	-7.68%	0.062175	-53.53%	0.6497	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.123812	-8.07%	0.068755	-48.95%	0.5830	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.113744	-7.29%	0.0685	-44.17%	0.5008	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.12453	-8.31%	0.07205	-46.95%	0.5261	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.106507	-7.18%	0.0711	-38.03%	0.3681	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.117535	-10.04%	0.084	-35.71%	0.3515	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.10323	-9.42%	0.07665	-32.74%	0.3187	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.080024	-7.16%	0.07077	-17.90%	0.1620	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.084042	-7.87%	0.07149	-21.63%	0.1776	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.107947	-12.42%	0.07044	-42.85%	0.4309	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.134039	-19.33%	0.07579	-54.38%	0.6086	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.077284	-9.65%	0.07491	-12.42%	0.0861	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.068461	-8.90%	0.08692	+15.67%	0.1498	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.060513	-7.90%	0.08883	+35.21%	0.3209	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.054873	-7.78%	0.11052	+85.73%	0.5713	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.051096	-6.56%	0.10473	+91.52%	0.6059	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.050434	-6.35%	0.09826	+82.45%	0.5482	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.050187	-6.35%	0.09627	+79.64%	0.5351	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.057524	-7.13%	0.09008	+45.43%	0.3280	✗	1.00