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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s5

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
244
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
70.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2382
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0236
actual -0.0868

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002666-2.54%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002658-2.30%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002668-2.09%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002987-2.85%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002652-1.58%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002651-1.62%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002695-1.84%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002707-2.08%0.002735-1.08%0.0032✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002772-2.22%0.00272-4.06%0.0171✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002692-2.11%0.002725-0.91%0.0111✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002757-2.40%0.003075+8.85%0.1248✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002767-2.56%0.002695-5.11%0.0119✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002722-2.45%0.002695-3.41%0.0001✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002682-2.28%0.002745+0.00%0.0189✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002819-2.44%0.002765-4.33%0.0042✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002872-2.30%0.002835-3.57%0.0093✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003152-3.02%0.00275-15.38%0.0941✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003046-2.68%0.002825-9.74%0.0433✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002951-2.62%0.00284-6.27%0.0176✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002854-2.59%0.00279-4.78%0.0004✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002926-2.78%0.002745-8.80%0.0284✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002883-2.61%0.00289-2.36%0.0057✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002843-2.47%0.00294+0.86%0.0118✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002922-2.60%0.00325+8.33%0.0816✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003055-2.71%0.00313-0.32%0.0023✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003299-3.55%0.00303-11.40%0.0887✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.00283-2.26%0.00293+1.21%0.0300✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002741-2.12%0.00301+7.50%0.0883✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002779-2.16%0.00296+4.23%0.0731✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002885-2.04%0.002915-1.02%0.0394✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002845-1.72%0.003+3.63%0.0903✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.00247-1.99%0.00314+24.60%0.2059✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002577-2.02%0.00342+30.04%0.2498✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002826-2.37%0.002895+0.00%0.0112✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.0026-2.24%0.0028+5.26%0.0094✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002358-1.77%0.00284+18.33%0.1001✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.00241-1.84%0.002945+19.96%0.0852✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002495-1.96%0.002895+13.75%0.0568✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002526-2.09%0.00252-2.33%0.0506✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002639-2.27%0.00263-2.59%0.0482✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002683-2.25%0.002895+5.46%0.0375✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002554-1.95%0.00266+2.11%0.0428✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002797-2.20%0.0024-16.08%0.1294✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002679-1.51%0.002455-9.74%0.0564✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.00259-1.35%0.002545-3.05%0.0079✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002641-1.29%0.00258-3.55%0.0160✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002713-1.15%0.0027-1.64%0.0240✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002606-1.10%0.002745+4.17%0.0781✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002863-0.58%0.002605-9.55%0.0474✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002873-1.94%0.00286-2.39%0.0163✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003133-2.40%0.00272-15.26%0.1539✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.002974-1.67%0.002625-13.22%0.1316✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002531-1.14%0.002675+4.49%0.0136✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002523-0.86%0.002745+7.86%0.0646✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002749-1.31%0.002635-5.39%0.0650✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002834-0.22%0.00288+1.41%0.0043✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002675-0.38%0.00293+9.12%0.1114✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002694-0.39%0.00321+18.67%0.1885✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002856-0.31%0.003025+5.58%0.0623✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003019-1.17%0.00256-16.20%0.1642✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002922-1.13%0.002545-13.87%0.1529✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003024-0.52%0.002785-8.39%0.0764✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002987-1.75%0.00284-6.58%0.1472✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003047-1.72%0.002685-13.39%0.2812✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002991-1.63%0.002705-11.02%0.3527✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003166-1.98%0.002865-11.30%0.3428✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002981-1.94%0.003055+0.49%0.2202✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003014-2.15%0.002955-4.06%0.2460✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002863-2.13%0.00304+3.93%0.1846✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.00286-2.24%0.00304+3.93%0.1065✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003106-2.65%0.0031-2.82%0.0852✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002869-2.56%0.00304+3.23%0.0446✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003317-3.15%0.00323-5.69%0.0284✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002954-2.83%0.00304+0.00%0.0308✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003-2.92%0.00308-0.32%0.0265✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003209-3.04%0.002925-11.63%0.0924✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003585-3.75%0.002925-21.48%0.2027✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004508-9.49%0.00319-35.94%0.3449✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002934-1.86%0.002945-1.51%0.0024✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003121-1.86%0.003425+7.70%0.0940✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003229-1.87%0.00304-7.60%0.0575✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003198-1.61%0.00309-4.92%0.0289✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003088-1.34%0.00331+5.75%0.0746✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003172-1.34%0.003725+15.86%0.1594✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003399-1.48%0.00498+44.35%0.3845✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003569-1.69%0.00299-17.63%0.1762✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003587-1.73%0.00318-12.88%0.1212✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003707-1.94%0.00329-12.96%0.1266✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003628-1.81%0.00325-12.04%0.1159✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003625-1.77%0.00313-15.18%0.1502✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.00376-1.95%0.003215-16.17%0.1578✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003914-2.16%0.00345-13.75%0.1339✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003896-2.12%0.00363-8.79%0.0802✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003805-1.94%0.00365-5.93%0.0464✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004021-2.16%0.00378-8.03%0.0597✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003983-2.02%0.003695-9.10%0.0766✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004128-2.07%0.00369-12.46%0.1116✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004232-2.03%0.003835-11.23%0.0950✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004432-2.16%0.004-11.70%0.0969✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003687-0.09%0.00398+7.86%0.0822✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004085-0.38%0.00388-5.37%0.0469✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004216-0.67%0.00411-3.18%0.0237✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004327-0.65%0.004065-6.66%0.0573✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004659-1.30%0.004215-10.70%0.1012✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005231-1.86%0.00432-18.95%0.1891✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004877-0.88%0.00453-7.93%0.0640✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006077-2.61%0.00369-40.87%0.4889✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007127-4.08%0.0041-44.82%0.5642✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007718-4.84%0.004245-47.66%0.5973✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007445-4.56%0.004355-44.17%0.5340✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007855-4.97%0.00472-42.89%0.5041✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008118-5.16%0.00533-37.73%0.4158✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.00761-3.80%0.00492-37.80%0.4271✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008242-4.17%0.00624-27.44%0.2656✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.00863-5.07%0.00743-18.26%0.1364✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006987-1.72%0.00811+14.06%0.1680✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007622-2.53%0.0078-0.26%0.0387✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007872-2.82%0.008265+2.04%0.0610✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007792-2.54%0.00856+7.07%0.1029✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007679-2.55%0.00791+0.38%0.0260✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008282-3.81%0.0086-0.12%0.0191✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008592-4.43%0.00909+1.11%0.0373✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008314-4.33%0.00711-18.18%0.1759✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009032-5.23%0.00782-17.94%0.1669✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008666-5.24%0.0081-11.43%0.0858✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008472-5.13%0.007995-10.47%0.0738✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009151-5.76%0.00788-18.85%0.1697✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009588-5.82%0.00861-15.42%0.1230✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008968-6.19%0.00899-5.96%0.0073✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007979-5.01%0.00869+3.45%0.0732✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008835-6.71%0.00953+0.63%0.0750✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007329-2.14%0.009145+22.10%0.2210✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007285-1.55%0.00893+20.68%0.2000✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007469-0.94%0.00971+28.78%0.2777✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006626+1.48%0.01018+55.90%0.4487✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007212+0.17%0.00956+32.78%0.3007✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007742-1.12%0.0084+7.28%0.0990✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008007-0.90%0.00947+17.20%0.1950✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007862-0.36%0.00749-5.07%0.0313✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008615-2.55%0.0074-16.29%0.1542✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008824-2.92%0.00754-17.05%0.1724✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009367-3.93%0.00653-33.03%0.3837✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011825-5.62%0.0072-42.54%0.6400✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008959-4.54%0.00783-16.57%0.2702✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008517-4.41%0.00808-9.32%0.2173✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010364-5.78%0.00789-28.27%0.4147✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007063-3.11%0.00884+21.26%0.1254✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007263-3.48%0.00909+20.80%0.1276✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.00737-3.91%0.00975+27.12%0.1915✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008545-4.31%0.01253+40.31%0.3576✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009507-4.60%0.009385-5.82%0.0252✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.01014-4.79%0.00891-16.34%0.1340✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011565-5.01%0.011-9.65%0.0521✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013085-5.38%0.00729-47.29%0.5936✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012519-5.23%0.007525-43.04%0.5148✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016159-8.73%0.00767-56.68%0.7461✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018259-11.15%0.00893-56.55%0.7158✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015692-10.02%0.009965-42.86%0.4524✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016157-11.32%0.01065-41.55%0.4113✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.018962-16.43%0.012175-46.34%0.4320✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.014696-14.51%0.01383-19.55%0.0422✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.017238-21.00%0.01321-39.46%0.2562✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006384-5.90%0.017705+160.94%1.0735✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004178-5.04%0.02055+367.05%1.6734✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002411-1.18%0.01744+614.75%2.0679✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002398-1.34%0.01822+649.79%2.0752✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002347-1.38%0.02269+853.36%2.2905✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.00224-1.32%0.01719+657.27%2.0176✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002212-1.23%0.02182+874.11%2.3312✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002326-1.23%0.006785+188.11%1.0756✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.00227-1.29%0.0044+91.30%0.6394✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002378-1.32%0.00244+1.24%0.0181✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002446-1.35%0.00243-2.02%0.0307✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002388-1.33%0.00238-1.65%0.0270✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002602-1.61%0.00227-14.18%0.1832✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002696-1.80%0.00224-18.40%0.2563✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.00289-2.04%0.002355-20.17%0.2620✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002863-1.96%0.0023-21.23%0.2503✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003049-2.28%0.00241-22.76%0.2337✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002689-2.20%0.00248-9.82%0.0938✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003191-2.41%0.00242-25.99%0.2863✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003275-2.54%0.002645-21.28%0.1887✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003353-2.67%0.002745-20.32%0.1690✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003184-2.63%0.00295-9.79%0.0759✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003455-2.94%0.00292-17.98%0.1870✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003439-2.99%0.00312-11.99%0.1576✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003379-2.75%0.00275-20.86%0.2305✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003426-2.94%0.00327-7.37%0.0513✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003719-3.16%0.00336-12.50%0.1425✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003501-2.90%0.003445-4.44%0.0603✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003477-2.88%0.00327-8.66%0.0902✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003429-3.14%0.00356+0.56%0.0186✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003874-3.52%0.003545-11.71%0.1352✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003958-3.81%0.003475-15.55%0.1702✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003899-3.61%0.00353-12.73%0.1607✓1.12
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