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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s5

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
222
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
77.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5767
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0823
actual -0.2467

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002565-6.90%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.00259-6.33%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002557-6.00%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002572-5.63%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002851-7.27%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002534-5.98%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002536-5.91%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002578-6.07%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002587-6.43%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002657-6.29%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002581-6.16%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002643-6.44%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002652-6.63%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002615-6.28%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002584-5.87%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002716-6.02%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002772-5.70%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003022-7.02%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.00293-6.40%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002841-6.22%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002755-5.98%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002805-6.80%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002772-6.37%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002741-5.96%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002818-6.08%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.002941-6.32%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003158-7.67%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002735-5.52%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002655-5.18%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002695-5.10%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002812-4.51%0.002755-6.45%0.0019✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002794-3.48%0.002765-4.49%0.0199✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.0024-4.78%0.00272+7.94%0.1067✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002508-4.64%0.002725+3.61%0.0765✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002748-5.06%0.003075+6.22%0.0997✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002517-5.36%0.002695+1.32%0.0150✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002284-4.85%0.002695+12.29%0.1087✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002332-5.03%0.002745+11.81%0.0904✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002414-5.14%0.002765+8.64%0.0976✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002441-5.39%0.002835+9.88%0.0809✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002548-5.61%0.00275+1.85%0.0257✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002596-5.44%0.002825+2.91%0.0180✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002481-4.75%0.00284+9.02%0.0628✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002729-4.58%0.00279-2.45%0.0232✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002601-4.36%0.002745+0.92%0.0200✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002514-4.25%0.00289+10.10%0.0975✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002574-3.78%0.00294+9.91%0.0784✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.00266-3.08%0.00325+18.40%0.1369✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002556-2.99%0.00313+18.79%0.1341✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002843-1.28%0.00303+5.21%0.0307✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.0028-4.45%0.00293+0.00%0.0377✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003058-4.74%0.00301-6.23%0.1011✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.00293-3.12%0.00296-2.15%0.0511✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002476-3.28%0.002915+13.87%0.0717✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.00248-2.56%0.003+17.88%0.1275✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002687-3.51%0.00314+12.75%0.0759✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002828-0.41%0.00342+20.42%0.1410✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002665-0.76%0.002895+7.82%0.0256✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002689-0.61%0.0028+3.51%0.0260✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002851-0.49%0.00284-0.87%0.0642✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.002976-2.57%0.002945-3.60%0.1137✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002883-2.44%0.002895-2.03%0.1102✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003023-0.57%0.00252-17.11%0.2166✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002915-4.12%0.00263-13.49%0.2117✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.002949-4.88%0.002895-6.61%0.2004✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002879-5.28%0.00266-12.50%0.2950✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003042-5.83%0.0024-25.70%0.4360✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002862-5.87%0.002455-19.24%0.3657✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002897-5.95%0.002545-17.37%0.3720✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002755-5.82%0.00258-11.79%0.2882✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002751-5.94%0.0027-7.69%0.2539✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.002979-6.63%0.002745-13.95%0.2667✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002753-6.52%0.002605-11.54%0.1913✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.00317-7.45%0.00286-16.50%0.1448✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002828-6.96%0.00272-10.53%0.0518✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.00287-7.13%0.002625-15.05%0.0898✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003071-7.23%0.002675-19.18%0.1403✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003422-8.12%0.002745-26.31%0.2348✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004101-17.66%0.002635-47.09%0.4515✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.0028-6.35%0.00288-3.68%0.0633✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.002972-6.53%0.00293-7.86%0.0130✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003071-6.65%0.00321-2.43%0.0689✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003035-6.61%0.003025-6.92%0.0324✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.002934-6.27%0.00256-18.21%0.1018✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003015-6.21%0.002545-20.84%0.1340✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003224-6.54%0.002785-19.28%0.1009✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003389-6.65%0.00284-21.76%0.1221✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003407-6.65%0.002685-26.44%0.1902✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003531-6.59%0.002705-28.44%0.2188✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003454-6.53%0.002865-22.46%0.1379✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003453-6.42%0.003055-17.21%0.0892✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003588-6.43%0.002955-22.95%0.1572✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003744-6.41%0.00304-24.00%0.1689✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003733-6.22%0.00304-23.62%0.1835✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003634-6.35%0.0031-20.10%0.1464✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003838-6.62%0.00304-26.03%0.2331✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003802-6.47%0.00323-20.54%0.1640✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.003933-6.70%0.00304-27.88%0.2607✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004033-6.64%0.00308-28.70%0.2717✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004226-6.71%0.002925-35.43%0.3754✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003495-5.28%0.002925-20.73%0.1839✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003868-5.66%0.00319-22.20%0.1909✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004012-5.48%0.002945-30.62%0.3097✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004121-5.37%0.003425-21.35%0.1843✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004447-5.78%0.00304-35.59%0.3771✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.004991-6.36%0.00309-42.03%0.4731✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004635-5.79%0.00331-32.72%0.3263✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.005692-8.79%0.003725-40.30%0.4182✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.006588-11.34%0.00498-32.97%0.2759✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007092-12.56%0.00299-63.13%0.8622✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.00682-12.56%0.00318-59.23%0.7618✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.00717-13.25%0.00329-60.19%0.7759✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.007366-13.95%0.00325-62.03%0.8145✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.00689-12.89%0.00313-60.43%0.7778✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.0074-13.95%0.003215-62.62%0.8175✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.007749-14.76%0.00345-62.05%0.7963✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006326-11.03%0.00363-48.95%0.5352✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.006896-11.82%0.00365-53.32%0.6176✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007119-12.11%0.00378-53.33%0.6077✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007051-11.81%0.003695-53.78%0.6238✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.006987-11.33%0.00369-53.17%0.6280✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007581-11.95%0.003835-55.46%0.6711✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.007899-12.14%0.004-55.51%0.6701✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007605-12.48%0.00398-54.20%0.6315✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008294-12.97%0.00388-59.29%0.7546✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.007901-13.60%0.00411-55.06%0.6475✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.007702-13.75%0.004065-54.48%0.6298✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008376-13.74%0.004215-56.59%0.6899✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.00884-13.16%0.00432-57.56%0.7255✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008217-14.04%0.00453-52.62%0.6021✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007232-13.90%0.00369-56.07%0.6764✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.007931-16.25%0.0041-56.71%0.6680✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006617-11.65%0.004245-43.32%0.4429✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006587-10.98%0.004355-41.15%0.4127✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006747-10.52%0.00472-37.40%0.3435✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006035-7.58%0.00533-18.38%0.1167✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.00655-9.03%0.00492-31.67%0.2911✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007005-10.54%0.00624-20.31%0.1155✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007228-10.55%0.00743-8.04%0.0516✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007121-9.75%0.00811+2.79%0.1475✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007852-11.17%0.0078-11.76%0.0131✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008055-11.39%0.008265-9.08%0.0169✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008628-11.51%0.00856-12.21%0.0318✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011047-11.84%0.00791-36.87%0.5368✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008276-11.82%0.0086-8.36%0.1678✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007847-11.93%0.00909+2.02%0.0273✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009621-12.54%0.00711-35.36%0.4643✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006397-12.26%0.00782+7.27%0.0581✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006597-12.33%0.0081+7.64%0.0661✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006697-12.68%0.007995+4.24%0.0134✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007846-12.14%0.00788-11.76%0.0702✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.00876-12.10%0.00861-13.60%0.0732✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009359-12.13%0.00899-15.59%0.0624✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.010716-11.98%0.00869-28.62%0.2225✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012171-11.99%0.00953-31.09%0.2751✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.01167-11.66%0.009145-30.77%0.2715✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.014573-17.69%0.00893-49.56%0.5058✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.016363-20.37%0.00971-52.75%0.4977✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.014123-19.02%0.01018-41.63%0.2779✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.01449-20.47%0.00956-47.53%0.3679✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.016524-27.17%0.0084-62.98%0.6326✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.013008-24.33%0.00947-44.91%0.2221✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.014615-33.02%0.00749-65.67%0.5729✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.00612-9.79%0.0074+9.06%0.4569✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004008-8.91%0.00754+71.36%1.0123✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.00238-2.46%0.00653+167.62%1.4362✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002359-2.92%0.0072+196.30%1.4767✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002311-2.89%0.00783+228.99%1.5837✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002198-3.17%0.00808+255.95%1.7173✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002177-2.80%0.00789+252.23%1.7455✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.00229-2.77%0.00884+275.37%1.5809✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.00223-3.03%0.00909+295.22%1.6170✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.00233-3.34%0.00975+304.56%1.5901✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002398-3.29%0.01253+405.24%1.7482✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002333-3.61%0.009385+287.81%1.4511✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002535-4.14%0.00891+236.86%1.2900✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002624-4.42%0.011+300.73%1.4648✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002807-4.84%0.00729+147.12%0.9911✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002794-4.31%0.007525+157.71%1.0306✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002987-4.27%0.00767+145.83%0.9797✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002632-4.30%0.00893+224.73%1.2268✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003084-5.68%0.009965+204.74%1.1789✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.00317-5.66%0.01065+216.96%1.2324✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003232-6.19%0.012175+253.41%1.3614✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003069-6.13%0.01383+322.94%1.4905✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003319-6.76%0.01321+271.07%1.3612✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003307-6.71%0.017705+399.44%1.6407✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003257-6.28%0.02055+491.37%1.8266✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003312-6.18%0.01744+394.05%1.6572✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.00357-7.04%0.01822+374.48%1.5912✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003358-6.84%0.02269+529.40%1.8553✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.00334-6.70%0.01719+380.17%1.5493✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003293-6.97%0.02182+516.38%1.8277✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003648-9.13%0.006785+68.99%0.4793✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.00373-9.36%0.0044+6.93%0.0400✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003682-8.96%0.00244-39.68%0.5446✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003531-8.28%0.00243-36.88%0.5019✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003679-8.72%0.00238-40.94%0.5683✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.003935-9.64%0.00227-47.88%0.6675✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003494-7.68%0.00224-40.82%0.6141✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003737-8.63%0.002355-42.42%0.6223✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003824-8.95%0.0023-45.24%0.6812✓1.01
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