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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s5

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
250
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
52.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0784
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0036
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002724-0.39%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.00271-0.36%0.002735+0.55%0.0121✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002715-0.36%0.00272-0.18%0.0118✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003057-0.60%0.002725-11.38%0.1127✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002691-0.14%0.003075+14.10%0.1258✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002691-0.16%0.002695+0.00%0.0031✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002739-0.23%0.002695-1.82%0.0087✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002757-0.28%0.002745-0.72%0.0110✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002827-0.29%0.002765-2.47%0.0038✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002743-0.25%0.002835+3.09%0.0177✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002816-0.34%0.00275-2.65%0.0054✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.00283-0.36%0.002825-0.53%0.0089✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002781-0.32%0.00284+1.79%0.0175✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002738-0.27%0.00279+1.64%0.0107✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.00288-0.35%0.002745-5.02%0.0338✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002931-0.31%0.00289-1.70%0.0068✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003232-0.55%0.00294-9.54%0.0925✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003116-0.43%0.00325+3.83%0.0504✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003017-0.43%0.00313+3.30%0.0174✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002917-0.46%0.00303+3.41%0.0355✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002997-0.44%0.00293-2.66%0.0188✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002949-0.37%0.00301+1.69%0.0064✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002905-0.35%0.00296+1.54%0.0198✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002987-0.43%0.002915-2.83%0.0265✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003125-0.47%0.003-4.46%0.0299✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003393-0.78%0.00314-8.19%0.0781✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002886-0.32%0.00342+18.13%0.1661✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002792-0.29%0.002895+3.39%0.0397✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002831-0.31%0.0028-1.41%0.0112✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002935-0.33%0.00284-3.57%0.0124✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002886-0.30%0.002945+1.73%0.0247✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002514-0.25%0.002895+14.88%0.0856✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002623-0.28%0.00252-4.18%0.0391✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002882-0.44%0.00263-9.15%0.0956✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002651-0.33%0.002895+8.83%0.0400✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002396-0.17%0.00266+10.83%0.1024✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.00245-0.20%0.0024-2.24%0.0272✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002539-0.24%0.002455-3.54%0.0034✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002573-0.26%0.002545-1.36%0.0266✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002691-0.32%0.00258-4.44%0.0369✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002735-0.35%0.0027-1.64%0.0136✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002597-0.32%0.002745+5.37%0.0477✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002845-0.52%0.002605-8.92%0.0689✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002715-0.18%0.00286+5.15%0.0537✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002622-0.13%0.00272+3.62%0.0435✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002672-0.13%0.002625-1.87%0.0039✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002743-0.07%0.002675-2.55%0.0307✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002633-0.06%0.002745+4.17%0.0399✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002879-0.02%0.002635-8.51%0.0732✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002921-0.31%0.00288-1.71%0.0607✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003191-0.58%0.00293-8.72%0.0843✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003013-0.38%0.00321+6.12%0.0780✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002558-0.08%0.003025+18.16%0.1535✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002544-0.04%0.00256+0.59%0.0133✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002781-0.13%0.002545-8.62%0.0938✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002841+0.05%0.002785-1.94%0.0100✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002686+0.03%0.00284+5.77%0.0413✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002705+0.01%0.002685-0.74%0.0134✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002866+0.04%0.002705-5.58%0.0526✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003051-0.13%0.002865-6.22%0.0788✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002951-0.13%0.003055+3.38%0.0261✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003038-0.07%0.002955-2.80%0.0117✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003031-0.29%0.00304+0.00%0.0688✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003093-0.21%0.00304-1.94%0.0789✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003035-0.16%0.0031+1.97%0.0685✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003222-0.26%0.00304-5.88%0.0618✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003033-0.24%0.00323+6.25%0.0334✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003072-0.27%0.00304-1.30%0.0071✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002918-0.25%0.00308+5.30%0.0533✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002917-0.26%0.002925+0.00%0.0111✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003178-0.37%0.002925-8.31%0.0832✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002935-0.33%0.00319+8.32%0.0846✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003408-0.50%0.002945-14.01%0.1448✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.003028-0.39%0.003425+12.66%0.1242✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003077-0.43%0.00304-1.62%0.0120✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003293-0.51%0.00309-6.65%0.0636✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003693-0.85%0.00331-11.14%0.1102✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004847-2.68%0.003725-25.20%0.2630✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002986-0.14%0.00498+66.56%0.5129✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003175-0.16%0.00299-5.97%0.0588✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003284-0.17%0.00318-3.34%0.0324✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003247-0.10%0.00329+1.23%0.0151✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003129-0.03%0.00325+3.83%0.0377✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003214-0.04%0.00313-2.64%0.0320✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003447-0.08%0.003215-6.81%0.0668✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003626-0.12%0.00345-4.96%0.0495✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003646-0.12%0.00363-0.55%0.0037✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003773-0.18%0.00365-3.44%0.0398✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.00369-0.14%0.00378+2.30%0.0280✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003685-0.12%0.003695+0.14%0.0032✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003828-0.18%0.00369-3.78%0.0400✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.00399-0.24%0.003835-4.13%0.0434✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003971-0.23%0.004+0.50%0.0058✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003873-0.17%0.00398+2.58%0.0312✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004101-0.22%0.00388-5.60%0.0537✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004057-0.18%0.00411+1.11%0.0125✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004207-0.20%0.004065-3.56%0.0315✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004312-0.19%0.004215-2.43%0.0224✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004519-0.24%0.00432-4.64%0.0491✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003699+0.25%0.00453+22.76%0.2016✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004108+0.20%0.00369-10.00%0.1032✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004251+0.13%0.0041-3.42%0.0390✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004361+0.14%0.004245-2.53%0.0271✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004719-0.01%0.004355-7.73%0.0820✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005324-0.12%0.00472-11.44%0.1168✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004926+0.12%0.00533+8.33%0.0826✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006224-0.26%0.00492-21.15%0.2417✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007383-0.64%0.00624-16.02%0.1725✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008042-0.83%0.00743-8.38%0.0779✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007742-0.74%0.00811+3.97%0.0480✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008195-0.84%0.0078-5.63%0.0476✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008484-0.88%0.008265-3.45%0.0231✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007869-0.52%0.00856+8.22%0.0902✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008548-0.61%0.00791-8.02%0.0737✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.00901-0.88%0.0086-5.39%0.0525✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007107-0.05%0.00909+27.85%0.2494✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007802-0.23%0.00711-9.08%0.0953✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008076-0.30%0.00782-3.46%0.0325✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007976-0.23%0.0081+1.31%0.0169✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007862-0.23%0.007995+1.46%0.0123✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008561-0.56%0.00788-8.48%0.0903✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008922-0.76%0.00861-4.23%0.0420✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008628-0.71%0.00899+3.45%0.0446✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009436-0.99%0.00869-8.81%0.0875✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009059-0.94%0.00953+4.21%0.0545✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008851-0.88%0.009145+2.41%0.0355✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009599-1.15%0.00893-8.03%0.0812✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010051-1.27%0.00971-4.62%0.0405✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.00943-1.36%0.01018+6.49%0.0738✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008327-0.87%0.00956+13.81%0.1408✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.00934-1.37%0.0084-11.30%0.1013✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.00748-0.14%0.00947+26.44%0.2405✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007399-0.02%0.00749+1.22%0.0121✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007548+0.11%0.0074-1.86%0.0089✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006566+0.55%0.00754+15.47%0.1371✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007223+0.31%0.00653-9.31%0.1092✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007834+0.05%0.0072-8.05%0.0862✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008088+0.11%0.00783-3.09%0.0137✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007909+0.24%0.00808+2.41%0.0201✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008819-0.24%0.00789-10.75%0.1364✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.00906-0.33%0.00884-2.75%0.0259✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009687-0.65%0.00909-6.77%0.0754✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012355-1.39%0.00975-22.19%0.3158✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009306-0.84%0.01253+33.51%0.2693✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008838-0.81%0.009385+5.33%0.0578✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010845-1.41%0.00891-19.00%0.1923✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007265-0.35%0.011+50.89%0.4135✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007493-0.42%0.00729-3.12%0.0346✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007631-0.51%0.007525-1.89%0.0278✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008871-0.66%0.00767-14.11%0.1514✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009889-0.76%0.00893-10.39%0.1011✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010561-0.84%0.009965-6.43%0.0576✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.012056-0.98%0.01065-12.53%0.1228✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013658-1.24%0.012175-11.97%0.1194✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.013047-1.23%0.01383+4.69%0.0584✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017278-2.41%0.01321-25.39%0.2677✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019829-3.51%0.017705-13.84%0.1130✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016907-3.05%0.02055+17.83%0.1969✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017552-3.66%0.01744-4.28%0.0038✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.021418-5.61%0.01822-19.70%0.1588✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016334-4.98%0.02269+32.00%0.3391✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.020228-7.29%0.01719-21.22%0.1724✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006637-2.19%0.02182+221.59%1.2072✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004329-1.62%0.006785+54.20%0.4699✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002438-0.09%0.0044+80.33%0.5990✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002427-0.11%0.00244+0.41%0.0226✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002377-0.14%0.00243+2.10%0.0133✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002268-0.08%0.00238+4.85%0.0446✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002238-0.08%0.00227+1.34%0.0423✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002353-0.08%0.00224-4.88%0.0556✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002298-0.09%0.002355+2.39%0.0120✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002408-0.07%0.0023-4.56%0.0618✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002478-0.09%0.00241-2.82%0.0262✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002419-0.05%0.00248+2.48%0.0195✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002642-0.12%0.00242-8.51%0.1122✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.00274-0.19%0.002645-3.64%0.0424✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002942-0.27%0.002745-6.95%0.0620✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.00291-0.33%0.00295+1.03%0.0271✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003103-0.55%0.00292-6.41%0.0441✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002737-0.47%0.00312+13.45%0.1183✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003259-0.34%0.00275-15.90%0.1721✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003346-0.40%0.00327-2.68%0.0129✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003431-0.39%0.00336-2.47%0.0220✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003258-0.37%0.003445+5.35%0.0330✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003543-0.47%0.00327-8.15%0.0863✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003526-0.52%0.00356+0.42%0.0164✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003459-0.45%0.003545+2.01%0.0495✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003509-0.60%0.003475-1.56%0.0079✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003818-0.58%0.00353-8.07%0.1040✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003588-0.47%0.00384+6.52%0.0634✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003563-0.49%0.003605+0.70%0.0030✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003518-0.62%0.00358+1.13%0.0210✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003994-0.53%0.00354-11.83%0.1763✓1.10
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