QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s5

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

63.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1532

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0093

actual -0.0675

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007425	0.007396	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007953	-0.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008381	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008586	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008858	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008863	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008959	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008792	-0.88%	0.007425	-16.29%	0.1895	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008911	-1.21%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.1060	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009035	-1.04%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0665	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009507	-1.23%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0729	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.00961	-1.28%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0506	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009343	-0.92%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0284	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009329	-0.81%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0355	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009271	-0.73%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0237	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009847	-0.83%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0592	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010124	-0.90%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0585	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010933	-1.15%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.0965	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011263	-1.59%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1250	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010811	-1.31%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.1142	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010176	-0.91%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0418	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.0103	-1.15%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.0944	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010619	-1.45%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0856	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011191	-1.49%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1189	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010719	-0.93%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0091	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011095	-1.16%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0276	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010196	-0.62%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0675	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009972	-0.38%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0246	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010094	-0.36%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0405	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009963	+0.23%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1072	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.00974	+0.36%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.1901	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008498	-0.67%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.2054	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008649	-0.70%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2259	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008639	-0.70%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1378	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008575	-0.75%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0628	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008604	-0.76%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0706	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008757	-0.88%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0185	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008628	-0.94%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0311	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008861	-0.71%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0839	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009727	-0.90%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1531	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010018	-0.91%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1796	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010527	-1.06%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.1955	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.01119	-1.02%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2333	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011037	-0.93%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.1937	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012648	-1.46%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3643	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010788	+0.03%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1500	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010843	-0.15%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.0710	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009686	-0.51%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0694	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008256	-0.77%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.3125	✗	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.00746	-0.33%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.4052	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007893	-0.72%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.3334	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008486	-0.75%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.4085	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008797	-0.60%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1792	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.00893	-0.45%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1813	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.00942	-0.22%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0163	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010675	+1.47%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2572	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010064	+0.49%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.2823	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011253	+1.10%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3381	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011775	+1.38%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.3166	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.01181	+0.94%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2880	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011861	+0.69%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2890	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012105	+1.13%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2447	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011973	-0.64%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.1938	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011875	-1.37%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2646	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011736	-2.04%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.2088	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011432	-1.87%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1488	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011345	-2.03%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1435	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011078	-1.96%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.1039	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011253	-2.15%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1166	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011282	-2.40%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0485	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010782	-1.90%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0415	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010914	-2.02%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0799	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011442	-2.20%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0117	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011693	-1.94%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0125	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011633	-1.83%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0083	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011657	-1.71%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0063	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011538	-1.55%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0106	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011352	-1.20%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0202	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.01149	-1.16%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0257	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.01127	-0.79%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0330	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012117	-1.32%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0292	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012122	-1.05%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0440	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011669	-0.27%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0042	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012177	-0.56%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0339	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013113	-0.96%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1388	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013803	-1.34%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1736	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.01386	-1.00%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1968	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015446	-1.62%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2144	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.015002	-1.43%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1907	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014596	-1.25%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2118	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016544	-2.05%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.2988	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016593	-1.93%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2110	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016751	-2.07%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1620	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017062	-2.20%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1864	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016761	-2.04%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0703	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017943	-2.62%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1612	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017926	-3.42%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.1942	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019082	-4.59%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1304	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016694	-3.37%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0025	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018259	-4.55%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0781	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013225	-1.82%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2750	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016457	-3.90%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0408	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.026949	-13.76%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.3788	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013009	-1.07%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3555	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013361	-1.25%	0.02	+47.82%	0.4031	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012603	-0.84%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3168	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.01191	-0.54%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4740	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012546	-0.82%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0706	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012763	-0.87%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.2941	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.01225	-0.61%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9368	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011944	-0.55%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.0973	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011075	-0.13%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.2028	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014491	-2.02%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1364	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010213	+0.33%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1744	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.00918	+0.77%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3262	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010279	+0.48%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2281	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009593	+0.88%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2520	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009781	+1.10%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.2064	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.00964	+1.37%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1412	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010529	+0.76%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3383	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.01106	+0.55%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.0912	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012122	+0.27%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.2965	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012174	+0.24%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1851	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011756	+0.48%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2229	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012588	+0.42%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2706	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013397	+0.28%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3485	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.01243	+0.40%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1756	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012146	+0.84%	0.011	-8.68%	0.0997	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012947	+0.52%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0695	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013457	+0.43%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.1033	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013819	+0.54%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1665	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014914	+0.43%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1738	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015581	+0.46%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1535	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015543	+0.76%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2278	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017132	+0.51%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3523	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.018041	+0.39%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3353	✗	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017894	+0.47%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2880	✗	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.018063	+0.74%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2708	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019705	+0.49%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2811	✗	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.020037	+0.34%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2563	✗	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.02104	+0.14%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.3132	✗	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021472	-0.27%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2391	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.02191	-0.64%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2241	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022242	-0.86%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2594	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021335	-0.63%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2192	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022203	-0.70%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1654	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.021008	-0.44%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0807	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021527	-0.61%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0583	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022894	-0.91%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.1036	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021956	-0.74%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0161	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022953	-0.75%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0341	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.022058	-0.59%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0370	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024307	-0.89%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0879	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024823	-0.91%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1734	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026746	-1.23%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2197	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025741	-1.24%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.1110	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027559	-1.40%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2188	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028223	-1.49%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.2008	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.028054	-1.34%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2396	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.028042	-1.24%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1465	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027827	-1.08%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1162	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028745	-1.32%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0643	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.02798	-1.09%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0776	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028024	-1.01%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0109	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027681	-0.82%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0274	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028983	-0.98%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0207	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029129	-0.99%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029987	-1.03%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0773	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029777	-0.81%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030053	-0.88%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0552	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.03053	-1.13%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.0987	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.03001	-1.22%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1178	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031253	-1.19%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0903	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031602	-1.18%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.0962	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032929	-1.41%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1305	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034274	-1.63%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.2049	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033773	-1.48%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1662	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034667	-1.54%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1473	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034484	-1.25%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1252	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035534	-1.45%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1296	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.035184	-1.39%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.1054	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036735	-1.17%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0696	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035525	-0.99%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0124	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034323	-1.21%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033467	-1.22%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0312	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.03472	-1.75%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0579	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034668	-1.73%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0143	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.