QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s5

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

77.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3342

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0421

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.00743	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007753	-3.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008156	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008348	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008597	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008603	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008702	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008559	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.00874	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008796	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009247	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009335	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009079	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009057	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009031	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009628	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.009892	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010657	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.010929	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010513	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.009933	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010036	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010376	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.010837	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010436	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010801	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.009963	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009785	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.009938	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009904	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009711	+0.07%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.1895	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008353	-2.36%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0623	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.00851	-2.30%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0126	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008515	-2.13%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0053	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008376	-3.05%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0071	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008396	-3.16%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0019	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008538	-3.36%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0101	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008436	-3.15%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0143	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008648	-3.10%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0275	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009489	-3.32%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.0866	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009763	-3.43%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0812	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.01024	-3.76%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1155	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.010936	-3.26%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.1899	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.010818	-2.89%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1713	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012395	-3.43%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3217	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010671	-1.06%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1271	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010787	-0.67%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1171	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009669	-0.67%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0650	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008226	-1.13%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2892	✗	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007293	-2.56%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.3329	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007767	-2.30%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.2028	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008417	-1.55%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1651	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008729	-1.37%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.1569	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008906	-0.72%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.1974	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009404	-0.38%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0821	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010789	+2.56%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0070	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.01018	+1.65%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.0310	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011303	+1.55%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.1677	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011792	+1.52%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.1955	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011729	+0.25%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.2311	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011715	-0.55%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.2620	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.01214	+1.42%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.3727	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011566	-4.02%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.3560	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011395	-5.35%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.3807	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011174	-6.73%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.3904	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.010883	-6.59%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3623	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.010788	-6.84%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3511	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010554	-6.61%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3691	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.01074	-6.61%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3473	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.010779	-6.75%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2540	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010326	-6.04%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1740	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010444	-6.25%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1190	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.010875	-7.06%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.1060	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011093	-6.97%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1301	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011082	-6.48%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0081	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011127	-6.18%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1728	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011036	-5.83%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1587	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010893	-5.20%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2501	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011014	-5.26%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.4340	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.010815	-4.79%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4929	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011608	-5.47%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.5029	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011616	-5.18%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4491	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011213	-4.16%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3706	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011735	-4.16%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3852	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012585	-4.95%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.4075	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013174	-5.83%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3624	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013232	-5.48%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.4067	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.014683	-6.48%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.3737	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014253	-6.36%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3063	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.013829	-6.43%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2583	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.015566	-7.84%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3503	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.015626	-7.65%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3408	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.015827	-7.47%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3138	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016125	-7.57%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3214	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.015853	-7.35%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.2801	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017186	-6.73%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.3866	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017364	-6.44%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.3981	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.018715	-6.43%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.4995	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016217	-6.13%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3294	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.017934	-6.25%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.4257	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.012822	-4.81%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1549	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016138	-5.77%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3710	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.027515	-11.95%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.8549	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012695	-3.46%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0629	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013037	-3.65%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.0964	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012263	-3.51%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0319	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011552	-3.54%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0145	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012175	-3.76%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.0577	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012383	-3.82%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.0631	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.011881	-3.60%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0447	✓	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011602	-3.40%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0575	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.010711	-3.42%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.1362	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014121	-4.52%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.1947	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.00977	-4.03%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.2453	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.008807	-3.33%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.4132	✗	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.00985	-3.72%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.3540	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009192	-3.35%	0.014	+47.21%	0.4224	✗	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009376	-3.09%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.5179	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009249	-2.74%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.5007	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010136	-3.00%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3815	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.0107	-2.73%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4610	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.011771	-2.64%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3687	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.011813	-2.73%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3794	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011432	-2.29%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.4251	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012235	-2.39%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.3379	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013008	-2.64%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3515	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012114	-2.15%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.4264	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.011871	-1.44%	0.02	+66.04%	0.5213	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012636	-1.90%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.3121	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013118	-2.10%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3771	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.01347	-2.00%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0004	✓	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.01448	-2.49%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1676	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015094	-2.68%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.7276	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015102	-2.09%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1386	✓	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.016465	-3.40%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.1964	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017304	-3.70%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3090	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017141	-3.76%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3586	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017281	-3.62%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3098	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.01875	-4.39%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.3741	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019117	-4.27%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4397	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.02007	-4.47%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5151	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.020594	-4.35%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6275	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021161	-4.03%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.3947	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021506	-4.14%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.8045	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020618	-3.97%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8648	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.021429	-4.16%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.7864	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020271	-3.93%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.8002	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.020761	-4.15%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.8124	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022058	-4.53%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.9195	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.02118	-4.25%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7667	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022116	-4.36%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7498	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021258	-4.20%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.6115	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.02335	-4.79%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.6815	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.023917	-4.52%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7535	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.025731	-4.98%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7610	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.024793	-4.88%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6660	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.026336	-5.77%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.8013	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.026966	-5.88%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8518	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.026839	-5.61%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7784	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.02687	-5.37%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7450	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.026748	-4.91%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7228	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.027522	-5.52%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6609	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.026853	-5.08%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.5822	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.026967	-4.74%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.5978	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.026724	-4.25%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.4834	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.02794	-4.54%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4536	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028062	-4.62%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2182	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.028864	-4.74%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2024	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.028799	-4.07%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.0958	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029066	-4.13%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1379	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.029462	-4.59%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1174	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.02894	-4.74%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1315	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030185	-4.57%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2157	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.030568	-4.42%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2479	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.031848	-4.65%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3605	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.033059	-5.11%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3590	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.032582	-4.95%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.3970	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.033385	-5.18%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.3924	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.033161	-5.04%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3245	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.034059	-5.54%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4264	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.033649	-5.69%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3688	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.035062	-5.67%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4364	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.033922	-5.46%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.2884	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.03282	-5.54%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.2857	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.032102	-5.25%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.1911	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.033471	-5.29%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.2892	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.03378	-4.25%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.2053	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.