QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s5

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +1d

assessed

186

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

59.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0543

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0029

actual -0.0099

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007669	-0.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007993	-0.15%	0.00768	-4.06%	0.0379	✓	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.00844	-0.23%	0.008005	-5.38%	0.0622	✓	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008643	-0.25%	0.00846	-2.37%	0.0200	✓	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008919	-0.29%	0.008665	-3.13%	0.0342	✓	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.00892	-0.28%	0.008945	+0.00%	0.0038	✗	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.009022	-0.31%	0.008945	-1.16%	0.0032	✓	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008845	-0.29%	0.00905	+2.03%	0.0182	✗	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008987	-0.37%	0.00887	-1.66%	0.0016	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009108	-0.25%	0.00902	-1.20%	0.0201	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009601	-0.25%	0.00913	-5.14%	0.0273	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009709	-0.27%	0.009625	-1.13%	0.0191	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009413	-0.18%	0.009735	+3.23%	0.0284	✗	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009391	-0.15%	0.00943	+0.27%	0.0060	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009329	-0.12%	0.009405	+0.70%	0.0272	✗	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009915	-0.15%	0.00934	-5.94%	0.0332	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010196	-0.18%	0.00993	-2.79%	0.0242	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.011028	-0.29%	0.010215	-7.64%	0.0684	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.0114	-0.39%	0.01106	-3.36%	0.0499	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010918	-0.34%	0.011445	+4.47%	0.0445	✗	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010244	-0.25%	0.010955	+6.67%	0.0711	✗	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010386	-0.33%	0.01027	-1.44%	0.0267	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010729	-0.43%	0.01042	-3.29%	0.0284	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011314	-0.40%	0.010775	-5.15%	0.0511	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010788	-0.30%	0.01136	+4.99%	0.0628	✗	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011183	-0.37%	0.01082	-3.61%	0.0335	✓	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010235	-0.24%	0.011225	+9.41%	0.0889	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.00999	-0.20%	0.01026	+2.50%	0.0297	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010108	-0.21%	0.01001	-1.18%	0.0098	✓	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009927	-0.13%	0.01013	+1.91%	0.0407	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009696	-0.09%	0.00994	+2.42%	0.0294	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.00854	-0.18%	0.009705	+13.44%	0.0691	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008694	-0.18%	0.008555	-1.78%	0.0153	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008684	-0.18%	0.00871	+0.11%	0.0009	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008623	-0.19%	0.0087	+0.69%	0.0440	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008656	-0.17%	0.00864	-0.35%	0.0042	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008819	-0.19%	0.00867	-1.87%	0.0231	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008695	-0.18%	0.008835	+1.44%	0.0445	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008912	-0.14%	0.00871	-2.41%	0.0386	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009797	-0.18%	0.008925	-9.07%	0.0881	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010089	-0.21%	0.009815	-2.92%	0.0281	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010612	-0.26%	0.01011	-4.98%	0.0556	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011274	-0.28%	0.01064	-5.88%	0.0401	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.01111	-0.27%	0.011305	+1.48%	0.0190	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012768	-0.52%	0.01114	-13.21%	0.1303	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010768	-0.16%	0.012835	+19.01%	0.1894	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010838	-0.20%	0.010785	-0.69%	0.0105	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009719	-0.17%	0.01086	+11.56%	0.1094	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008319	-0.01%	0.009735	+17.01%	0.1765	✗	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007489	+0.05%	0.00832	+11.16%	0.0638	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007953	+0.03%	0.007485	-5.85%	0.0596	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008553	+0.03%	0.00795	-7.02%	0.0614	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008853	+0.04%	0.00855	-3.39%	0.0432	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008977	+0.08%	0.00885	-1.34%	0.0090	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009446	+0.06%	0.00897	-4.98%	0.0553	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010533	+0.13%	0.00944	-10.27%	0.0896	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010022	+0.07%	0.01052	+5.04%	0.0387	✓	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011135	+0.04%	0.010015	-10.02%	0.1101	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011624	+0.08%	0.01113	-4.18%	0.0396	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011699	-0.01%	0.011615	-0.73%	0.0173	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011769	-0.09%	0.0117	-0.68%	0.0114	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011969	-0.01%	0.01178	-1.59%	0.0055	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011998	-0.43%	0.01197	-0.66%	0.0500	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.01197	-0.58%	0.01205	+0.08%	0.0308	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011896	-0.70%	0.01204	+0.50%	0.0433	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.01158	-0.60%	0.01198	+2.83%	0.0314	✗	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011512	-0.59%	0.01165	+0.60%	0.0092	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011239	-0.54%	0.01158	+2.48%	0.0322	✗	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011435	-0.57%	0.0113	-1.74%	0.0124	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011487	-0.63%	0.0115	-0.52%	0.0069	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010956	-0.31%	0.01156	+5.19%	0.0535	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.011106	-0.30%	0.01099	-1.35%	0.0091	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.01165	-0.43%	0.01114	-4.79%	0.0405	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011871	-0.45%	0.0117	-1.89%	0.0043	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011804	-0.39%	0.011925	+0.63%	0.0108	✗	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011821	-0.33%	0.01185	-0.08%	0.0023	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011693	-0.23%	0.01186	+1.19%	0.0078	✗	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011474	-0.14%	0.01172	+2.00%	0.0246	✗	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011615	-0.09%	0.01149	-1.16%	0.0164	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.01136	-0.00%	0.011625	+2.33%	0.0173	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012268	-0.10%	0.01136	-7.49%	0.0765	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012246	-0.03%	0.01228	+0.24%	0.0046	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011709	+0.08%	0.01225	+4.70%	0.0458	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012246	+0.01%	0.0117	-4.45%	0.0274	✗	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013229	-0.08%	0.012245	-7.52%	0.0851	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.01396	-0.21%	0.01324	-5.36%	0.0534	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013977	-0.17%	0.01399	-0.07%	0.0005	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015631	-0.44%	0.014	-10.83%	0.0968	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.015162	-0.38%	0.0157	+3.15%	0.0269	✗	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014727	-0.36%	0.01522	+2.98%	0.0314	✗	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016777	-0.67%	0.01478	-12.49%	0.1204	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016807	-0.66%	0.01689	-0.18%	0.0118	✗	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016986	-0.70%	0.01692	-1.08%	0.0010	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017318	-0.73%	0.017105	-1.95%	0.0219	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016993	-0.69%	0.017445	+1.96%	0.0223	✗	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.018282	-0.77%	0.01711	-7.14%	0.0655	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.01839	-0.92%	0.018425	-0.73%	0.0040	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019771	-1.14%	0.01856	-7.20%	0.0640	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.017115	-0.93%	0.02	+15.77%	0.1635	✗	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018901	-1.19%	0.017275	-9.70%	0.0877	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013396	-0.55%	0.01913	+42.02%	0.3546	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016942	-1.07%	0.01347	-21.34%	0.2324	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.030305	-3.02%	0.017125	-45.20%	0.5708	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013105	-0.34%	0.03125	+137.64%	0.8692	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013476	-0.40%	0.01315	-2.81%	0.0250	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012662	-0.37%	0.01353	+6.45%	0.0668	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011939	-0.30%	0.01271	+6.14%	0.0625	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012603	-0.37%	0.011975	-5.34%	0.0513	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012823	-0.41%	0.01265	-1.75%	0.0134	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012276	-0.40%	0.012875	+4.46%	0.0479	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011957	-0.44%	0.012325	+2.62%	0.0307	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011048	-0.38%	0.01201	+8.30%	0.0851	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014657	-0.90%	0.01109	-25.02%	0.2824	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010161	-0.19%	0.01479	+45.28%	0.3801	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009109	-0.01%	0.01018	+11.75%	0.1087	✗	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010218	-0.12%	0.00911	-10.95%	0.1142	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009516	+0.06%	0.01023	+7.57%	0.0722	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009686	+0.11%	0.00951	-1.71%	0.0183	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009533	+0.24%	0.009675	+1.74%	0.0150	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.01046	+0.09%	0.00951	-9.00%	0.0970	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011001	+0.01%	0.01045	-5.00%	0.0546	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012077	-0.11%	0.011	-9.02%	0.0970	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012132	-0.11%	0.01209	-0.45%	0.0014	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011697	-0.02%	0.012145	+3.80%	0.0351	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012527	-0.06%	0.0117	-6.66%	0.0667	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013343	-0.12%	0.012535	-6.18%	0.0614	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012378	-0.02%	0.01336	+7.92%	0.0754	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012056	+0.09%	0.01238	+2.78%	0.0263	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012884	+0.03%	0.012045	-6.48%	0.0676	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013403	+0.02%	0.01288	-3.88%	0.0396	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013756	+0.08%	0.0134	-2.51%	0.0260	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014849	-0.01%	0.013745	-7.44%	0.0776	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015501	-0.06%	0.01485	-4.26%	0.0429	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015451	+0.17%	0.01551	+0.55%	0.0036	✓	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017042	-0.02%	0.015425	-9.50%	0.0997	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017942	-0.16%	0.017045	-5.15%	0.0520	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017808	-0.01%	0.01797	+0.90%	0.0090	✗	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017963	+0.19%	0.01781	-0.67%	0.0069	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019611	+0.00%	0.01793	-8.57%	0.0897	✗	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019952	-0.09%	0.01961	-1.80%	0.0202	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020979	-0.15%	0.01997	-4.95%	0.0496	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021487	-0.20%	0.02101	-2.42%	0.0267	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021991	-0.27%	0.02153	-2.36%	0.0354	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022367	-0.30%	0.02205	-1.72%	0.0220	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021414	-0.26%	0.022435	+4.49%	0.0460	✗	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022295	-0.29%	0.02147	-3.98%	0.0365	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.021055	-0.21%	0.02236	+5.97%	0.0597	✗	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021609	-0.24%	0.0211	-2.59%	0.0263	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.023028	-0.33%	0.02166	-6.25%	0.0678	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.022056	-0.29%	0.023105	+4.45%	0.0417	✗	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.023054	-0.31%	0.02212	-4.35%	0.0405	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.02214	-0.23%	0.023125	+4.21%	0.0447	✗	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024451	-0.30%	0.02219	-9.52%	0.0945	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024969	-0.32%	0.024525	-2.10%	0.0236	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026968	-0.41%	0.02505	-7.50%	0.0736	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025964	-0.39%	0.02708	+3.89%	0.0443	✗	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027853	-0.35%	0.026065	-6.74%	0.0670	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028533	-0.41%	0.02795	-2.44%	0.0223	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.028322	-0.40%	0.02865	+0.76%	0.0091	✗	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.028283	-0.40%	0.028435	+0.14%	0.0021	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.028024	-0.38%	0.028395	+0.94%	0.0069	✗	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.029001	-0.44%	0.02813	-3.43%	0.0260	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.02818	-0.39%	0.02913	+2.97%	0.0310	✗	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028204	-0.38%	0.02829	-0.07%	0.0009	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027823	-0.31%	0.02831	+1.43%	0.0167	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029166	-0.36%	0.02791	-4.65%	0.0431	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029323	-0.33%	0.02927	-0.51%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.030206	-0.31%	0.02942	-2.90%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029941	-0.26%	0.0303	+0.93%	0.0297	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030239	-0.27%	0.03002	-0.99%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030787	-0.30%	0.03032	-1.81%	0.0284	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.030294	-0.28%	0.03088	+1.65%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031534	-0.30%	0.03038	-3.95%	0.0357	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031888	-0.29%	0.03163	-1.09%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.033295	-0.31%	0.03198	-4.25%	0.0653	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034722	-0.34%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.03417	-0.32%	0.03484	+1.63%	0.0268	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.03507	-0.40%	0.03428	-2.64%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034781	-0.40%	0.03521	+0.83%	0.0290	✗	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035887	-0.47%	0.03492	-3.15%	0.0404	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.035507	-0.49%	0.036055	+1.05%	0.0129	✗	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036976	-0.52%	0.03568	-4.01%	0.0252	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035702	-0.50%	0.03717	+3.60%	0.0394	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034572	-0.50%	0.03588	+3.27%	0.0131	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033712	-0.50%	0.034745	+2.55%	0.0238	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.035133	-0.59%	0.03388	-4.13%	0.0636	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.035047	-0.66%	0.03534	+0.17%	0.0339	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.