PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s5

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +7d

assessed

161

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

56.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0918

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0278

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.605461	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.59705	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.611601	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.611694	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.598951	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.633888	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.582216	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.577638	-1.18%	0.62925	+7.65%	0.0765	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.611212	-1.95%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0147	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.606748	-1.61%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0435	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.656382	-3.15%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0274	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.657422	-3.24%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0569	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.64096	-3.05%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0262	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.624298	-2.62%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0559	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.637702	-3.14%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0758	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.634594	-3.52%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0022	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.709719	-4.23%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1147	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.775037	-4.77%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1176	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.687328	-4.31%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0017	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.715589	-4.20%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0689	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.673593	-4.05%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0325	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.687102	-4.16%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0411	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.653152	-3.96%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0033	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.642007	-4.27%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1313	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.626143	-4.57%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2497	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.593702	-3.88%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1884	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.63209	-4.45%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1645	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.594011	-4.01%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1642	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.557974	-3.78%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2559	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.557062	-3.69%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.2168	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.553062	-3.62%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.2161	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.497739	-2.89%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2545	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.519344	-3.55%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1528	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.518057	-3.80%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2236	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.496307	-3.69%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1699	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.495873	-3.79%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.1061	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.469946	-3.53%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1552	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.478857	-3.60%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1405	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.458267	-3.44%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0904	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.464698	-3.33%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1278	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.47392	-3.29%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.1103	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.473001	-3.92%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0865	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.459464	-3.93%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1255	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.425395	-2.90%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1480	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.434558	-3.11%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1376	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.41554	-1.76%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1500	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.409281	-1.47%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1735	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.406365	-1.30%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1987	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.40664	-0.50%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.2138	✗	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.398569	-1.85%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1787	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.405219	-2.10%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0743	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.406668	-1.43%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0962	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.40841	-2.07%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0251	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.416519	-2.01%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0082	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.411809	-1.97%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0066	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.416627	+0.15%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0228	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.406318	-0.51%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0057	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.415426	-1.10%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0005	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.440233	-1.62%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0636	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.400983	-1.41%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0395	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.386537	-1.54%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0918	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.414302	-1.50%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0150	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.386603	-2.72%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0643	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.386093	-2.92%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0410	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.377308	-2.73%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0948	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.360625	-2.14%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1970	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.359987	-2.06%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.1033	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.367987	-2.21%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0438	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.361993	-1.95%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1256	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.370586	-1.97%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0582	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.371862	-1.86%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0578	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.383883	-1.98%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0076	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.392667	-2.02%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0652	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.400252	-2.12%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0790	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.385268	-1.93%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0174	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.385124	-2.05%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0380	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.385933	-2.28%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0182	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.384525	-2.50%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0104	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.390329	-2.76%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0053	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.401803	-3.13%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0044	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.424623	-3.54%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0431	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.428497	-3.71%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.0944	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.420425	-3.48%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0742	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.435476	-3.50%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.0963	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.419751	-3.34%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0636	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.412288	-3.38%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0270	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.387363	-2.78%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0688	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.368178	-2.62%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1830	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.375578	-2.67%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1734	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.375792	-2.51%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1508	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.371151	-2.34%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1963	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.357587	-1.80%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.2008	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.336424	-1.43%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2462	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.320712	-1.12%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2209	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.346057	-1.10%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0867	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.362504	-1.10%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0640	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.389659	-1.30%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0115	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.388266	-1.36%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0258	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.381887	-1.38%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0525	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.378557	-1.44%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1092	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.384683	-1.55%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1830	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.407698	-1.93%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1563	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.408291	-2.11%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1115	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.404841	-2.26%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0243	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.384314	-2.21%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0221	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.390888	-2.16%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0170	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.405763	-2.11%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0596	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.397535	-1.99%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0119	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.38397	-1.80%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0790	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.41119	-2.12%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0121	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.413991	-2.45%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0047	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.40533	-2.65%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0358	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.40459	-2.74%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0190	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.406074	-2.74%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0075	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.441758	-2.87%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.0909	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.446091	-3.00%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1378	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.448372	-2.50%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0698	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.420244	-1.77%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0066	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.428345	-1.44%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0308	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.452435	-1.41%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0831	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.493157	-1.77%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1693	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.52811	-2.48%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1554	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.535132	-2.88%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1572	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.539615	-3.38%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1666	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.543848	-3.60%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2454	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.575518	-4.56%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.2838	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.533718	-3.29%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1482	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.53777	-3.58%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0664	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.559634	-4.30%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0315	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.557975	-4.21%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0115	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.567561	-4.27%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0160	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.588638	-4.57%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0424	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.538171	-2.79%	0.603	+8.92%	0.1142	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.570026	-2.79%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0400	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.567239	-2.55%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0268	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.584903	-2.95%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0071	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.614276	-3.43%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0583	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.625514	-2.89%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0633	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.62982	-2.63%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0277	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.600702	-2.07%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0802	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.597801	-1.94%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0030	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.592814	-2.10%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0204	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.612476	-3.04%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0471	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.605625	-3.19%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1542	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.599014	-3.09%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.2084	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.592509	-2.72%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2127	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.609377	-2.72%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.1025	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.621495	-2.74%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1295	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.594399	-2.35%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1474	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.601901	-2.51%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1283	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.602166	-2.45%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0833	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.634737	-2.71%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0117	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.623063	-2.45%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0052	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.641937	-2.77%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0289	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.614693	-2.68%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0804	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.562324	-2.19%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0916	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.616037	-2.94%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.69719	-3.46%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1161	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.735479	-3.61%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1011	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.687667	-3.39%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0271	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.71449	-3.49%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0345	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.678757	-3.37%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0489	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.739729	-3.54%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2048	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.772821	-3.45%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1366	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.877247	-3.68%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1344	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.946325	-5.67%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1832	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.818477	-5.52%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1255	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.614918	-2.73%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1722	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.