PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s5

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +1d

assessed

167

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

52.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0380

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0048

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.625288	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.616025	-0.56%	0.62925	+1.57%	0.0232	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.630713	-0.54%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0268	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.629198	-0.47%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0092	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.612879	-0.31%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0260	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.650518	-0.44%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0555	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.591402	-0.11%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1048	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.584478	-0.01%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0084	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.622125	-0.20%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0508	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.615957	-0.12%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0017	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.674023	-0.54%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0771	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.67568	-0.55%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0020	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.657903	-0.48%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0298	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.638864	-0.35%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0286	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.655131	-0.50%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0113	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.653819	-0.60%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0215	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.73476	-0.85%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1094	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.804986	-1.09%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0784	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.712156	-0.85%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1242	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.740585	-0.86%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0319	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.696133	-0.84%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0723	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.710189	-0.94%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0187	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.674145	-0.88%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0620	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.66349	-1.07%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0238	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.648611	-1.14%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0397	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.612713	-0.80%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0681	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.654188	-1.11%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0595	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.613459	-0.86%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0773	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.575281	-0.80%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0729	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.574048	-0.75%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0223	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.569309	-0.79%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0187	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.510111	-0.48%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0824	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.534893	-0.66%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0422	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.534578	-0.73%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0048	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.511855	-0.67%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0216	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.511812	-0.70%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0055	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.484122	-0.62%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0597	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.493311	-0.69%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0008	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.471541	-0.64%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0451	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.477364	-0.69%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0035	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.485859	-0.86%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0109	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.486275	-1.22%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0046	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.472577	-1.19%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0496	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.43509	-0.69%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0953	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.445224	-0.73%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0135	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.421934	-0.25%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0670	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.414639	-0.18%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0175	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.411098	-0.15%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0097	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.408683	-0.00%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0148	✗	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.405103	-0.25%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0052	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.41263	-0.31%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0156	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.411851	-0.17%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0088	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.415796	-0.30%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0112	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.423738	-0.31%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0139	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.41885	-0.30%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0133	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.416143	+0.03%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0184	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.40797	-0.11%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0150	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.418841	-0.29%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0271	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.44526	-0.50%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0568	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.405371	-0.33%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0954	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.391414	-0.30%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0365	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.419231	-0.33%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0627	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.395337	-0.52%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0553	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.39558	-0.53%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0014	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.386317	-0.41%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0246	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.367486	-0.28%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0538	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.366617	-0.25%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0029	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.375234	-0.28%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0204	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.368369	-0.23%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0212	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.377148	-0.24%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0207	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.37805	-0.22%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0000	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.390594	-0.27%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0301	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.399606	-0.29%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0190	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.407535	-0.33%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0139	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.391701	-0.29%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0432	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.391937	-0.32%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0023	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.393459	-0.38%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0024	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.392745	-0.42%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0068	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.399559	-0.46%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0151	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.412528	-0.55%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0297	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.437343	-0.65%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0528	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.441898	-0.70%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0065	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.432817	-0.64%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0280	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.448071	-0.70%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0223	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.431204	-0.70%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0440	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.423593	-0.73%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0248	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.396545	-0.48%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0731	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.376424	-0.44%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0607	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.384091	-0.47%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0183	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.383677	-0.46%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0053	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.378276	-0.47%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0213	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.363226	-0.25%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0484	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.340826	-0.14%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0675	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.324178	-0.05%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0482	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.349663	-0.07%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0767	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366228	-0.09%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0453	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.394205	-0.15%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0759	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.392978	-0.16%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0042	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.386621	-0.16%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0214	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.383436	-0.17%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0109	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.390022	-0.19%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0268	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.4145	-0.29%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0536	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.415743	-0.33%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0000	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.41271	-0.36%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0119	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.391692	-0.33%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0530	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.398227	-0.32%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0161	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.413032	-0.35%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0302	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.404176	-0.35%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0273	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.389964	-0.27%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0382	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.418698	-0.33%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0700	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.422715	-0.40%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0080	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.414601	-0.42%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0203	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.414247	-0.42%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0008	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.415695	-0.43%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0033	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.452239	-0.56%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0775	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.456874	-0.66%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0056	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.45793	-0.42%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0050	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.427047	-0.18%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0741	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.4342	-0.09%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0153	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.45849	-0.09%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0525	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.501104	-0.19%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0891	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.53953	-0.37%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0740	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.548478	-0.46%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0117	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.555241	-0.58%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0091	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.560755	-0.60%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0029	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.597842	-0.86%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0575	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.549108	-0.51%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0949	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.554482	-0.59%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0037	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.580319	-0.76%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0393	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.578283	-0.72%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0109	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.588618	-0.72%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0112	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.611874	-0.80%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0325	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.551687	-0.35%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1116	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.584419	-0.34%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0597	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.580454	-0.28%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0108	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.600446	-0.37%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0280	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.633074	-0.48%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0486	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.641857	-0.35%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0157	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.644855	-0.30%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0007	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.612312	-0.18%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0723	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.608694	-0.15%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0091	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.604359	-0.19%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0286	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.629043	-0.42%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0035	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.622585	-0.47%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0363	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.615412	-0.43%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0182	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.607011	-0.33%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0144	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.624223	-0.35%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0233	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.636639	-0.37%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0053	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.606942	-0.29%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0716	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.615265	-0.35%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0079	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.615284	-0.33%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.649831	-0.39%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0556	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.636661	-0.32%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0086	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.657426	-0.42%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.629181	-0.38%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0472	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.57359	-0.23%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0872	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.632071	-0.41%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0925	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.71809	-0.57%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1174	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.758141	-0.64%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.707844	-0.56%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0872	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.735724	-0.62%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.698584	-0.54%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0357	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.762024	-0.64%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0665	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.794972	-0.68%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.902369	-0.93%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1141	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.985936	-1.72%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0982	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.853473	-1.48%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1558	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.62953	-0.42%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3170	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.