PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s5

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +30d

assessed

139

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

49.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2001

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0434

actual +0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.549931	-8.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.550417	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.568002	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.578614	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.578876	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.561765	-8.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.594758	-8.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.54489	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.53939	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.578195	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.571154	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.622136	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.625289	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.612461	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.600122	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.617113	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.616623	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.68911	-7.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.749393	-7.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.669062	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.697026	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.659495	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.668665	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.638626	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.62517	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.611992	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.584873	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.616994	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.585559	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.553001	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.556781	-3.74%	0.59875	+3.52%	0.0859	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.555492	-3.20%	0.59595	+3.85%	0.0894	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.492009	-4.01%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2186	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.51309	-4.71%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.2079	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.512185	-4.89%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.2031	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.48533	-5.82%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2041	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.486442	-5.62%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2617	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.463799	-4.79%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2110	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.477318	-3.91%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1858	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.456194	-3.88%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2814	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.463549	-3.57%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2635	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.470994	-3.89%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3336	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.463675	-5.81%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3531	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.455954	-4.66%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3511	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.424487	-3.11%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3988	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.433028	-3.45%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.4022	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.413141	-2.33%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4412	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.406221	-2.21%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5735	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.40275	-2.17%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6735	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.405314	-0.83%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5563	✗	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.393917	-3.00%	0.747	+83.94%	0.6148	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.400811	-3.16%	0.702	+69.61%	0.5348	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.404561	-1.94%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5563	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.408122	-2.14%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4889	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.418963	-1.43%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4528	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.418062	-0.49%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4286	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.427195	+2.69%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3541	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.416371	+1.95%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4453	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.426129	+1.45%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3520	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.450784	+0.73%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.2351	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.407131	+0.11%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.3285	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.390507	-0.53%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3603	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.417784	-0.67%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1980	✗	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.385933	-2.89%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.3229	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.383051	-3.68%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3228	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.368296	-5.05%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3252	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.349865	-5.06%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3719	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.347049	-5.58%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3228	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.357153	-5.09%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.3075	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.352634	-4.49%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2748	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.361995	-4.25%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2673	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.362679	-4.28%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2801	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.374222	-4.45%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2453	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.383822	-4.22%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1820	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.390739	-4.44%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0768	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.375498	-4.42%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1366	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.376008	-4.37%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0877	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.376077	-4.78%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0598	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.376343	-4.58%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0406	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.382997	-4.58%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0077	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.393552	-5.12%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0192	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.415662	-5.57%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0544	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.418527	-5.95%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0646	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.41235	-5.34%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0362	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.427143	-5.34%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0430	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.411833	-5.16%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0028	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.404128	-5.29%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0107	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.380941	-4.39%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0484	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.364722	-3.54%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.1136	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.372381	-3.50%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1512	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.374657	-2.80%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0519	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.370716	-2.46%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0289	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.357307	-1.88%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1299	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.337406	-1.14%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1442	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.323351	-0.31%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.1970	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.346592	-0.95%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1126	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.361475	-1.38%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0202	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.38464	-2.57%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0417	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.385551	-2.05%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0216	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.381285	-1.54%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0257	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.379049	-1.31%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0032	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.386269	-1.15%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0242	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.407466	-1.98%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0388	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.409671	-1.78%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0225	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.407935	-1.51%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0002	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.391291	-0.43%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0012	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.401166	+0.42%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0282	✗	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.414445	-0.01%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0509	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.405065	-0.13%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0285	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.389561	-0.37%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0286	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.413565	-1.56%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0018	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.41952	-1.15%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0450	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.415199	-0.28%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0656	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.418846	+0.68%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0313	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.422817	+1.27%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0484	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.461139	+1.39%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0654	✗	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.466486	+1.43%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0955	✗	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.464011	+0.90%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1579	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.43242	+1.08%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1411	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.438246	+0.84%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1332	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458447	-0.10%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1758	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.492413	-1.92%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2575	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.521361	-3.73%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3557	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.528946	-4.00%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4335	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.534008	-4.39%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4971	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.542243	-3.88%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4363	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.568943	-5.65%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4379	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.527899	-4.35%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2901	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.529868	-5.00%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.2958	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.55027	-5.90%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3505	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.54487	-6.46%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3493	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.552505	-6.81%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3450	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.566972	-8.08%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3106	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.521204	-5.85%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2230	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.543813	-7.26%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.2792	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.53968	-7.29%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3210	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.550078	-8.73%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3180	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.571916	-10.09%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3220	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.577334	-10.37%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.3617	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.576443	-10.88%	0.391	-39.55%	0.3951	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.552508	-9.93%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.2695	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.549533	-9.85%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2490	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.546486	-9.75%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2317	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.568375	-10.02%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2230	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.565398	-9.62%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1433	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.563095	-8.90%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0697	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.558587	-8.29%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0518	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.573163	-8.50%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.0819	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.582615	-8.82%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.0949	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.558175	-8.30%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0112	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.567917	-8.01%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0233	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.569421	-7.76%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0801	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.602513	-7.65%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0745	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.589026	-7.78%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1098	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.610685	-7.50%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.0992	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.582361	-7.80%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1675	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.529904	-7.83%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3288	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.587226	-7.48%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1152	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.672728	-6.85%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0222	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.713151	-6.53%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0343	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.66775	-6.19%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0484	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.697438	-5.79%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0675	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.658011	-6.32%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1568	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.719317	-6.20%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0258	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.75359	-5.85%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0344	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.847934	-6.90%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0891	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.891795	-11.10%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1458	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.77939	-10.03%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0333	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.587726	-7.03%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3653	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.