LONGXIA

? · · lstm_s5

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +7d

assessed

40

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

45.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6385

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0161

actual -0.1668

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.022126	+1.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021545	+1.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020868	+2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.02148	+2.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027913	+1.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029586	+1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030566	+1.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.03034	+2.41%	0.02189	-26.11%	0.3461	✗	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.048412	-0.43%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.8242	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.040658	+0.90%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6928	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.044171	+0.37%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.7359	✗	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.046425	+0.34%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.5122	✗	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.046325	+0.71%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.4566	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.052092	+0.25%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.5561	✗	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.041731	+1.39%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.3205	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.065337	-1.24%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.2884	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.045617	+0.39%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.1077	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.045372	+0.18%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0191	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.05017	+0.45%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0704	✗	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.038602	-1.50%	0.046	+17.38%	0.1862	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.106038	-3.75%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.7105	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.03239	-9.78%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.2364	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.069317	+0.50%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.0229	✗	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.070217	-0.01%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.4066	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.087215	-0.61%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.6243	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.102544	-1.21%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.7143	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.127769	-1.85%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1867	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.101606	-1.77%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.0755	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.16437	-2.23%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.5116	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.136465	-2.15%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.6522	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.227717	-2.80%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.1395	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.230554	-3.25%	0.08775	-63.18%	1.0059	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.219179	-3.16%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7859	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.214944	-3.28%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.5405	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.217788	-5.59%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.8446	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.202108	-5.15%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2868	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.186435	-4.88%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.4217	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.156081	-3.10%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3039	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.140055	-3.22%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.4763	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.145951	-5.59%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.3886	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.069183	-1.90%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1206	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038918	+2.17%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.7821	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049183	+0.06%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.4939	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058371	-0.80%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2485	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.05423	-0.59%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.1003	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073153	-1.28%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7273	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.086291	-1.65%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6157	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.