LONGXIA

? · · lstm_s5

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

47.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2364

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0026

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021956	+0.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021283	+0.42%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0321	✓	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.02047	+0.57%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0170	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.02101	+0.62%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0289	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027573	+0.41%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2891	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.02921	+0.43%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0597	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030135	+0.47%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0246	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029788	+0.55%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0028	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.048602	-0.04%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4779	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.040399	+0.26%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1726	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.044074	+0.15%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0742	✗	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.046339	+0.15%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0580	✗	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.046112	+0.24%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0004	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.052032	+0.14%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1312	✗	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.041314	+0.37%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2497	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.065983	-0.27%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4653	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.045511	+0.16%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3750	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.045348	+0.13%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0050	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.050036	+0.18%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.1096	✗	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.039132	-0.15%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2427	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.1088	-1.25%	0.03919	-64.43%	1.0208	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.035321	-1.61%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.1523	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.069158	+0.27%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6567	✗	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.07036	+0.19%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0176	✗	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.087795	+0.05%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2388	✗	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.103685	-0.11%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1662	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.129713	-0.35%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2267	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.10325	-0.18%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2352	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.167323	-0.47%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4810	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.138964	-0.36%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2118	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.232614	-0.71%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.5070	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.236288	-0.85%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0733	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.22443	-0.84%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0609	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.220216	-0.91%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0230	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.226994	-1.60%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0788	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.20986	-1.52%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.0920	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.193092	-1.48%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.0912	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.159501	-0.98%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2397	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.143094	-1.12%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1007	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.151354	-2.09%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0388	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.070187	-0.47%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.7889	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038296	+0.54%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6018	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049224	+0.14%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2339	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058792	-0.08%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1769	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054546	-0.01%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0840	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073902	-0.27%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2880	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087356	-0.44%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1709	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.