LONGXIA

? · · lstm_s5

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +30d

assessed

17

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

94.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.2578

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0551

actual -1.2964

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021169	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.020628	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.019993	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020583	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.026713	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.028319	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.02928	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.02907	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.04654	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.038968	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.042494	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.044668	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.044547	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.050095	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.039832	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.063149	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.043338	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.042873	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.047445	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.035028	-10.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.102427	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.026546	-26.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.064718	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.065155	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.081856	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.097015	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.122417	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.095332	-7.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.158669	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.130732	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.221245	-5.57%	0.02189	-90.66%	2.2672	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.22292	-6.46%	0.021195	-91.11%	2.3747	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.212375	-6.17%	0.020355	-91.01%	2.3524	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.20841	-6.22%	0.02088	-90.60%	2.3146	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.206802	-10.36%	0.02746	-88.10%	2.0829	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.193243	-9.31%	0.029085	-86.35%	1.9617	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.17925	-8.54%	0.029995	-84.70%	1.8707	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.152648	-5.23%	0.029625	-81.61%	1.6820	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.137489	-5.00%	0.04862	-66.40%	1.1184	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.142833	-7.60%	0.040295	-73.93%	1.3218	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.067881	-3.74%	0.04401	-37.59%	0.5138	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.037136	-2.50%	0.04627	+21.48%	0.1399	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.047711	-2.94%	0.046	-6.42%	0.0895	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.057153	-2.87%	0.05196	-11.69%	0.1358	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.053019	-2.81%	0.04116	-24.55%	0.3047	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.072225	-2.53%	0.06616	-10.72%	0.1504	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.085297	-2.78%	0.04544	-48.21%	0.7013	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.