KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

153

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

62.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1679

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0177

actual -0.0446

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.028846	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.029278	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028239	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028443	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.033574	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.034721	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032083	-4.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030545	-4.30%	0.030038	-5.89%	0.0156	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027719	-4.00%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.0956	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026308	-4.00%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1099	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024101	-3.74%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.2072	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024019	-3.97%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3756	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024149	-4.17%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.4087	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023833	-3.98%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3464	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020017	-3.33%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4714	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021924	-3.47%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2800	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025602	-4.60%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.0757	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019591	-3.60%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2544	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018688	-3.20%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.2970	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021232	-3.53%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.1774	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020788	-3.25%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.1870	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023308	-3.47%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.1174	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025579	-3.90%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.1245	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.031479	-5.17%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.1653	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014202	-3.27%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3428	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014467	-3.62%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.2860	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013185	-2.19%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.5092	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012952	-2.10%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.5026	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013334	-2.25%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.6002	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013257	-2.18%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.7158	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013444	-2.16%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9279	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013184	-2.42%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0773	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.01348	-2.47%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0785	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013203	-2.27%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0081	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.01355	-2.48%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1115	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013587	-2.61%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.0869	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012922	-1.33%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0724	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012849	-1.27%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0319	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013069	-1.32%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0206	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013764	-1.62%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0438	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013737	-1.66%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0598	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013666	-1.63%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0188	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.01377	-1.42%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0396	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.013999	-1.27%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0326	✓	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014739	-1.24%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1139	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015565	-1.10%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1214	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015534	-1.03%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.0753	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016198	-1.04%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1236	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016671	-0.72%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1389	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.0171	-1.72%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2153	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017489	-1.70%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2239	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.017894	-1.38%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.1878	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017482	-1.43%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1404	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017348	-1.19%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1235	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017693	-1.22%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1052	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017721	-0.39%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0697	✓	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017166	-0.50%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0416	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018063	-0.67%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0036	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018618	-0.54%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0186	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.019953	-1.93%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1167	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018006	-1.07%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0466	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017467	-0.48%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0340	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.01704	-1.45%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1040	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016612	-1.43%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1645	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015776	-1.13%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1766	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017362	-1.69%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2497	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017447	-1.82%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1948	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017548	-1.99%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.2977	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017478	-2.11%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3581	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017128	-2.04%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2339	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016894	-2.12%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1422	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017934	-2.69%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1446	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017538	-2.70%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0072	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016809	-2.50%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.1093	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016577	-2.49%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1273	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017346	-2.60%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0802	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017744	-2.72%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0080	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018008	-2.79%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0108	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017866	-2.82%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0461	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016815	-2.64%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0568	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015623	-2.42%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0603	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014449	-2.47%	0.017	+14.75%	0.1029	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.01482	-2.54%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1263	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016523	-2.81%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.1112	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.01501	-2.41%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1918	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013984	-2.28%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2683	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013247	-2.02%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2711	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016857	-2.56%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0083	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012858	-1.47%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1735	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013885	-1.63%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1172	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013429	-1.37%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2427	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012925	-1.03%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2216	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012887	-0.87%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1629	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014909	-1.40%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0613	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015743	-1.58%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0785	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015385	-1.44%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1525	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015941	-1.45%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1263	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018685	-1.76%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3485	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019153	-1.73%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4168	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020509	-1.92%	0.013	-37.83%	0.4935	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019808	-1.87%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3455	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020317	-2.09%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2635	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.02008	-2.19%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2782	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020463	-2.33%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2291	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019789	-2.25%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0549	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019561	-2.17%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0667	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020547	-2.27%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0245	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021553	-2.43%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0211	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020877	-2.26%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0100	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019896	-1.87%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0145	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020816	-2.00%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0335	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022366	-2.18%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1442	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022462	-1.95%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.1783	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023403	-1.79%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2442	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026193	-2.07%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2751	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025658	-1.86%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.2946	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024856	-1.66%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.2895	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025993	-1.84%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2708	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024924	-1.41%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1343	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023873	-1.11%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0120	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025243	-1.28%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0617	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029077	-2.02%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0192	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029741	-1.91%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0251	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.0298	-1.78%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0455	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.02718	-0.98%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0647	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026138	-0.65%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0473	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028296	-0.92%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0733	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029061	-1.05%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0549	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.0293	-1.08%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0696	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030375	-1.19%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0596	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031598	-1.27%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0353	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030713	-0.96%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1107	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030119	-0.70%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1182	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030919	-0.34%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1594	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031421	-0.19%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1706	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032288	-0.34%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1717	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034431	-0.66%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1777	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.03758	-0.71%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.2887	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028821	+2.97%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0087	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034399	+0.67%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1221	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037524	-0.25%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1489	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036696	-0.26%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0758	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.04103	-1.86%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.1132	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.048425	-3.15%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1841	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.062188	-7.91%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.3040	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038343	+0.24%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1307	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.037149	+1.03%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0580	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039552	+0.95%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.0987	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044516	+0.35%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0618	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051236	-0.45%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.1234	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054415	-0.54%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0394	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053469	+0.17%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2718	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.056227	+0.40%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3573	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.054118	+1.05%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.3330	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.054539	+1.54%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2891	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.062596	+0.81%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.3320	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061978	+1.33%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1898	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.073978	-0.31%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2961	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076171	-0.43%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3367	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.092229	-1.94%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4521	✓	1.00