KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

131

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

74.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3992

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0484

actual -0.2150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.026946	-9.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.026827	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027767	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.026791	-8.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.027017	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.031977	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.032659	-10.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030082	-10.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.028889	-9.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026517	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025127	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023214	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.022913	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023	-8.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022789	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.01934	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021268	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.02487	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019002	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018119	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020455	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020084	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022223	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.023993	-9.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.028601	-13.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013887	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.01413	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012954	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012715	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013081	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013085	-3.45%	0.029719	+119.29%	0.8348	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.01331	-3.13%	0.029335	+113.50%	0.8098	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.012925	-4.33%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8420	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013223	-4.33%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7923	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.012988	-3.87%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8134	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.01322	-4.85%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9149	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013208	-5.33%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9507	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012413	-5.21%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9235	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012405	-4.69%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.9040	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012609	-4.79%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7517	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013292	-4.99%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6696	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013332	-4.56%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5552	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013301	-4.26%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5562	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013532	-3.12%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5710	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.013743	-3.07%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5541	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014457	-3.14%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.3126	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015311	-2.71%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3386	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015272	-2.69%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4996	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.015949	-2.56%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1783	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016467	-1.93%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.1287	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.016765	-3.65%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1804	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017227	-3.17%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.1251	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.017712	-2.38%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2509	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017283	-2.55%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3545	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017163	-2.24%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5851	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017581	-1.85%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.2763	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017678	-0.63%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2284	✓	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017137	-0.67%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3193	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018121	-0.34%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4079	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.01872	+0.01%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4051	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.019995	-1.73%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5366	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.017997	-1.12%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4333	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017475	-0.44%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3082	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.0168	-2.84%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3606	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016263	-3.50%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4234	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015356	-3.77%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3725	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.016725	-5.30%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4478	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.016734	-5.83%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5478	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.016862	-5.82%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6171	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.016839	-5.69%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5698	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016634	-4.87%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5143	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016431	-4.80%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4722	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.01742	-5.48%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5145	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017143	-4.89%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5309	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016604	-3.69%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4820	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016443	-3.27%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4329	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017132	-3.81%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4505	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017496	-4.08%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4809	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017704	-4.43%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4352	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017526	-4.67%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4833	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016588	-3.95%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3120	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015513	-3.10%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2224	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014547	-1.81%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1778	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015063	-0.94%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.2133	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016654	-2.04%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2778	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015204	-1.14%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1692	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014188	-0.86%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1573	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013408	-0.83%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.1059	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016705	-3.44%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1938	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012886	-1.26%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1019	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013919	-1.39%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1225	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013441	-1.28%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0712	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012919	-1.08%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0662	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012827	-1.33%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1662	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014879	-1.60%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0306	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015739	-1.60%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0138	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015444	-1.06%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1418	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016053	-0.76%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1280	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.01876	-1.37%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0276	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019175	-1.62%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0272	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020385	-2.51%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1141	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019714	-2.33%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1627	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020141	-2.94%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0833	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.019939	-2.88%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.1045	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.0203	-3.10%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1819	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019694	-2.72%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1912	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019461	-2.67%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1560	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.02021	-3.88%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1265	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021009	-4.89%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1410	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020272	-5.09%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1094	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019235	-5.13%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1171	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020054	-5.58%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2496	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.021385	-6.47%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4009	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.021631	-5.58%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4300	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.022498	-5.59%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4552	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.024224	-9.43%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.5562	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.023908	-8.56%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6314	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.023276	-7.91%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6450	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.024257	-8.40%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.4809	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.02352	-6.96%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7104	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.022629	-6.26%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5577	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.023731	-7.19%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6217	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.02707	-8.78%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.7842	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.027673	-8.73%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8411	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.027692	-8.73%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6315	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.025361	-7.61%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.4913	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.024536	-6.74%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.4990	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.026288	-7.95%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.4723	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.026999	-8.07%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3053	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.027226	-8.08%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.2964	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.028252	-8.09%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.2833	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.029296	-8.46%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3159	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.028626	-7.69%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3268	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.028277	-6.77%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3253	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.029316	-5.51%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4077	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.029792	-5.36%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4262	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.030607	-5.53%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4031	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.032476	-6.30%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4354	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.035042	-7.42%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5746	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.02749	-1.79%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3357	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.032355	-5.31%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4560	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.035176	-6.50%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4805	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.034728	-5.60%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3371	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.038627	-7.61%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3490	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.044613	-10.77%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.3982	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.053358	-20.99%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.4868	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.035971	-5.96%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.1091	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.034804	-5.35%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.1157	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.036994	-5.58%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.1204	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.041506	-6.43%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2568	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.047223	-8.24%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4346	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.049992	-8.62%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4644	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.049366	-7.52%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3278	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.051911	-7.30%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3612	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.049772	-7.06%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.3065	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.049939	-7.02%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3991	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.05756	-7.30%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5833	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.057033	-6.76%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.5144	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.068355	-7.89%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6795	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.070782	-7.47%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7069	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.086731	-7.78%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8523	✓	1.00