KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

159

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

54.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0684

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0040

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029756	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030217	-0.93%	0.030038	-1.51%	0.0059	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.029111	-0.87%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0468	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029331	-0.90%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0010	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034559	-0.98%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1543	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035801	-1.35%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0256	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.03321	-1.51%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0882	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031551	-1.15%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0670	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028589	-0.99%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1100	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.027133	-0.99%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0624	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024804	-0.93%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.1017	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024725	-1.15%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0116	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024896	-1.20%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0042	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024558	-1.06%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0247	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020548	-0.77%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1933	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.02249	-0.98%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0783	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.026414	-1.58%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1506	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.020123	-0.99%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2904	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.019155	-0.78%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0540	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.02178	-1.04%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1213	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021277	-0.97%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0348	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023854	-1.21%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.1087	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.026203	-1.55%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0815	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.032468	-2.20%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1992	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014506	-1.21%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8357	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014828	-1.21%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0102	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013419	-0.46%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1096	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013174	-0.43%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0253	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013576	-0.47%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0259	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013489	-0.47%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0245	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013676	-0.47%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0061	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013442	-0.51%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0274	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013747	-0.54%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0167	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013442	-0.50%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0245	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013814	-0.58%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0726	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013858	-0.67%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0003	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013071	-0.18%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0584	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.01299	-0.19%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0407	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013217	-0.20%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0327	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013949	-0.29%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0461	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013927	-0.30%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0038	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013854	-0.28%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0000	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013938	-0.21%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0184	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014152	-0.18%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0112	✓	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014895	-0.20%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0419	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015708	-0.19%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0372	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015668	-0.17%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0012	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016338	-0.19%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0417	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016768	-0.14%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0098	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017339	-0.35%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0835	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017731	-0.34%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0176	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018093	-0.28%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0025	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017684	-0.29%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0137	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017514	-0.24%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0210	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017867	-0.25%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0235	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017773	-0.10%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0475	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017233	-0.11%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0118	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018153	-0.17%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0591	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018682	-0.19%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0193	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020229	-0.58%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1004	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018152	-0.26%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.1019	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017526	-0.15%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0612	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017234	-0.33%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0907	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016803	-0.30%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0518	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015927	-0.19%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0568	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017598	-0.35%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1029	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017703	-0.38%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0447	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017831	-0.42%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0014	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017777	-0.44%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0060	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017416	-0.39%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0372	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017189	-0.41%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0167	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018327	-0.56%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0571	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017925	-0.55%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0374	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017155	-0.49%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0742	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016915	-0.50%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0206	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017715	-0.54%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0416	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.01813	-0.60%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0344	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018403	-0.66%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0000	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018259	-0.68%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0015	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017164	-0.61%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0520	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015928	-0.51%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0818	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014739	-0.51%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0620	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015123	-0.54%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0188	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016869	-0.77%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0520	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015295	-0.55%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0840	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014236	-0.52%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0760	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013464	-0.41%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0570	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017179	-0.70%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.2008	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013021	-0.22%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2628	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014076	-0.27%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0801	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013587	-0.21%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0586	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013044	-0.12%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0651	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.01299	-0.08%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0146	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015086	-0.22%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1794	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015952	-0.27%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0664	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015577	-0.21%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0292	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016142	-0.21%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0556	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.01896	-0.31%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1620	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019428	-0.32%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0026	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.02083	-0.38%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0597	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020115	-0.35%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0311	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020664	-0.41%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0155	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020442	-0.43%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0158	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020853	-0.46%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0064	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020159	-0.43%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0141	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019916	-0.40%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0077	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020932	-0.44%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0178	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021976	-0.52%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0270	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021262	-0.46%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0278	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020211	-0.32%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0431	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021167	-0.34%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0572	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022774	-0.40%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.0972	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022833	-0.34%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0402	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023754	-0.32%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0783	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026653	-0.35%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0652	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.02607	-0.29%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0064	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025216	-0.23%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0491	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026408	-0.27%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0420	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025239	-0.16%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0398	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024119	-0.09%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0837	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025536	-0.13%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0091	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.02958	-0.32%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1109	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.03023	-0.30%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0376	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030257	-0.27%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0288	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027428	-0.08%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0820	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026308	-0.01%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0278	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028537	-0.08%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0431	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029336	-0.12%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0016	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029582	-0.13%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0087	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030694	-0.15%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0495	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031951	-0.17%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0711	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030982	-0.09%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0103	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030323	-0.02%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0230	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031046	+0.07%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0802	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031511	+0.10%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0091	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032423	+0.07%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0084	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.03466	-0.00%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0609	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037843	-0.02%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1764	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028182	+0.68%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.3010	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034265	+0.28%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1578	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037657	+0.10%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0935	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036831	+0.11%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0613	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041701	-0.26%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0578	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049667	-0.67%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1410	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.066083	-2.14%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2762	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.03833	+0.21%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5608	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036902	+0.36%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0379	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039314	+0.34%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0560	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044461	+0.23%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1063	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051494	+0.06%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1305	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054732	+0.04%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0651	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053485	+0.20%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.056139	+0.25%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0663	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053751	+0.37%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0685	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053955	+0.46%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0084	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.062295	+0.32%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1575	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061427	+0.43%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.074283	+0.10%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1883	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076562	+0.08%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093778	-0.29%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1915	✓	1.00