GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s5

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

53.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0839

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0251

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.298298	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.296187	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.290675	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.292917	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.290657	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.296751	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.292839	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.310711	-2.55%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0112	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.310494	-2.24%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0156	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.321578	-2.39%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0689	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.327554	-2.48%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0802	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.336948	-2.62%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1171	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.33446	-2.43%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0901	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.315489	-1.81%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0489	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.318309	-1.76%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0016	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.321503	-1.88%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0127	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.321806	-2.02%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0240	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.313963	-1.81%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0683	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.318968	-1.96%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0820	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.320099	-2.10%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0692	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.31179	-2.06%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0314	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.315642	-2.16%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0263	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.312291	-2.24%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0474	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.309291	-2.37%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0593	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.320253	-2.72%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0018	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.332324	-3.04%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0213	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.338117	-3.12%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0337	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.343778	-3.09%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0769	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.332135	-3.05%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0289	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.341238	-3.18%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0665	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.347898	-3.05%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.0937	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.360263	-3.85%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.0937	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.329712	-3.27%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0352	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.326845	-3.93%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0618	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.342216	-5.07%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0147	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.293376	-2.98%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1318	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.294324	-3.06%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1400	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.290413	-2.81%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1756	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.287234	-2.78%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2465	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.289324	-2.60%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1476	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.296313	-2.58%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.1206	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.28089	-2.16%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2504	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.283045	-1.91%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0764	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.298075	-1.93%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0317	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.287583	-1.58%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0425	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.291818	-1.48%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0291	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.295702	-1.55%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0168	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.28858	-1.61%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0688	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.287401	-1.32%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0314	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.281411	-1.57%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0189	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.2737	-1.30%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0980	✗	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.280761	-1.04%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0363	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.279133	-0.93%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0512	✗	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.282588	-0.67%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0561	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.281132	-0.54%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0368	✗	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.303994	-0.17%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0453	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.306421	-0.27%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0644	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308267	-0.01%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1021	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.313205	+0.19%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.0978	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324642	+0.20%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1415	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334709	+0.09%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1655	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.342821	+0.43%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.1917	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.308332	-0.89%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0179	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.322716	-1.94%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0310	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.353748	-2.94%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1541	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.356895	-2.95%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1528	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.353623	-2.97%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1071	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.360865	-3.07%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.0935	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.357547	-3.00%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0703	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.380393	-3.23%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2133	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.364321	-3.11%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1090	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.360907	-3.22%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0083	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.352641	-3.11%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0412	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.335006	-2.91%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0877	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.335483	-3.11%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.1074	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.330718	-3.19%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1117	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.327748	-3.22%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1832	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.345883	-3.47%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0853	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.337236	-3.52%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.1012	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.330954	-3.54%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0945	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.317006	-3.34%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0832	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.310835	-3.32%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.1058	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.317376	-3.45%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0715	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.319421	-3.47%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0589	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.31815	-3.40%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1182	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.337219	-3.65%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0357	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.35324	-3.95%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0289	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.360138	-4.18%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.0919	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.352841	-4.83%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.0918	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.346521	-4.20%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0520	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.339338	-3.79%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0249	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.342133	-3.77%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0363	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.347358	-4.40%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0097	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.315871	-2.48%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1507	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.309375	-2.33%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1954	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.311439	-2.45%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1738	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.316602	-2.52%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1334	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.324131	-2.59%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0857	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.32446	-2.54%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0927	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.323741	-2.27%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1168	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.320358	-2.05%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0158	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.330213	-2.42%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0397	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.336299	-2.58%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0500	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.338892	-2.52%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0429	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.340753	-2.19%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0225	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.348213	-2.06%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0402	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.366101	-2.32%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.0960	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.367299	-2.44%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1203	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.372015	-2.55%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.0943	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.377388	-2.66%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.0876	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.374295	-2.53%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0699	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.379235	-2.46%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0807	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.3855	-2.33%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0757	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.386683	-2.03%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0192	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.385411	-2.14%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0142	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.371699	-1.74%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0400	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.370676	-1.77%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0551	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.382624	-2.05%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0114	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.383265	-2.05%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0200	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.373378	-1.97%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0527	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.38236	-2.23%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0182	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.390717	-2.31%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0054	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.401573	-2.29%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0718	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.407378	-2.28%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0908	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.394793	-1.88%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0250	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.368746	-0.98%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0412	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.407658	-1.77%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0948	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.418981	-1.95%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0927	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.426861	-2.03%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0837	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.481349	-2.46%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1733	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.438373	-2.07%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0470	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.445771	-2.02%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1015	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.4619	-2.22%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2046	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.461288	-2.08%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1534	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.443525	-2.03%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.0990	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.452794	-2.35%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0882	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.456006	-2.50%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0417	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.397982	-1.85%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0604	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.425506	-2.32%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0267	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.418531	-2.69%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1249	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.465135	-3.02%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0541	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.492426	-3.26%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0066	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.43225	-3.15%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1932	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.436388	-3.26%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2197	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.460332	-3.44%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0657	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.43692	-3.67%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1810	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.604394	-3.74%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.1986	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.686866	-3.62%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2104	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.64619	-3.60%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1098	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.613922	-3.49%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2389	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.69443	-3.96%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3862	✓	1.00