GENIUS
Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s5
- token id
- #408
- symbol
- GENIUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-15
- predictions
- 453
Track record at +30d
assessed
121
of 151 predictions shown
direction hit
69.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1224
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0652
actual -0.0865
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.3071 | 0.283985 | -7.53% | – | pending | – | – | -0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3057 | 0.282465 | -7.60% | – | pending | – | – | -0.10 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.30015 | 0.277197 | -7.65% | – | pending | – | – | -0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3024 | 0.279609 | -7.54% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.29965 | 0.277122 | -7.52% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.3056 | 0.283046 | -7.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.30045 | 0.279894 | -6.84% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.31885 | 0.295163 | -7.43% | – | pending | – | – | -0.03 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.3176 | 0.296237 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.32945 | 0.305729 | -7.20% | – | pending | – | – | -0.02 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.3359 | 0.313093 | -6.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.02 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.346 | 0.321897 | -6.97% | – | pending | – | – | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.3428 | 0.319891 | -6.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.3213 | 0.302213 | -5.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.324 | 0.305595 | -5.68% | – | pending | – | – | -0.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.32765 | 0.309548 | -5.52% | – | pending | – | – | -0.02 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.32845 | 0.309882 | -5.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.31975 | 0.303674 | -5.03% | – | pending | – | – | 0.02 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.32535 | 0.307784 | -5.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.03 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.32695 | 0.308552 | -5.63% | – | pending | – | – | 0.03 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.31835 | 0.300807 | -5.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.3226 | 0.304036 | -5.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.31945 | 0.300373 | -5.97% | – | pending | – | – | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.3168 | 0.297154 | -6.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.3292 | 0.307015 | -6.74% | – | pending | – | – | 0.01 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.34275 | 0.318081 | -7.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.349 | 0.323973 | -7.17% | – | pending | – | – | 0.01 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.35475 | 0.33054 | -6.82% | – | pending | – | – | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.3426 | 0.321026 | -6.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.35245 | 0.332106 | -5.77% | – | pending | – | – | -0.02 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.35885 | 0.339405 | -5.42% | 0.3071 | -14.42% | 0.1000 | ✓ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.3747 | 0.349948 | -6.61% | 0.3057 | -18.41% | 0.1371 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.34085 | 0.321069 | -5.80% | 0.30015 | -11.94% | 0.0681 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.3402 | 0.319455 | -6.10% | 0.3024 | -11.11% | 0.0562 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.3605 | 0.330684 | -8.27% | 0.29965 | -16.88% | 0.1121 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.3024 | 0.282316 | -6.64% | 0.3056 | +1.06% | 0.0639 | ✓ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.3036 | 0.282753 | -6.87% | 0.30045 | -1.04% | 0.0353 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.2988 | 0.280323 | -6.18% | 0.31885 | +6.71% | 0.1138 | ✗ | 0.35 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.29545 | 0.276788 | -6.32% | 0.3176 | +7.50% | 0.1099 | ✗ | 0.35 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.29705 | 0.279404 | -5.94% | 0.32945 | +10.91% | 0.1464 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.30415 | 0.286193 | -5.90% | 0.3359 | +10.44% | 0.1298 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.2871 | 0.270852 | -5.66% | 0.346 | +20.52% | 0.2161 | ✗ | 0.36 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.28855 | 0.273928 | -5.07% | 0.3428 | +18.80% | 0.2047 | ✗ | 0.37 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.30395 | 0.288328 | -5.14% | 0.3213 | +5.71% | 0.0937 | ✗ | 0.36 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.2922 | 0.279059 | -4.50% | 0.324 | +10.88% | 0.1305 | ✗ | 0.37 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.2962 | 0.284056 | -4.10% | 0.32765 | +10.62% | 0.1194 | ✗ | 0.37 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.30035 | 0.287721 | -4.20% | 0.32845 | +9.36% | 0.1057 | ✗ | 0.37 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.2933 | 0.28083 | -4.25% | 0.31975 | +9.02% | 0.0874 | ✗ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.29125 | 0.281852 | -3.23% | 0.32535 | +11.71% | 0.1208 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.2859 | 0.274234 | -4.08% | 0.32695 | +14.36% | 0.1325 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2773 | 0.267031 | -3.70% | 0.31835 | +14.80% | 0.1292 | ✗ | 0.51 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2837 | 0.274654 | -3.19% | 0.3226 | +13.71% | 0.1276 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.273007 | -3.10% | 0.31945 | +13.38% | 0.1393 | ✗ | 0.24 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.2845 | 0.277527 | -2.45% | 0.3168 | +11.35% | 0.1169 | ✗ | 0.24 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.28265 | 0.276242 | -2.27% | 0.3292 | +16.47% | 0.1557 | ✗ | 0.24 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.3045 | 0.301718 | -0.91% | 0.34275 | +12.56% | 0.1175 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.30725 | 0.303946 | -1.08% | 0.349 | +13.59% | 0.1243 | ✗ | 0.22 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.3083 | 0.307496 | -0.26% | 0.35475 | +15.07% | 0.1245 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.3126 | 0.313998 | +0.45% | 0.3426 | +9.60% | 0.0728 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.324 | 0.325914 | +0.59% | 0.35245 | +8.78% | 0.0576 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.3344 | 0.335683 | +0.38% | 0.35885 | +7.31% | 0.0440 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.34135 | 0.346215 | +1.43% | 0.3747 | +9.77% | 0.0719 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.30449 | -2.12% | 0.34085 | +9.56% | 0.1068 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3291 | 0.312946 | -4.91% | 0.3402 | +3.37% | 0.1049 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.36445 | 0.337705 | -7.34% | 0.3605 | -1.08% | 0.0512 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.36775 | 0.341084 | -7.25% | 0.3024 | -17.77% | 0.1370 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.36445 | 0.337494 | -7.40% | 0.3036 | -16.70% | 0.1228 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.3723 | 0.344756 | -7.40% | 0.2988 | -19.74% | 0.1616 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3686 | 0.341545 | -7.34% | 0.29545 | -19.85% | 0.1668 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3931 | 0.3638 | -7.45% | 0.29705 | -24.43% | 0.2198 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.376 | 0.349005 | -7.18% | 0.30415 | -19.11% | 0.1537 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3729 | 0.345838 | -7.26% | 0.2871 | -23.01% | 0.2014 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.36395 | 0.337206 | -7.35% | 0.28855 | -20.72% | 0.1731 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.34505 | 0.320446 | -7.13% | 0.30395 | -11.91% | 0.0739 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.34625 | 0.320696 | -7.38% | 0.2922 | -15.61% | 0.1149 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.3416 | 0.316279 | -7.41% | 0.2962 | -13.29% | 0.0888 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.33865 | 0.313516 | -7.42% | 0.30035 | -11.31% | 0.0654 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.3583 | 0.330528 | -7.75% | 0.2933 | -18.14% | 0.1402 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.34955 | 0.32251 | -7.74% | 0.29125 | -16.68% | 0.1229 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.3431 | 0.316306 | -7.81% | 0.2859 | -16.67% | 0.1166 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.32795 | 0.303236 | -7.54% | 0.2773 | -15.44% | 0.1042 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.3215 | 0.297308 | -7.52% | 0.2837 | -11.76% | 0.0608 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.3287 | 0.30323 | -7.75% | 0.28175 | -14.28% | 0.0869 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.3309 | 0.305559 | -7.66% | 0.2845 | -14.02% | 0.0833 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.32935 | 0.304072 | -7.68% | 0.28265 | -14.18% | 0.0845 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.35 | 0.321426 | -8.16% | 0.3045 | -13.00% | 0.0692 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.36775 | 0.336062 | -8.62% | 0.30725 | -16.45% | 0.1059 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.37585 | 0.343659 | -8.56% | 0.3083 | -17.97% | 0.1197 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.37075 | 0.334673 | -9.73% | 0.3126 | -15.68% | 0.0782 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.3617 | 0.327562 | -9.44% | 0.324 | -10.42% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 0.04 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.3527 | 0.322867 | -8.46% | 0.3344 | -5.19% | 0.0256 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.35555 | 0.326634 | -8.13% | 0.34135 | -3.99% | 0.0349 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.36335 | 0.331194 | -8.85% | 0.3111 | -14.38% | 0.0674 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.3239 | 0.301289 | -6.98% | 0.3291 | +1.61% | 0.0918 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.31675 | 0.295352 | -6.76% | 0.36445 | +15.06% | 0.2102 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.31925 | 0.297447 | -6.83% | 0.36775 | +15.19% | 0.2118 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.3248 | 0.301982 | -7.03% | 0.36445 | +12.21% | 0.1870 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.33275 | 0.308955 | -7.15% | 0.3723 | +11.89% | 0.1858 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.3329 | 0.309859 | -6.92% | 0.3686 | +10.72% | 0.1720 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.33125 | 0.308947 | -6.73% | 0.3931 | +18.67% | 0.2395 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.32705 | 0.305255 | -6.66% | 0.376 | +14.97% | 0.2103 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.3384 | 0.314676 | -7.01% | 0.3729 | +10.20% | 0.1693 | ✗ | -0.13 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.3452 | 0.320357 | -7.20% | 0.36395 | +5.43% | 0.1279 | ✗ | -0.13 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.34765 | 0.323093 | -7.06% | 0.34505 | -0.75% | 0.0672 | ✓ | -0.13 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.3484 | 0.324416 | -6.88% | 0.34625 | -0.62% | 0.0688 | ✓ | -0.13 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.35555 | 0.330807 | -6.96% | 0.3416 | -3.92% | 0.0372 | ✓ | -0.12 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.3748 | 0.347052 | -7.40% | 0.33865 | -9.65% | 0.0222 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.3765 | 0.348843 | -7.35% | 0.3583 | -4.83% | 0.0282 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.38175 | 0.353179 | -7.48% | 0.34955 | -8.43% | 0.0092 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.3877 | 0.357991 | -7.66% | 0.3431 | -11.50% | 0.0416 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.384 | 0.355254 | -7.49% | 0.32795 | -14.60% | 0.0776 | ✓ | -0.16 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.3888 | 0.359441 | -7.55% | 0.3215 | -17.31% | 0.1085 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.3947 | 0.3646 | -7.63% | 0.3287 | -16.72% | 0.0972 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.3947 | 0.365389 | -7.43% | 0.3309 | -16.16% | 0.0838 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.39385 | 0.364756 | -7.39% | 0.32935 | -16.38% | 0.0931 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.3783 | 0.352262 | -6.88% | 0.35 | -7.48% | 0.0077 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.37735 | 0.35153 | -6.84% | 0.36775 | -2.54% | 0.0572 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.39065 | 0.362655 | -7.17% | 0.37585 | -3.79% | 0.0519 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.3913 | 0.363228 | -7.17% | 0.37075 | -5.25% | 0.0348 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.3809 | 0.354565 | -6.91% | 0.3617 | -5.04% | 0.0282 | ✓ | -0.17 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.3911 | 0.364155 | -6.89% | 0.3527 | -9.82% | 0.0244 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.39995 | 0.373234 | -6.68% | 0.35555 | -11.10% | 0.0413 | ✓ | -0.22 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.411 | 0.383281 | -6.74% | 0.36335 | -11.59% | 0.0434 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.4169 | 0.389778 | -6.51% | 0.3239 | -22.31% | 0.1820 | ✓ | -0.21 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.40235 | 0.377142 | -6.27% | 0.31675 | -21.28% | 0.1697 | ✓ | -0.26 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.3724 | 0.351258 | -5.68% | 0.31925 | -14.27% | 0.0850 | ✓ | -0.35 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.415 | 0.390409 | -5.93% | 0.3248 | -21.73% | 0.1882 | ✓ | -0.49 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.4273 | 0.402629 | -5.77% | 0.33275 | -22.13% | 0.2053 | ✓ | -0.51 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.4357 | 0.41121 | -5.62% | 0.3329 | -23.59% | 0.2236 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.4935 | 0.464546 | -5.87% | 0.33125 | -32.88% | 0.3426 | ✓ | -0.40 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.44765 | 0.42159 | -5.82% | 0.32705 | -26.94% | 0.2197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.45495 | 0.428676 | -5.78% | 0.3384 | -25.62% | 0.2396 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.4724 | 0.444038 | -6.00% | 0.3452 | -26.93% | 0.2551 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.4711 | 0.442205 | -6.13% | 0.34765 | -26.20% | 0.2833 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.4527 | 0.424052 | -6.33% | 0.3484 | -23.04% | 0.2204 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.4637 | 0.433334 | -6.55% | 0.35555 | -23.32% | 0.1847 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.4677 | 0.436027 | -6.77% | 0.3748 | -19.86% | 0.1516 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.4055 | 0.377208 | -6.98% | 0.3765 | -7.15% | 0.0524 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.4356 | 0.403768 | -7.31% | 0.38175 | -12.36% | 0.0970 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.4301 | 0.397085 | -7.68% | 0.3877 | -9.86% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.4796 | 0.442663 | -7.70% | 0.384 | -19.93% | 0.1181 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | oos | 0.509 | 0.469255 | -7.81% | 0.3888 | -23.61% | 0.1073 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-01 | oos | 0.4463 | 0.411359 | -7.83% | 0.3947 | -11.56% | 0.1321 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.415975 | -7.79% | 0.3947 | -12.50% | 0.1764 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | oos | 0.47675 | 0.439806 | -7.75% | 0.39385 | -17.39% | 0.0935 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | oos | 0.45355 | 0.41656 | -8.16% | 0.3783 | -16.59% | 0.1136 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | oos | 0.62785 | 0.577815 | -7.97% | 0.37735 | -39.90% | 0.2219 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-27 | oos | 0.71265 | 0.657482 | -7.74% | 0.39065 | -45.18% | 0.3067 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-26 | oos | 0.67035 | 0.621842 | -7.24% | 0.3913 | -41.63% | 0.2242 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-25 | oos | 0.6361 | 0.593329 | -6.72% | 0.3809 | -40.12% | 0.2068 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-24 | oos | 0.72305 | 0.673732 | -6.82% | 0.3911 | -45.91% | 0.3379 | ✓ | 1.00 |