GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s5

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

54.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0339

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0048

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.305244	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.303706	-0.65%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0108	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.298284	-0.62%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0259	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.300598	-0.60%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0016	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.297987	-0.55%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0150	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.303952	-0.54%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0143	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299077	-0.46%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0213	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317459	-0.44%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0548	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.31645	-0.36%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0070	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328119	-0.40%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0323	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.33434	-0.46%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0151	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344264	-0.50%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0247	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341235	-0.46%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0138	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.320416	-0.28%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0675	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.323093	-0.28%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0056	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326551	-0.34%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0083	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327209	-0.38%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0014	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.318769	-0.31%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0301	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.32428	-0.33%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0147	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325768	-0.36%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0014	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317255	-0.34%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0302	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321508	-0.34%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0104	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318319	-0.35%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0134	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315605	-0.38%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0120	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.327626	-0.48%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0335	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.340785	-0.57%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0346	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.346839	-0.62%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0119	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.352313	-0.69%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0094	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.339897	-0.79%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0428	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.348892	-1.01%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0186	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.355233	-1.01%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0079	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.369781	-1.31%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0357	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.337288	-1.05%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1053	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.335517	-1.38%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0153	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.354683	-1.61%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0539	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.300693	-0.56%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1808	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.301835	-0.58%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0004	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297206	-0.53%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0331	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.293921	-0.52%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0102	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.295613	-0.48%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0014	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.302631	-0.50%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0189	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286086	-0.35%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0581	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.287654	-0.31%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0064	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.302936	-0.33%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0479	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.291472	-0.25%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0449	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.295462	-0.25%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0053	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.29951	-0.28%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0135	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.292415	-0.30%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0258	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.290566	-0.23%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0201	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.285191	-0.25%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0033	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.276807	-0.18%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0329	✗	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.283356	-0.12%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0135	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.281507	-0.09%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0050	✗	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.284385	-0.04%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0076	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.28263	-0.01%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0054	✗	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.304555	+0.02%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0685	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.307237	-0.00%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0125	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308488	+0.06%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0057	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312863	+0.08%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0134	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324243	+0.07%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0398	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334537	+0.04%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0337	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.34159	+0.07%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0180	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310774	-0.10%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0899	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.328068	-0.31%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0459	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362429	-0.55%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1024	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365749	-0.54%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0039	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.362481	-0.54%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0121	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.370097	-0.59%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0151	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.366531	-0.56%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0155	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.39045	-0.67%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0570	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.373516	-0.66%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0511	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.370206	-0.72%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0157	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361601	-0.65%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0313	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.34314	-0.55%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0605	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344178	-0.60%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0026	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.339533	-0.61%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0196	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336615	-0.60%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0137	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.355779	-0.70%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0488	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.34698	-0.74%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0313	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340621	-0.72%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0252	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.3259	-0.63%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0515	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.31954	-0.61%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0253	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.326543	-0.66%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0155	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.328648	-0.68%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0020	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.327237	-0.64%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0104	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.347404	-0.74%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0534	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.364553	-0.87%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0409	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.372003	-1.02%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0100	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.366313	-1.20%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0249	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.358532	-0.88%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0334	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.349877	-0.80%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0341	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.352488	-0.86%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0015	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.359248	-1.13%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0100	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.322539	-0.42%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1203	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315544	-0.38%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0267	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317931	-0.41%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0038	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323439	-0.42%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0121	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.331259	-0.45%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0196	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.331371	-0.46%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0033	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.330028	-0.37%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0084	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.326109	-0.29%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0201	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.337069	-0.39%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0332	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.343733	-0.43%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0157	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.34623	-0.41%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0037	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.347271	-0.32%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0031	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.354499	-0.30%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0155	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.373436	-0.36%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0517	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.374995	-0.40%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0022	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.380128	-0.42%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0086	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.385953	-0.45%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0098	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.38243	-0.41%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0151	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.387296	-0.39%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0060	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.39334	-0.34%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0081	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.393647	-0.27%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0064	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.392656	-0.30%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0011	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.377536	-0.20%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0446	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.376552	-0.21%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0031	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.389563	-0.28%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0321	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.390243	-0.27%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0020	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379948	-0.25%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0259	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.389851	-0.32%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0286	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398527	-0.36%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0233	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.409545	-0.35%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0215	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.415359	-0.37%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0137	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.401335	-0.25%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0410	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.372366	-0.01%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0807	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.414015	-0.24%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1179	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.426018	-0.30%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0354	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.434273	-0.33%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0214	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.491195	-0.47%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1164	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.446193	-0.33%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0812	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.453589	-0.30%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0271	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.470687	-0.36%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0336	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.469652	-0.31%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0280	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.451439	-0.28%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0465	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.462017	-0.36%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.465849	-0.40%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.40482	-0.17%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1049	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.434318	-0.29%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0657	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.428409	-0.39%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0611	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.477064	-0.53%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1000	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.505845	-0.62%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.443859	-0.55%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2045	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.448343	-0.61%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0266	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.473228	-0.74%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.44989	-0.81%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0525	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.622233	-0.89%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3142	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.706286	-0.89%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1068	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.663626	-1.00%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0914	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.629481	-1.04%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0815	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.713138	-1.37%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1179	✓	1.00