ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s5

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0634

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0260

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.298256	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.29974	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.335477	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.310439	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.306464	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.313931	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.300826	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.31386	-3.16%	0.3079	-5.00%	0.0528	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.287867	-2.62%	0.3086	+4.40%	0.0302	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.301829	-2.95%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1435	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.311487	-3.11%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0262	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.315814	-3.20%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0259	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.315639	-3.24%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0504	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.286482	-2.62%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0947	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.298711	-2.89%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0747	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.289579	-2.76%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0481	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.311126	-3.12%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0367	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.304498	-2.96%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1153	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.314242	-3.15%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0795	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.297274	-2.92%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1202	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.314707	-3.32%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0380	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.318104	-3.44%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0137	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.31982	-3.49%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0671	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.323738	-3.62%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0361	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.31241	-3.46%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0300	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.318844	-3.70%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0134	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.315488	-3.76%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0348	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.325222	-3.99%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0054	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.325862	-4.05%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0039	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.333034	-4.25%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0076	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.326126	-4.17%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0694	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.311069	-3.83%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0879	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.266901	-3.61%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1691	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.271233	-3.70%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1447	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.275234	-3.81%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1625	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.243611	-3.79%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2260	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.239885	-3.70%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2627	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.23355	-3.51%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2374	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.258777	-3.66%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.1221	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.250494	-3.54%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0457	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.251842	-3.36%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0621	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.247158	-3.04%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.1004	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.248754	-2.83%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0202	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.243614	-2.32%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0508	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.246769	-2.15%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0194	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.218427	-1.39%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.2195	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.259153	-2.06%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0459	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.254453	-1.87%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0556	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.24983	-1.56%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0498	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.260853	-0.97%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0374	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.256569	-1.53%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0410	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.249087	-1.00%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0013	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.257009	-0.54%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1557	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.245601	-0.53%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0397	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.250187	-0.20%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0153	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.255748	-0.22%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0313	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.260066	+0.57%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0001	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.263475	+0.37%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0118	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.263247	+0.32%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0300	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.26864	+0.50%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0332	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.267214	+0.19%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0782	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.270472	-0.16%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0919	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.268243	+0.28%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0389	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.239014	-1.60%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0179	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.21053	-2.31%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.1046	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.196058	-2.65%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1248	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.197185	-2.67%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1297	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.199425	-2.77%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.1009	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.197076	-2.68%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1390	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.201306	-2.75%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0888	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.203228	-2.76%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0504	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.209634	-2.90%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0523	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.214893	-3.03%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0807	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.230187	-3.36%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1354	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.228058	-3.28%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0779	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.230785	-3.36%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1044	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.227775	-3.32%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0691	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.226202	-3.37%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0674	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.21808	-3.20%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0065	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.214917	-3.19%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0379	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.209499	-3.10%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1222	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.207588	-3.04%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.1085	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.196394	-2.78%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1661	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.198901	-2.79%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1410	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.201697	-2.70%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1552	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.202676	-2.75%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0960	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.201812	-2.69%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0925	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.19562	-2.53%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.1032	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.203225	-2.53%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0771	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.209477	-2.70%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0145	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.210457	-2.70%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0105	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.214392	-2.68%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0291	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.212634	-2.51%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0104	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.217803	-2.55%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0121	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.214106	-2.59%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0436	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.214786	-2.64%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0388	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.215311	-2.62%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0067	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.215208	-2.66%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0025	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.214217	-2.63%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0108	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.214392	-2.55%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0012	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.207867	-2.36%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0521	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.205151	-2.45%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0265	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.215814	-2.57%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0088	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.214647	-2.52%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0160	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.213511	-2.46%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0381	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.212783	-2.48%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0251	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.21594	-2.55%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0164	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.215982	-2.49%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0378	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.217579	-2.47%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0093	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.210757	-2.38%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0476	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.207862	-2.37%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0486	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.207699	-2.40%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0315	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.202901	-2.40%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0502	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.19846	-2.43%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0796	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.185988	-2.32%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.1126	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.197634	-2.40%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0742	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.197798	-2.42%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0366	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.199833	-2.43%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0241	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.200139	-2.42%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0297	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.207129	-2.48%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0191	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.214565	-2.51%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0408	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.216012	-2.48%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0753	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.215616	-2.44%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0164	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.21239	-2.44%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0003	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.212347	-2.41%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0171	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.209123	-2.42%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0237	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.208334	-2.42%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0586	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.214489	-2.42%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0668	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.220125	-2.43%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0412	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.227473	-2.50%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0017	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.220813	-2.47%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0148	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.216583	-2.48%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0071	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.216518	-2.51%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0095	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.215107	-2.49%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0008	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.20564	-2.22%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0309	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.211332	-2.25%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0192	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.207891	-2.12%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0772	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.208433	-2.01%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0543	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.206851	-1.31%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0283	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.211741	-1.33%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0182	✗	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.222857	-1.95%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0075	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.2319	-2.07%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0707	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.24693	-2.48%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.0850	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.263357	-2.93%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1571	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.267374	-3.02%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1572	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.264015	-2.97%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1489	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.255947	-2.83%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.0970	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.252224	-2.77%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0417	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.26212	-2.95%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0367	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.274907	-3.17%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0286	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.269869	-3.03%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0520	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.276132	-3.15%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0241	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.276081	-3.16%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0056	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.274441	-3.16%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0262	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.273184	-3.06%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0226	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.279749	-3.17%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0127	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.278501	-3.16%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0258	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.276183	-3.09%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0055	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.274948	-3.02%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0392	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.280516	-3.04%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0262	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.294795	-3.16%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0132	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.298177	-2.97%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0313	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.297554	-3.14%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0162	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.300378	-3.01%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0164	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.31245	-2.97%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0568	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.303547	-2.71%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0330	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.299949	-2.90%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0172	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.300305	-2.94%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0218	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.299147	-2.91%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0191	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.307347	-2.71%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0188	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.309467	-2.81%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0037	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.292703	-2.69%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0830	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.290324	-2.77%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0487	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.293004	-2.72%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0399	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.294304	-2.71%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0369	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.288653	-2.71%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0389	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.289174	-2.63%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0481	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.296598	-2.60%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0383	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.297482	-2.40%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0066	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.304834	-2.23%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0198	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.309421	-2.39%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0343	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.30573	-2.29%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0161	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.308044	-2.15%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0233	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.312576	-2.20%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0334	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.308067	-2.39%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0114	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.308526	-2.46%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0231	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.310654	-2.74%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0331	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.316468	-2.66%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0128	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.322443	-2.50%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0328	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.314117	-2.66%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0212	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.308087	-2.57%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0114	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.303294	-2.57%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0232	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.299515	-2.47%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0432	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.292578	-2.77%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0622	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.306122	-2.76%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0390	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.297445	-2.64%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0736	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.291824	-2.69%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0736	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.292457	-2.77%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0478	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.291155	-2.69%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0485	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.290528	-2.93%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0076	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.287708	-2.90%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0295	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.28765	-2.98%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0392	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.277647	-2.85%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0425	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.27981	-2.88%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0259	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.285526	-2.92%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0258	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.271812	-2.72%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0633	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.267608	-2.65%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0925	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.263985	-2.55%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0871	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.272894	-2.61%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0738	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.278414	-2.62%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0204	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.282447	-2.57%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0374	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.287367	-2.46%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0525	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.286061	-2.43%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0022	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.289311	-2.39%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0125	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.27885	-2.33%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0109	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.281784	-2.26%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0188	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.283306	-2.14%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0478	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.292979	-2.18%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0001	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.307914	-2.19%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0447	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.322371	-2.07%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0641	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.328322	-2.02%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0667	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.319208	-2.11%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0660	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.309288	-2.16%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0489	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.316021	-2.22%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.0836	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.30959	-2.18%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0275	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.311661	-2.21%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0006	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.31469	-2.24%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0097	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.313779	-2.31%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0077	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.31352	-2.39%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0248	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.311489	-2.32%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0227	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.312578	-2.29%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0067	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.308196	-2.10%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0300	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.317169	-2.02%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0281	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.322879	-2.36%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0201	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.329495	-2.40%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0214	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.336812	-2.57%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0498	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.346229	-2.61%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.0856	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.338245	-2.61%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.0821	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.346213	-2.61%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1335	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.350333	-2.66%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1313	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.308443	-2.55%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0243	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.290154	-2.34%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.1078	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.287531	-2.27%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.2041	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.297064	-2.31%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1899	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.298076	-2.30%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1769	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.303586	-2.32%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1520	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.313193	-2.37%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.1212	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.321324	-2.42%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0242	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.321572	-2.41%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0299	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.32421	-2.41%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.0837	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.364548	-2.74%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1610	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.360658	-2.74%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1580	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.352672	-2.60%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1352	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.35136	-2.56%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.0838	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.369135	-2.81%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.0986	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.373366	-2.87%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1107	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.38356	-3.02%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1269	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.388741	-3.06%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0427	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.394361	-3.18%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0423	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.353115	-0.87%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0118	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.356339	-2.29%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0978	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.356409	-2.33%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1628	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.349258	-2.25%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2299	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.339649	-1.78%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2491	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.355068	-2.05%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2615	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.380262	-2.52%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2616	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.397617	-2.66%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.2151	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.412279	-2.76%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.1011	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.419581	-2.81%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0405	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.414358	-2.73%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0246	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.416863	-2.72%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0549	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.421963	-2.71%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0108	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.421608	-2.65%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0047	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.426118	-2.65%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0248	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.436831	-2.71%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0271	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.421595	-2.54%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0127	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.442358	-2.61%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0207	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.450841	-2.61%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0463	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.461818	-2.57%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0171	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.467223	-2.56%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0054	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.47778	-2.63%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0050	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.49708	-2.67%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0006	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.447599	-2.38%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0589	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.43604	-2.56%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0222	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.440918	-2.58%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0111	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.442299	-2.58%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0052	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.448649	-2.59%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0061	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.441383	-2.48%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0414	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.447277	-2.49%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0477	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.47214	-2.53%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0540	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.486189	-2.66%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0423	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.477963	-2.75%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0449	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.47317	-2.76%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0378	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.478274	-2.85%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0464	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.469624	-2.81%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0731	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.453912	-2.68%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0487	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.481631	-2.88%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0757	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.463076	-2.72%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0279	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.465239	-2.71%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0010	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.421082	-2.41%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.1023	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.418072	-2.39%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1229	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.421048	-2.38%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.1136	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.432052	-2.41%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0782	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.435094	-2.40%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.1159	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.454041	-2.46%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0695	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.464064	-2.51%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0417	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.482894	-2.64%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1045	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.474466	-2.59%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.0900	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.441831	-2.42%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0507	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.451577	-2.45%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0414	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.444438	-2.36%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0097	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.440058	-2.32%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0228	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.464244	-2.41%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0179	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.465571	-2.36%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0927	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.47027	-2.35%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0685	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.483665	-2.33%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0426	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.502181	-2.45%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0082	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.508002	-2.48%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0364	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.510943	-2.55%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0599	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.520442	-2.61%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0554	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.511903	-2.57%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.0862	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.491875	-2.44%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0355	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.497671	-2.42%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0118	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.506637	-2.44%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0375	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.524435	-2.61%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0285	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.488205	-2.48%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0006	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.527133	-2.64%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0132	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.533433	-2.68%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0098	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.567314	-2.92%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.0930	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.58422	-3.10%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1481	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.597427	-3.31%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.1866	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.602467	-3.59%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.1784	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.58371	-3.38%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1196	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.596593	-3.78%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1581	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.515489	-2.88%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0404	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.443877	-1.75%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1792	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.443918	-1.66%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2276	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.462439	-2.09%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.3066	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.498451	-2.34%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3208	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.490093	-2.18%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2740	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.502268	-2.28%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3372	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.508258	-2.31%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2310	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.509963	-2.21%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0430	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.553828	-2.48%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0152	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.581397	-2.61%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0440	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.604415	-2.73%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0095	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.605966	-2.70%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0322	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.623596	-2.82%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0236	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.622643	-2.80%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0685	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.625866	-2.80%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0374	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.599441	-2.58%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0270	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.626142	-2.76%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0126	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.558465	-2.30%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0836	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.548729	-2.31%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1359	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.593815	-2.62%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1692	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.611116	-2.80%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1716	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.607212	-2.80%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1591	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.612542	-2.82%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1192	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.593207	-2.59%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1831	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.588389	-2.42%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1600	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.670465	-2.83%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0590	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.718203	-3.19%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1023	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.658946	-2.92%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0225	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.662222	-3.03%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0358	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.643936	-2.95%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0061	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.598542	-2.71%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0191	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.615181	-2.74%	0.603	-4.66%	0.0864	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.646859	-2.89%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0133	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.653225	-2.95%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0412	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.606247	-2.64%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0479	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.597157	-2.52%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0671	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.609149	-2.57%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0574	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.637127	-2.68%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0113	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.65746	-2.76%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0287	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.679275	-2.84%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0474	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.685997	-2.89%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0738	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.602028	-2.36%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0833	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.574194	-2.11%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1606	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.665274	-2.41%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1156	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.695463	-2.39%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0979	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.687227	-2.48%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0869	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.71915	-2.29%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0857	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.697723	-2.29%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1141	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.704413	-2.37%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0100	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.715313	-2.39%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0841	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.726799	-2.55%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0772	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.708912	-2.62%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0516	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.668694	-2.64%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0377	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.674768	-2.63%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0463	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.690361	-2.70%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1239	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.676949	-2.58%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1186	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.665905	-2.45%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0844	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.67808	-2.45%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0741	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.717868	-2.65%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0638	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.697778	-2.50%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0468	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.727981	-2.56%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0747	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.764097	-2.59%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0253	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.783417	-2.61%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0278	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.78123	-2.57%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0426	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.792596	-2.51%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0074	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.