ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s5

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0246

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0073

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.304952	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.306002	-0.84%	0.3079	-0.23%	0.0031	✓	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.343706	-1.09%	0.3086	-11.19%	0.1255	✓	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.317225	-0.94%	0.3475	+8.51%	0.0732	✗	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.312939	-0.92%	0.32025	+1.39%	0.0259	✗	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.320862	-0.98%	0.31585	-2.53%	0.0260	✓	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.307006	-0.90%	0.32405	+4.60%	0.0560	✗	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.320941	-0.97%	0.3098	-4.41%	0.0252	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.293203	-0.81%	0.3241	+9.64%	0.0912	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.308234	-0.89%	0.2956	-4.95%	0.0176	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.318397	-0.97%	0.311	-3.27%	0.0452	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.32294	-1.01%	0.3215	-1.46%	0.0254	✗	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.322787	-1.05%	0.32625	+0.02%	0.0013	✓	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.291744	-0.83%	0.3262	+10.88%	0.1059	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.304797	-0.91%	0.2942	-4.36%	0.0489	✓	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.295296	-0.84%	0.3076	+3.29%	0.0663	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.318075	-0.96%	0.2978	-7.27%	0.0314	✓	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.310824	-0.95%	0.32115	+2.34%	0.0358	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.321208	-1.00%	0.3138	-3.28%	0.0122	✓	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.303473	-0.89%	0.32445	+5.96%	0.0411	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.322242	-1.00%	0.3062	-5.93%	0.0546	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.326057	-1.03%	0.3255	-1.20%	0.0034	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.327833	-1.08%	0.32945	-0.59%	0.0144	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.332114	-1.13%	0.3314	-1.34%	0.0009	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.320192	-1.05%	0.3359	+3.80%	0.0451	✗	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.327531	-1.08%	0.3236	-2.27%	0.0034	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.324285	-1.07%	0.3311	+1.01%	0.0201	✗	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.334839	-1.15%	0.3278	-3.23%	0.0262	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.33557	-1.19%	0.33875	-0.25%	0.0139	✗	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.343346	-1.28%	0.3396	-2.36%	0.0111	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.336224	-1.20%	0.3478	+2.20%	0.0621	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.319662	-1.17%	0.3403	+5.21%	0.0686	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.274083	-1.02%	0.32345	+16.81%	0.0901	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.278654	-1.06%	0.2769	-1.69%	0.0053	✓	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.282925	-1.13%	0.28165	-1.57%	0.0096	✓	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.250657	-1.00%	0.28615	+13.01%	0.0713	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.246652	-0.98%	0.2532	+1.65%	0.0234	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.239809	-0.93%	0.2491	+2.91%	0.0302	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.26576	-1.06%	0.24205	-9.88%	0.0602	✓	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.257108	-1.00%	0.2686	+3.43%	0.0262	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.258065	-0.97%	0.2597	-0.35%	0.0123	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.252589	-0.91%	0.2606	+2.24%	0.0305	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.253701	-0.90%	0.2549	-0.43%	0.0040	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.247464	-0.78%	0.256	+2.65%	0.0571	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.250255	-0.77%	0.2494	-1.11%	0.0012	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.220263	-0.56%	0.2522	+13.86%	0.1443	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.262514	-0.79%	0.2215	-16.29%	0.1547	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.25741	-0.73%	0.2646	+2.04%	0.0214	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.252213	-0.63%	0.2593	+2.17%	0.0259	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.262088	-0.50%	0.2538	-3.64%	0.0136	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.25883	-0.66%	0.2634	+1.09%	0.0328	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.250359	-0.49%	0.26055	+3.56%	0.0411	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.25744	-0.37%	0.2516	-2.63%	0.0074	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.246121	-0.32%	0.2584	+4.66%	0.0369	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.250135	-0.23%	0.2469	-1.52%	0.0056	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.255645	-0.26%	0.2507	-2.18%	0.0247	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.258317	-0.11%	0.2563	-0.89%	0.0241	✗	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.262001	-0.19%	0.2586	-1.49%	0.0295	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.261804	-0.23%	0.2625	+0.04%	0.0040	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.26656	-0.28%	0.2624	-1.83%	0.0096	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.265662	-0.39%	0.2673	+0.22%	0.0107	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.269429	-0.54%	0.2667	-1.55%	0.0194	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.266059	-0.54%	0.2709	+1.27%	0.0355	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.240557	-0.96%	0.2675	+10.13%	0.0346	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.213802	-0.79%	0.2429	+12.71%	0.0815	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.199889	-0.75%	0.2155	+7.00%	0.0159	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.201078	-0.75%	0.2014	-0.59%	0.0011	✓	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.203558	-0.75%	0.2026	-1.22%	0.0277	✓	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.201033	-0.72%	0.2051	+1.28%	0.0226	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.205472	-0.74%	0.2025	-2.17%	0.0152	✓	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.207452	-0.74%	0.207	-0.96%	0.0043	✓	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.21423	-0.77%	0.209	-3.20%	0.0249	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.219814	-0.81%	0.2159	-2.57%	0.0163	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.235981	-0.93%	0.2216	-6.97%	0.0577	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.233645	-0.91%	0.2382	+1.02%	0.0323	✗	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.236528	-0.95%	0.2358	-1.26%	0.0023	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.233379	-0.94%	0.2388	+1.36%	0.0227	✗	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.23186	-0.96%	0.2356	+0.64%	0.0074	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.223293	-0.89%	0.2341	+3.91%	0.0519	✗	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.220041	-0.88%	0.2253	+1.49%	0.0160	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.214361	-0.85%	0.222	+2.68%	0.0270	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.212303	-0.84%	0.2162	+0.98%	0.0187	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.200476	-0.75%	0.2141	+5.99%	0.0556	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.203039	-0.76%	0.202	-1.27%	0.0043	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.205701	-0.77%	0.2046	-1.30%	0.0210	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.206785	-0.77%	0.2073	-0.53%	0.0090	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.205822	-0.76%	0.2084	+0.48%	0.0118	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.199272	-0.71%	0.2074	+3.34%	0.0378	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.206949	-0.74%	0.2007	-3.74%	0.0083	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.213629	-0.78%	0.2085	-3.16%	0.0389	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.214621	-0.78%	0.2153	-0.46%	0.0002	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.218554	-0.79%	0.2163	-1.82%	0.0030	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.216415	-0.77%	0.2203	+1.01%	0.0321	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.22171	-0.80%	0.2181	-2.42%	0.0106	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.218067	-0.79%	0.2235	+1.68%	0.0069	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.218846	-0.80%	0.2198	-0.36%	0.0030	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.219336	-0.80%	0.2206	-0.23%	0.0073	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.21933	-0.80%	0.2211	+0.00%	0.0041	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.218258	-0.79%	0.2211	+0.50%	0.0113	✗	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.218265	-0.79%	0.22	+0.00%	0.0208	✗	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.211317	-0.74%	0.22	+3.33%	0.0440	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.208803	-0.71%	0.2129	+1.24%	0.0199	✓	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.21977	-0.78%	0.2103	-5.06%	0.0231	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.218505	-0.77%	0.2215	+0.59%	0.0141	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.217238	-0.76%	0.2202	+0.59%	0.0184	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.216566	-0.75%	0.2189	+0.32%	0.0025	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.219908	-0.76%	0.2182	-1.53%	0.0212	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.219801	-0.77%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0238	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.221352	-0.78%	0.2215	-0.72%	0.0102	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.214306	-0.74%	0.2231	+3.33%	0.0347	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.211373	-0.72%	0.2159	+1.41%	0.0146	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.211282	-0.71%	0.2129	+0.05%	0.0002	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.206507	-0.67%	0.2128	+2.36%	0.0162	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.202154	-0.61%	0.2079	+2.21%	0.0073	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.189449	-0.50%	0.2034	+6.83%	0.0519	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.201339	-0.57%	0.1904	-5.98%	0.0349	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.201596	-0.54%	0.2025	-0.10%	0.0043	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.20368	-0.55%	0.2027	-1.03%	0.0011	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.204012	-0.53%	0.2048	-0.15%	0.0047	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.211241	-0.55%	0.2051	-3.44%	0.0334	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.218783	-0.60%	0.2124	-3.50%	0.0137	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.220114	-0.63%	0.2201	-0.63%	0.0201	✗	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.219593	-0.64%	0.2215	+0.23%	0.0243	✗	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.216397	-0.60%	0.221	+1.52%	0.0125	✗	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.216285	-0.60%	0.2177	+0.05%	0.0185	✗	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.213089	-0.57%	0.2176	+1.54%	0.0120	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.212349	-0.54%	0.2143	+0.37%	0.0020	✓	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.218518	-0.58%	0.2135	-2.87%	0.0050	✓	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.224189	-0.63%	0.2198	-2.57%	0.0062	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.23172	-0.68%	0.2256	-3.30%	0.0191	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.224958	-0.64%	0.2333	+3.05%	0.0299	✗	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.220775	-0.60%	0.2264	+1.94%	0.0103	✗	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.220819	-0.58%	0.2221	+0.00%	0.0050	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.219364	-0.56%	0.2221	+0.68%	0.0127	✗	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.209391	-0.43%	0.2206	+4.90%	0.0268	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.215235	-0.45%	0.2103	-2.73%	0.0203	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.211517	-0.42%	0.2162	+1.79%	0.0388	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.211887	-0.38%	0.2124	-0.14%	0.0053	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.209111	-0.23%	0.2127	+1.48%	0.0126	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.214122	-0.22%	0.2096	-2.33%	0.0192	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.226494	-0.35%	0.2146	-5.59%	0.0226	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.235885	-0.39%	0.2273	-4.01%	0.0347	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.25184	-0.54%	0.2368	-6.48%	0.0368	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.269327	-0.73%	0.2532	-6.67%	0.0299	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.273573	-0.77%	0.2713	-1.60%	0.0065	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.270056	-0.75%	0.2757	+1.32%	0.0218	✗	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.261572	-0.69%	0.2721	+3.30%	0.0371	✗	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.257675	-0.67%	0.2634	+1.54%	0.0228	✗	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.268169	-0.71%	0.2594	-3.96%	0.0285	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.281681	-0.78%	0.2701	-4.86%	0.0336	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.276188	-0.76%	0.2839	+2.01%	0.0384	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.282857	-0.79%	0.2783	-2.39%	0.0182	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.282858	-0.79%	0.2851	+0.00%	0.0057	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.281205	-0.77%	0.2851	+0.60%	0.0053	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.279647	-0.76%	0.2834	+0.57%	0.0284	✗	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.286621	-0.79%	0.2818	-2.46%	0.0175	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.285354	-0.78%	0.2889	+0.45%	0.0075	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.282828	-0.76%	0.2876	+0.91%	0.0180	✗	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.281389	-0.74%	0.285	+0.53%	0.0160	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.287117	-0.75%	0.2835	-2.00%	0.0079	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.301968	-0.80%	0.2893	-4.96%	0.0361	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.304874	-0.79%	0.3044	-0.94%	0.0127	✗	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.304737	-0.80%	0.3073	+0.03%	0.0045	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.307234	-0.80%	0.3072	-0.81%	0.0085	✗	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.319342	-0.83%	0.3097	-3.82%	0.0217	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.309564	-0.78%	0.322	+3.21%	0.0428	✗	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.30645	-0.79%	0.312	+1.00%	0.0068	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.306926	-0.80%	0.3089	-0.16%	0.0030	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.30565	-0.80%	0.3094	+0.42%	0.0109	✗	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.313385	-0.80%	0.3081	-2.47%	0.0042	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.315791	-0.82%	0.3159	-0.79%	0.0033	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.298467	-0.78%	0.3184	+5.85%	0.0576	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.296273	-0.78%	0.3008	+0.74%	0.0068	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.29884	-0.78%	0.2986	-0.86%	0.0000	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.300113	-0.79%	0.3012	-0.43%	0.0006	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.294389	-0.78%	0.3025	+1.95%	0.0133	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.294707	-0.77%	0.2967	-0.10%	0.0027	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.302112	-0.78%	0.297	-2.46%	0.0129	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.302465	-0.77%	0.3045	-0.10%	0.0143	✗	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.309419	-0.76%	0.3048	-2.25%	0.0057	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.314477	-0.80%	0.3118	-1.64%	0.0159	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.310465	-0.78%	0.317	+1.31%	0.0195	✗	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.312388	-0.77%	0.3129	-0.60%	0.0075	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.317101	-0.78%	0.3148	-1.50%	0.0078	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.31308	-0.80%	0.3196	+1.27%	0.0072	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.313744	-0.81%	0.3156	-0.22%	0.0023	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.31669	-0.85%	0.3163	-0.97%	0.0170	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.322342	-0.85%	0.3194	-1.75%	0.0056	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.327914	-0.84%	0.3251	-1.69%	0.0017	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.319984	-0.84%	0.3307	+2.48%	0.0183	✗	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.313613	-0.82%	0.3227	+2.06%	0.0261	✗	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.308781	-0.81%	0.3162	+1.57%	0.0187	✗	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.304667	-0.79%	0.3113	+1.37%	0.0237	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.298516	-0.79%	0.3071	+2.06%	0.0023	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.31215	-0.84%	0.3009	-4.42%	0.0175	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.303031	-0.81%	0.3148	+3.04%	0.0374	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.297505	-0.80%	0.3055	+1.87%	0.0168	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.29836	-0.81%	0.2999	-0.30%	0.0007	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.296786	-0.81%	0.3008	+0.53%	0.0202	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.296823	-0.83%	0.2992	-0.03%	0.0186	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.293873	-0.82%	0.2993	+1.01%	0.0196	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.294053	-0.83%	0.2963	-0.07%	0.0079	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.2836	-0.77%	0.2965	+3.74%	0.0414	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.285855	-0.78%	0.2858	-0.80%	0.0008	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.291706	-0.81%	0.2881	-2.04%	0.0013	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.277317	-0.75%	0.2941	+5.26%	0.0598	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.272967	-0.70%	0.2794	+1.64%	0.0096	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.269121	-0.66%	0.2749	+1.48%	0.0139	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.27828	-0.69%	0.2709	-3.32%	0.0234	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.283914	-0.69%	0.2802	-1.99%	0.0129	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.287813	-0.72%	0.2859	-1.38%	0.0161	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.292422	-0.74%	0.2899	-1.60%	0.0145	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.291073	-0.73%	0.2946	+0.48%	0.0051	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.294237	-0.73%	0.2932	-1.08%	0.0004	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.283652	-0.65%	0.2964	+3.82%	0.0161	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.286428	-0.65%	0.2855	-0.97%	0.0067	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.287622	-0.65%	0.2883	-0.41%	0.0169	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.297529	-0.66%	0.2895	-3.34%	0.0327	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.31258	-0.71%	0.2995	-4.86%	0.0303	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.326737	-0.75%	0.3148	-4.37%	0.0130	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.332528	-0.77%	0.3292	-1.76%	0.0018	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.323705	-0.73%	0.3351	+2.76%	0.0167	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.313903	-0.70%	0.3261	+3.16%	0.0238	✗	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.320899	-0.71%	0.3161	-2.20%	0.0177	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.314344	-0.68%	0.3232	+2.12%	0.0240	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.316534	-0.68%	0.3165	-0.69%	0.0031	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.319703	-0.68%	0.3187	-0.99%	0.0054	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.319095	-0.66%	0.3219	+0.22%	0.0055	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.319254	-0.61%	0.3212	+0.00%	0.0177	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.316977	-0.60%	0.3212	+0.72%	0.0258	✗	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.317965	-0.60%	0.3189	-0.31%	0.0111	✗	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.312866	-0.61%	0.3199	+1.62%	0.0493	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.321596	-0.65%	0.3148	-2.75%	0.0046	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.328661	-0.62%	0.3237	-2.12%	0.0599	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.335435	-0.64%	0.3307	-2.04%	0.0091	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.343546	-0.62%	0.3376	-2.34%	0.0524	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.353087	-0.68%	0.3457	-2.76%	0.0069	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.345095	-0.63%	0.3555	+2.36%	0.0166	✗	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.353024	-0.70%	0.3473	-2.31%	0.0028	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.357246	-0.74%	0.3555	-1.22%	0.0009	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.314821	-0.53%	0.3599	+13.71%	0.0920	✗	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.295733	-0.46%	0.3165	+6.53%	0.0739	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.292794	-0.48%	0.2971	+0.99%	0.0470	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.302598	-0.49%	0.2942	-3.26%	0.0246	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.303638	-0.48%	0.3041	-0.33%	0.0018	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.309375	-0.46%	0.3051	-1.83%	0.0253	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.319332	-0.46%	0.3108	-3.12%	0.0334	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.327721	-0.48%	0.3208	-2.58%	0.0094	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.327903	-0.48%	0.3293	-0.06%	0.0201	✗	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.33063	-0.47%	0.3295	-0.81%	0.0042	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.372496	-0.61%	0.3322	-11.37%	0.1035	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.368658	-0.58%	0.3748	+1.08%	0.0058	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.360356	-0.48%	0.3708	+2.40%	0.0009	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.358909	-0.47%	0.3621	+0.42%	0.0186	✗	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.377676	-0.56%	0.3606	-5.06%	0.0255	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.382117	-0.59%	0.3798	-1.20%	0.0088	✗	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.392972	-0.64%	0.3844	-2.81%	0.0201	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.398456	-0.63%	0.3955	-1.37%	0.0191	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.404479	-0.69%	0.401	-1.55%	0.0057	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.355566	-0.18%	0.4073	+14.35%	0.0550	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.363061	-0.45%	0.3562	-2.33%	0.1324	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.363137	-0.48%	0.3647	-0.05%	0.0417	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.355575	-0.48%	0.3649	+2.13%	0.0712	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.344703	-0.32%	0.3573	+3.33%	0.0114	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.360998	-0.41%	0.3458	-4.61%	0.0183	✓	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.387644	-0.63%	0.3625	-7.08%	0.0065	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.405709	-0.68%	0.3901	-4.50%	0.0340	✓	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.420784	-0.76%	0.4085	-3.66%	0.0303	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.428347	-0.78%	0.424	-1.78%	0.0108	✓	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.422814	-0.75%	0.4317	+1.34%	0.0103	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.425362	-0.73%	0.426	-0.58%	0.0200	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.430439	-0.75%	0.4285	-1.20%	0.0280	✗	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.429894	-0.74%	0.4337	+0.14%	0.0140	✗	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.434458	-0.74%	0.4331	-1.05%	0.0033	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.445579	-0.76%	0.4377	-2.52%	0.0192	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.42961	-0.69%	0.449	+3.79%	0.0298	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.450792	-0.75%	0.4326	-4.76%	0.0164	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.45937	-0.76%	0.4542	-1.88%	0.0030	✓	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.470304	-0.78%	0.4629	-2.34%	0.0032	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.475708	-0.79%	0.474	-1.15%	0.0016	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.486659	-0.82%	0.4795	-2.28%	0.0137	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.506207	-0.88%	0.4907	-3.92%	0.0135	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.454987	-0.77%	0.5107	+11.38%	0.0958	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.444164	-0.75%	0.4585	+2.46%	0.0244	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.449206	-0.75%	0.4475	-1.13%	0.0082	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.450623	-0.74%	0.4526	-0.31%	0.0025	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.457137	-0.75%	0.454	-1.43%	0.0048	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.449331	-0.72%	0.4606	+1.77%	0.0322	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.455361	-0.73%	0.4526	-1.33%	0.0022	✓	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.480612	-0.78%	0.4587	-5.31%	0.0096	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.495375	-0.83%	0.4844	-3.02%	0.0202	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.48747	-0.82%	0.4995	+1.63%	0.0119	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.482646	-0.81%	0.4915	+1.01%	0.0042	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.48818	-0.84%	0.4866	-1.16%	0.0133	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.479272	-0.81%	0.4923	+1.88%	0.0074	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.46287	-0.76%	0.4832	+3.60%	0.0233	✗	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.491664	-0.85%	0.4664	-5.95%	0.0385	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.472251	-0.79%	0.4959	+4.18%	0.0285	✗	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.474359	-0.80%	0.476	-0.46%	0.0156	✗	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.428616	-0.67%	0.4782	+10.82%	0.1084	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.425545	-0.64%	0.4315	+0.75%	0.0060	✓	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.428569	-0.63%	0.4283	-0.70%	0.0026	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.43982	-0.65%	0.4313	-2.58%	0.0128	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.442934	-0.64%	0.4427	-0.70%	0.0033	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.462293	-0.69%	0.4458	-4.23%	0.0190	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.472621	-0.71%	0.4655	-2.21%	0.0139	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.492218	-0.76%	0.476	-4.03%	0.0384	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.483522	-0.73%	0.496	+1.83%	0.0219	✗	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.450079	-0.60%	0.4871	+7.58%	0.0384	✗	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.460029	-0.62%	0.4528	-2.18%	0.0041	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.45244	-0.61%	0.4629	+1.69%	0.0486	✗	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.448004	-0.55%	0.4552	+1.04%	0.0066	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.472763	-0.62%	0.4505	-5.30%	0.0212	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.473805	-0.63%	0.4757	-0.23%	0.0357	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.4786	-0.62%	0.4768	-1.00%	0.0034	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.491936	-0.66%	0.4816	-2.75%	0.0125	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.511241	-0.69%	0.4952	-3.81%	0.0394	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.517222	-0.71%	0.5148	-1.17%	0.0050	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.520663	-0.69%	0.5209	-0.65%	0.0302	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.530598	-0.71%	0.5243	-1.89%	0.0158	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.521888	-0.67%	0.5344	+1.71%	0.0063	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.501148	-0.61%	0.5254	+4.20%	0.0485	✗	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.506745	-0.64%	0.5042	-1.14%	0.0375	✗	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.515853	-0.66%	0.51	-1.79%	0.0092	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.534857	-0.68%	0.5193	-3.57%	0.0631	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.498092	-0.50%	0.5385	+7.57%	0.0044	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.537951	-0.64%	0.5006	-7.54%	0.0050	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.544528	-0.65%	0.5414	-1.22%	0.0015	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.580024	-0.75%	0.5481	-6.21%	0.0554	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.597947	-0.82%	0.5844	-3.07%	0.0164	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.612421	-0.89%	0.6029	-2.43%	0.0290	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.619246	-0.90%	0.6179	-1.12%	0.0546	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.598832	-0.87%	0.6249	+3.44%	0.0586	✗	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.614052	-0.96%	0.6041	-2.56%	0.0416	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.527634	-0.60%	0.62	+16.80%	0.1253	✗	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.450405	-0.31%	0.5308	+17.49%	0.1708	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.450118	-0.28%	0.4518	+0.09%	0.0287	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.470357	-0.41%	0.4514	-4.43%	0.0440	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.507747	-0.52%	0.4723	-7.46%	0.0483	✓	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.498755	-0.45%	0.5104	+1.88%	0.0097	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.511441	-0.50%	0.501	-2.53%	0.0141	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.517672	-0.51%	0.514	-1.21%	0.0152	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.519255	-0.43%	0.5203	-0.23%	0.0151	✓	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.56443	-0.61%	0.5215	-8.17%	0.0031	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.592899	-0.69%	0.5679	-4.87%	0.0118	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.616742	-0.75%	0.597	-3.93%	0.0118	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.618022	-0.77%	0.6214	-0.22%	0.0505	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.6365	-0.81%	0.6228	-2.95%	0.0413	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.635515	-0.79%	0.6417	+0.17%	0.0282	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.63868	-0.81%	0.6406	-0.51%	0.0189	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.610973	-0.70%	0.6439	+4.65%	0.0209	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.638691	-0.81%	0.6153	-4.44%	0.0033	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.568346	-0.57%	0.6439	+12.65%	0.0889	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.558299	-0.61%	0.5716	+1.76%	0.1065	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.605317	-0.74%	0.5617	-7.89%	0.0129	✓	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.623898	-0.76%	0.6098	-3.01%	0.0303	✓	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.619987	-0.75%	0.6287	+0.64%	0.0062	✓	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.625369	-0.78%	0.6247	-0.89%	0.0207	✓	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.604709	-0.70%	0.6303	+3.50%	0.0692	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.598983	-0.67%	0.609	+1.00%	0.0622	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.684277	-0.83%	0.603	-12.61%	0.1085	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.734643	-0.98%	0.69	-7.00%	0.0558	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.673071	-0.84%	0.7419	+9.30%	0.0545	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.676956	-0.87%	0.6788	-0.60%	0.0066	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.658017	-0.83%	0.6829	+2.92%	0.0232	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.610916	-0.70%	0.6635	+7.85%	0.0450	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.627935	-0.72%	0.6152	-2.74%	0.0089	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.66071	-0.81%	0.6325	-5.04%	0.0106	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.667552	-0.82%	0.6661	-1.04%	0.0304	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.618464	-0.68%	0.6731	+8.09%	0.0629	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.608756	-0.63%	0.6227	+1.65%	0.0115	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.62109	-0.66%	0.6126	-2.02%	0.0121	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.649974	-0.72%	0.6252	-4.51%	0.0014	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.67087	-0.77%	0.6547	-3.17%	0.0077	✓	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.693315	-0.83%	0.6761	-3.29%	0.0059	✓	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.700408	-0.85%	0.6991	-1.03%	0.0048	✓	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.612774	-0.62%	0.7064	+14.56%	0.0845	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.583494	-0.53%	0.6166	+5.11%	0.0872	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.676743	-0.73%	0.5866	-13.95%	0.0306	✓	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.707124	-0.75%	0.6817	-4.32%	0.0170	✓	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.699419	-0.75%	0.7125	+1.11%	0.0046	✓	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.730345	-0.77%	0.7047	-4.25%	0.0034	✓	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.708715	-0.75%	0.736	+3.07%	0.0239	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.715949	-0.77%	0.7141	-1.03%	0.0149	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.727018	-0.79%	0.7215	-1.54%	0.0093	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.739641	-0.83%	0.7328	-1.74%	0.0297	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.721993	-0.83%	0.7458	+2.45%	0.0085	✗	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.681469	-0.78%	0.728	+6.00%	0.0089	✗	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.68756	-0.79%	0.6868	-0.89%	0.0029	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.70384	-0.80%	0.693	-2.33%	0.0469	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.689817	-0.73%	0.7095	+2.10%	0.0094	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.678047	-0.67%	0.6949	+1.80%	0.0248	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.690465	-0.67%	0.6826	-1.80%	0.0216	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.731559	-0.79%	0.6951	-5.74%	0.0148	✗	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.710582	-0.72%	0.7374	+3.03%	0.0169	✗	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.741461	-0.75%	0.7157	-4.20%	0.0240	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.778045	-0.81%	0.7471	-4.76%	0.0004	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.797692	-0.83%	0.7844	-2.49%	0.0098	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.79517	-0.83%	0.8044	+0.32%	0.0106	✗	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.8062	-0.84%	0.8018	-1.38%	0.0158	✗	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.