ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s5

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0951

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0547

actual -0.0221

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.283647	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.287388	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.317234	-8.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.294821	-7.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.291241	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.297074	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.285486	-7.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.29779	-8.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.274086	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.288167	-7.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.296168	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.301039	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.30007	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.27306	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.283784	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.276014	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.297231	-7.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.291376	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.300253	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.283525	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.299009	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.302189	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.302974	-8.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.306388	-8.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.296174	-8.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.302551	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.29961	-8.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.30834	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.30929	-8.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.315691	-9.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.311636	-8.42%	0.3079	-9.52%	0.0187	✓	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.298326	-7.77%	0.3086	-4.59%	0.0734	✓	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.25584	-7.61%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2810	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.259587	-7.83%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.2014	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.262701	-8.19%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1682	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.233212	-7.89%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2612	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.229859	-7.72%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.2264	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.223881	-7.51%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2821	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.24719	-7.97%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.1369	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.239369	-7.83%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1839	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.240674	-7.65%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.2336	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.23649	-7.22%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.2418	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.237428	-7.25%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.2383	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.233342	-6.44%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1772	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.235579	-6.59%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.2246	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.208892	-5.69%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2983	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.245896	-7.07%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.2060	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.242141	-6.62%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1899	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.238948	-5.85%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.2281	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.251228	-4.62%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1586	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.245703	-5.70%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1916	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.24036	-4.47%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.2218	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.249285	-3.53%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.2206	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.238671	-3.33%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2656	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.244813	-2.35%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.2136	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.250635	-2.21%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1957	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.258716	+0.04%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1846	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.262117	-0.15%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1915	✗	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.2633	+0.34%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1786	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.270025	+1.02%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1826	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.268852	+0.81%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.1268	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.270759	-0.05%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0546	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.271301	+1.42%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0175	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.232565	-4.25%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0828	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.204336	-5.18%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.2003	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.189935	-5.69%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1450	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.190945	-5.75%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.1228	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.192727	-6.03%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0630	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.190499	-5.93%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1515	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.194439	-6.07%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.1116	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.19632	-6.07%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.1039	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.202262	-6.32%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0541	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.207106	-6.54%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0472	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.220685	-7.35%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0550	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.219234	-7.03%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0303	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.221629	-7.19%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.1768	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.219016	-7.04%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0001	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.217362	-7.15%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0154	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.210321	-6.65%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0014	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.207358	-6.60%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0274	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.202314	-6.42%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0797	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.200532	-6.34%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0483	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.190028	-5.93%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.1108	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.19233	-6.00%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0641	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.195302	-5.79%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0813	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.196036	-5.93%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0915	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.19525	-5.86%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0767	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.189439	-5.61%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1341	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.196821	-5.60%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.1267	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.202524	-5.93%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0914	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.20341	-5.96%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0986	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.20723	-5.93%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.1167	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.205803	-5.64%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.1086	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.210712	-5.72%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0583	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.207115	-5.77%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0146	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.207628	-5.88%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0304	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.20816	-5.85%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0228	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.207917	-5.96%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0008	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.207058	-5.88%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0120	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.207443	-5.71%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0217	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.201538	-5.34%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0578	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.198912	-5.42%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0652	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.208807	-5.73%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0624	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.207881	-5.59%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.1343	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.206998	-5.44%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.1205	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.206386	-5.41%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.1220	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.209281	-5.56%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0810	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.209544	-5.40%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0975	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.211094	-5.38%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0567	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.20507	-5.02%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0731	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.202643	-4.82%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0597	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.202633	-4.78%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0422	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.198474	-4.53%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0005	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.194641	-4.31%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0114	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.183153	-3.81%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0445	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.194179	-4.11%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0250	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.194522	-4.03%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0099	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.196504	-4.05%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0255	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.19696	-3.97%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0087	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.203629	-4.13%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0018	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.2105	-4.36%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0100	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.211791	-4.38%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0112	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.211318	-4.38%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0066	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.208653	-4.16%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0305	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.208664	-4.11%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0402	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.205922	-3.91%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0544	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.205399	-3.79%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0509	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.211154	-3.93%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0524	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.216316	-4.12%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0384	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.223073	-4.38%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0043	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.217035	-4.14%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0109	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.213232	-3.99%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0121	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.2133	-3.96%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0353	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.211944	-3.92%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0357	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.202457	-3.73%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0461	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.207795	-3.89%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0310	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.204391	-3.77%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0909	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.204616	-3.80%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0790	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.201957	-3.65%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0618	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.206768	-3.65%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0131	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.218229	-3.99%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0167	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.226929	-4.17%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0486	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.240898	-4.86%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.0973	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.255567	-5.80%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1466	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.25939	-5.92%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2004	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.256329	-5.80%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1489	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.248881	-5.51%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1149	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.24534	-5.42%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.0907	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.254759	-5.68%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1235	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.267128	-5.91%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1298	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.262795	-5.57%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0390	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.268615	-5.78%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.0761	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.268393	-5.86%	0.221	-22.48%	0.0990	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.266415	-5.99%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1082	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.265748	-5.70%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.0969	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.271838	-5.91%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1306	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.270373	-5.99%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1300	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.268128	-5.92%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1031	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.267044	-5.80%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.0803	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.272449	-5.82%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.0678	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.286171	-5.99%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1308	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.289748	-5.71%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1357	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.288824	-5.98%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1354	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.29173	-5.80%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1446	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.303214	-5.83%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.1997	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.294975	-5.46%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1417	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.291345	-5.68%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.1709	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.291564	-5.76%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.1772	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.290471	-5.72%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.1663	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.298454	-5.52%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1217	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.300239	-5.70%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1469	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.284334	-5.47%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.0647	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.28184	-5.61%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0226	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.284257	-5.63%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0045	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.28525	-5.70%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0015	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.279367	-5.84%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0076	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.279575	-5.87%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0418	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.286545	-5.90%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.0786	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.287528	-5.67%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0400	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.294602	-5.52%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0164	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.29845	-5.85%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.0670	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.294958	-5.73%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0305	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.297313	-5.55%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0302	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.301481	-5.67%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0418	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.29671	-5.99%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.0602	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.296937	-6.12%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0392	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.298154	-6.65%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.0586	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.304299	-6.40%	0.285	-12.33%	0.0747	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.310561	-6.09%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.0935	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.302799	-6.17%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.0677	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.297547	-5.90%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0087	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.2931	-5.85%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0039	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.289768	-5.64%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0208	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.282645	-6.07%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0138	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.295747	-6.05%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0187	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.287927	-5.75%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0100	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.28259	-5.77%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0205	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.283101	-5.88%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0178	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.282212	-5.68%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0247	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.280922	-6.14%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0145	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.278462	-6.02%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0366	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.278001	-6.24%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0269	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.268996	-5.88%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0062	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.271003	-5.93%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0060	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.276439	-6.01%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0048	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.263903	-5.55%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0476	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.259827	-5.48%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0548	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.25645	-5.33%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0800	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.264798	-5.50%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0440	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.269969	-5.57%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0363	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.274003	-5.48%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0683	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.278925	-5.32%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0618	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.27768	-5.29%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0586	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.280756	-5.28%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0664	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.27091	-5.11%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0773	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.273711	-5.06%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0833	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.275193	-4.94%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.1195	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.284395	-5.04%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0822	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.298337	-5.23%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0508	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.311926	-5.25%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0232	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.317625	-5.21%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0041	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.309766	-5.01%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0069	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.300785	-4.84%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0077	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.307289	-4.92%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0193	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.301615	-4.70%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0200	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.3038	-4.68%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0195	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.306848	-4.68%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0395	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.306465	-4.59%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0431	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.306891	-4.45%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.0813	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.305086	-4.33%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0344	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.30626	-4.26%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0416	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.30187	-4.11%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0173	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.310246	-4.16%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0270	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.316749	-4.22%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.0794	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.322988	-4.33%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.0863	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.330405	-4.42%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.1958	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.338867	-4.68%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2065	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.332017	-4.40%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2046	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.339113	-4.61%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.1771	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.342769	-4.76%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1623	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.304322	-3.85%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.0984	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.286443	-3.59%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0400	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.284058	-3.45%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0015	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.293455	-3.50%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0197	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.294418	-3.50%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0292	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.299706	-3.57%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0605	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.309023	-3.67%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1107	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.317073	-3.71%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.0842	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.317342	-3.69%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0345	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.319891	-3.71%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0274	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.358092	-4.46%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1203	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.354472	-4.40%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1268	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.346596	-4.28%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1481	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.345273	-4.25%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1112	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.362141	-4.65%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1544	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.365818	-4.83%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1391	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.374955	-5.19%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1490	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.379447	-5.37%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1573	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.383828	-5.76%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1258	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.342053	-3.97%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1179	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.347969	-4.59%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0144	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.347681	-4.72%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0313	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.340374	-4.74%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0417	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.330926	-4.30%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1263	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.345548	-4.68%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.1232	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.368743	-5.47%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.2049	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.384745	-5.82%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1755	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.399003	-5.90%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.2001	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.405654	-6.03%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1739	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.400484	-5.99%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1735	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.402328	-6.11%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0954	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.407554	-6.03%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0473	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.407276	-5.96%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0052	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.41145	-6.00%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0216	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.42124	-6.18%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0019	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.406952	-5.93%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0653	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.427413	-5.90%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.1196	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.43576	-5.86%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.1254	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.446492	-5.80%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0904	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.451774	-5.78%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.1014	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.461736	-5.90%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1841	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.479828	-6.05%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1675	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.433829	-5.38%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2599	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.42217	-5.66%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.2265	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.426719	-5.72%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.2324	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.427993	-5.73%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.2112	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.433998	-5.78%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2495	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.427472	-5.55%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2969	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.433185	-5.56%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.3014	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.456998	-5.66%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.3132	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.470133	-5.88%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0981	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.462058	-5.99%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0332	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.457595	-5.96%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0464	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.462123	-6.13%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.0668	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.454158	-6.01%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0539	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.440022	-5.66%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.0652	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.465125	-6.21%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.0673	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.448572	-5.76%	0.424	-10.92%	0.0886	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.450596	-5.77%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.0623	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.41045	-4.88%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0304	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.407793	-4.79%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0609	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.410816	-4.75%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0249	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.421265	-4.84%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0006	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.424315	-4.82%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0000	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.442063	-5.03%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0033	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.451494	-5.15%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0377	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.468724	-5.50%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.0955	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.461369	-5.28%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.0800	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.431906	-4.61%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0505	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.441099	-4.71%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0536	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.434343	-4.58%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0071	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.430577	-4.42%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0135	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.453361	-4.70%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.0946	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.454584	-4.66%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0297	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.459399	-4.61%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0238	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.472056	-4.67%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0067	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.489357	-4.94%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0377	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.494937	-4.98%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0646	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.498062	-5.00%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.0918	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.507024	-5.12%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.0954	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.499703	-4.89%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.0698	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.481637	-4.47%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0126	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.486855	-4.54%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0225	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.495284	-4.62%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0476	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.512431	-4.84%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0174	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.480336	-4.05%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0498	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.515822	-4.72%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0074	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.521686	-4.82%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0315	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.55211	-5.53%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.0949	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.566671	-6.01%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2160	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.577608	-6.52%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2480	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.582568	-6.77%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.2980	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.565959	-6.31%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2345	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.578099	-6.76%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.2707	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.506111	-4.65%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1486	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.435089	-3.70%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0305	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.434896	-3.66%	0.496	+9.88%	0.1016	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.453947	-3.89%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1282	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.48832	-4.33%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0521	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.479847	-4.22%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0648	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.491014	-4.47%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0323	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.49708	-4.46%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0577	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.500374	-4.05%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0577	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.539563	-4.99%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0304	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.564585	-5.43%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0251	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.585309	-5.81%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0014	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.587025	-5.74%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0922	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.60238	-6.13%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0500	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.601147	-6.16%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0599	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.603929	-6.21%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0951	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.580924	-5.59%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.1044	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.603711	-6.24%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0631	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.543743	-4.87%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0847	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.533742	-4.98%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1950	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.575469	-5.63%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2563	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.59286	-5.70%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2447	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.591293	-5.35%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2398	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.59833	-5.07%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.2138	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.578778	-4.96%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3448	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.57258	-5.04%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.4270	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.647636	-6.14%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3540	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.688877	-7.15%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3696	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.635684	-6.35%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3448	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.638173	-6.55%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3819	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.622929	-6.11%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2769	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.582854	-5.26%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.1252	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.596748	-5.65%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0842	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.625356	-6.12%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0299	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.630151	-6.38%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0455	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.587614	-5.63%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0835	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.579025	-5.48%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0760	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.590019	-5.63%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0731	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.616478	-5.84%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0830	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.635037	-6.07%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0890	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.65493	-6.32%	0.597	-14.60%	0.1097	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.660488	-6.50%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.1188	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.58106	-5.76%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1364	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.553978	-5.56%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2699	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.644125	-5.51%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2571	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.673289	-5.50%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.2174	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.665177	-5.61%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1852	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.696528	-5.36%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1861	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.675911	-5.35%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.1147	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.682136	-5.46%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0042	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.692511	-5.50%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0186	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.702608	-5.79%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0228	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.684792	-5.94%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0250	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.643652	-6.28%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0541	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.649021	-6.35%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0043	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.662927	-6.56%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1051	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.648234	-6.72%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0027	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.636824	-6.71%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0812	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.648122	-6.76%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0063	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.686628	-6.89%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0295	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.667505	-6.73%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0232	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.69777	-6.60%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0431	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.732601	-6.60%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0355	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.750145	-6.74%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0405	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.747915	-6.72%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0031	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.75929	-6.61%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0452	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.