DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

132

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

53.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1629

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0313

actual +0.0596

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.389568	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.390156	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.387655	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.388277	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.373271	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.391941	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.377405	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.398458	-3.12%	0.40159	-2.35%	0.0271	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.403217	-3.16%	0.402115	-3.43%	0.0440	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.435014	-3.51%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0843	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.425629	-3.44%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0667	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.478048	-3.68%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1930	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.518815	-3.68%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.2227	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.494458	-4.13%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.2241	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.421059	-3.59%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0318	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.363648	-2.65%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.1701	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.393272	-3.51%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.1838	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.396969	-3.67%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.1826	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.400708	-3.90%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2683	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.37091	-3.54%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4083	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.382348	-3.55%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3372	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.380888	-3.62%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.1978	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.375815	-3.60%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0007	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.368014	-3.58%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0663	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.356376	-3.56%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.1036	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.416908	-4.21%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0330	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.396008	-4.10%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0348	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.425841	-4.14%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0781	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.435256	-4.05%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.1039	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.465065	-4.32%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.1635	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.41911	-3.94%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0515	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.389101	-3.76%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0008	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.376594	-3.81%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.0831	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.424575	-4.91%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0859	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.283284	-4.03%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.3903	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.243657	-4.48%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.4767	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.230536	-5.74%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.5976	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.134557	-1.82%	0.436315	+218.36%	0.9978	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.13779	-2.27%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.9354	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.140049	-2.45%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9507	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.145773	-2.77%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0496	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.144399	-2.76%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6512	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.143619	-2.77%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5778	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.14936	-3.07%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.5308	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.158384	-3.38%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.0942	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.152378	-3.25%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.0615	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.159646	-3.33%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0434	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.165566	-3.87%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0540	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.144891	-3.17%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0705	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.152911	-3.56%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0510	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.139227	-3.12%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0825	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.138411	-3.10%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.1489	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.148859	-3.18%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0480	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.151443	-3.12%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0439	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.166526	-3.13%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0118	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.164048	-3.18%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.1172	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.170745	-3.26%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.0871	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.161478	-3.26%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.0933	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.143767	-2.89%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0086	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.158153	-3.46%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0227	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.127634	-2.64%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.2035	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.11078	-2.26%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.4254	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.115564	-2.79%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3883	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.096098	-2.41%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5453	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.096132	-2.59%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4565	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.091136	-2.50%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3452	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.093196	-2.68%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.4166	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.098636	-4.71%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.1072	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.090923	-2.21%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0521	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.090777	-2.12%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0871	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.092841	-2.25%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0583	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.096254	-2.42%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0493	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.095409	-2.28%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0355	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.091519	-1.98%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0379	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.094627	-2.52%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1158	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.09468	-2.75%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0063	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.094131	-2.84%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0100	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.094851	-3.02%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0124	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.097646	-3.20%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0257	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.09851	-3.11%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0021	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.094585	-2.65%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0188	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.097042	-2.67%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0172	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.102877	-2.72%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0844	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.112365	-3.70%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1766	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.093587	-1.04%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0521	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.095887	-0.82%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0379	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.102003	-1.12%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0070	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.104595	-1.17%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0695	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.112421	-1.88%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0880	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.111648	-1.78%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0268	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.112905	-1.80%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0556	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.116392	-2.29%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.2019	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.118424	-2.61%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1651	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.116784	-2.63%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0781	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.120028	-2.98%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.0980	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.119341	-3.03%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0528	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.122195	-3.10%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0630	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.125801	-3.17%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.0936	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.131021	-3.15%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1201	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.14054	-3.64%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1701	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.147491	-4.97%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2347	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.113183	-3.18%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0566	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.119222	-3.33%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0222	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.119817	-3.39%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0407	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.113513	-3.57%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1374	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.110428	-3.45%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.1969	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.105281	-3.46%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.3016	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.106743	-3.43%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3584	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.109694	-3.48%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0801	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.108271	-3.48%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1287	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.103956	-3.45%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1701	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.106244	-3.69%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.0870	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.107692	-3.94%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0422	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.101845	-5.10%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0447	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.106727	-6.06%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0282	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.100635	-4.77%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0651	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.097307	-4.29%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.0823	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.085325	-2.28%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1862	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.081427	-1.85%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2625	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.081666	-1.66%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2874	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.081512	-1.53%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2920	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.084733	-1.66%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3613	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.085836	-1.65%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2690	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.08921	-1.75%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.1921	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.096355	-2.21%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0294	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.093168	-2.06%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0598	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.092176	-2.01%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0526	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.095745	-2.22%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.0903	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.098174	-2.25%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0842	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.099556	-2.40%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.0959	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.098352	-2.50%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0416	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.098014	-2.74%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.099205	-2.90%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0409	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.101216	-2.99%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0624	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.09589	-2.75%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0267	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.10181	-3.09%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0754	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.107437	-3.55%	0.102	-8.43%	0.1016	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.100102	-3.42%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0296	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.088754	-3.03%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0698	✗	1.00