DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

109

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

37.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4511

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0746

actual +0.3186

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.344181	-14.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.350269	-12.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.348381	-12.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.348988	-12.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.336534	-11.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.35447	-12.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.341823	-11.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.361033	-12.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.364747	-12.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.392418	-12.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.382641	-13.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.428011	-13.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.458499	-14.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.430564	-16.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.370983	-15.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.32669	-12.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.351818	-13.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.35632	-13.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.360773	-13.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.334244	-13.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.346486	-12.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.346194	-12.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.341861	-12.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.336195	-11.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.326545	-11.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.382929	-12.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.365099	-11.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.391672	-11.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.396654	-12.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.414693	-14.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.379713	-12.97%	0.40159	-7.96%	0.0884	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.351771	-12.99%	0.402115	-0.54%	0.1766	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.330787	-15.51%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.1534	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.347136	-22.25%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.1276	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.25154	-14.79%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3962	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.216741	-15.03%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.5279	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.205625	-15.92%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.5347	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.12723	-7.17%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0605	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.131679	-6.60%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0927	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.13412	-6.58%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.1019	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.140736	-6.13%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0633	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.139996	-5.73%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1548	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.139182	-5.77%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2439	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.146449	-4.96%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.1870	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.156301	-4.65%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9725	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.151924	-3.54%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8282	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.161809	-2.02%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8365	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.16909	-1.83%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.7918	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.147909	-1.16%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9163	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.15805	-0.32%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8292	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.140928	-1.94%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.8999	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.141333	-1.06%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.8893	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.154786	+0.67%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8463	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.157989	+1.07%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.7885	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.175947	+2.35%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.6720	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.173891	+2.63%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.8291	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.183265	+3.84%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.7587	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.172355	+3.26%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.8811	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.151591	+2.40%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0211	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.167638	+2.33%	0.48606	+196.71%	0.9967	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.131935	+0.64%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.0979	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.114149	+0.71%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1570	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.119824	+0.79%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1518	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.095453	-3.07%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4724	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.094093	-4.66%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0313	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.088405	-5.42%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9400	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.089994	-6.03%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8789	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.093978	-9.21%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.2234	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.086961	-6.47%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.3028	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.087026	-6.16%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3344	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.089502	-5.77%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3515	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.092742	-5.98%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.3061	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.091783	-5.99%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3200	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.08772	-6.05%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3923	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.09037	-6.90%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4378	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.090675	-6.87%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3884	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.090471	-6.62%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4248	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.090764	-7.20%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4588	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.093659	-7.15%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2936	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.094452	-7.10%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3175	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.09038	-6.98%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.3004	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.092273	-7.45%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2727	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.09711	-8.17%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2639	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.104076	-10.81%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.2208	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.087973	-6.98%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4545	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.089976	-6.93%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.4037	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.094875	-8.03%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3527	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.09728	-8.08%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2859	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.105012	-8.35%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1373	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.104004	-8.51%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.2206	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.105801	-7.98%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0061	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.109397	-8.16%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1554	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.112073	-7.83%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1312	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.111292	-7.21%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2269	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.113819	-8.00%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2145	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.113414	-7.85%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.1933	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.116246	-7.81%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.1879	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.119047	-8.37%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1192	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.123277	-8.88%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.2673	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.129776	-11.02%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3030	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.134493	-13.34%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3185	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.107349	-8.17%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.0974	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.112977	-8.39%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1438	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.113514	-8.47%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.1968	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.107786	-8.44%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1121	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.105126	-8.08%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.0943	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.100157	-8.15%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0592	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.101771	-7.93%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0488	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.104754	-7.83%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0433	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.103329	-7.89%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0206	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.098951	-8.10%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0218	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.100693	-8.72%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0195	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.101892	-9.11%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0236	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.095511	-11.00%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1706	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.100079	-11.91%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1375	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.095014	-10.09%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0376	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.090408	-11.08%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0683	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.079132	-9.38%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.2357	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.076118	-8.25%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.3237	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.076603	-7.75%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.3206	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.076834	-7.18%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3535	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.080098	-7.04%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3591	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.081328	-6.81%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3694	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.084112	-7.36%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.3043	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.090611	-8.04%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2961	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.087528	-7.99%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.3220	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.086287	-8.27%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3494	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.090151	-7.93%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3741	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.092815	-7.58%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.4053	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.093628	-8.21%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4670	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.091833	-8.96%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.5357	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.090562	-10.13%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2894	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.091628	-10.32%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2940	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.093643	-10.25%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2777	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.088535	-10.21%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.2422	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.093315	-11.18%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1796	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.097779	-12.22%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.1223	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.091426	-11.79%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1895	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.081215	-11.27%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2855	✗	1.00