DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s5

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

137

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

57.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0536

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0065

actual +0.0087

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.384767	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.397003	-0.44%	0.386075	-3.18%	0.0237	✓	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.397241	-0.40%	0.398745	-0.02%	0.0154	✓	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.380786	-0.28%	0.39882	+4.44%	0.0492	✗	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.401298	-0.43%	0.38187	-5.25%	0.0604	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.385846	-0.35%	0.403015	+4.08%	0.0456	✗	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.409077	-0.53%	0.387205	-5.85%	0.0444	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.414112	-0.55%	0.41127	-1.23%	0.0164	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.447749	-0.69%	0.416385	-7.64%	0.0468	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.437908	-0.66%	0.450845	+2.28%	0.0060	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.492337	-0.80%	0.4408	-11.19%	0.0739	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.533687	-0.91%	0.49633	-7.85%	0.0874	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.509943	-1.13%	0.538615	+4.43%	0.0476	✗	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.43318	-0.82%	0.515775	+18.10%	0.1583	✗	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.371967	-0.42%	0.436745	+16.92%	0.1926	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.404718	-0.71%	0.373545	-8.35%	0.0363	✓	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.408993	-0.75%	0.407595	-1.09%	0.0006	✓	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.413549	-0.82%	0.41208	-1.17%	0.0108	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.38193	-0.68%	0.41695	+8.43%	0.0545	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.393737	-0.68%	0.38453	-3.00%	0.0282	✓	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.392396	-0.70%	0.39644	+0.32%	0.0168	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.387202	-0.67%	0.395175	+1.37%	0.0041	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.379165	-0.66%	0.38983	+2.13%	0.0293	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.367162	-0.64%	0.381685	+3.29%	0.0354	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.43143	-0.88%	0.36952	-15.10%	0.1383	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.409498	-0.84%	0.43524	+5.40%	0.0602	✗	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.440212	-0.91%	0.412955	-7.04%	0.0691	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.449141	-0.99%	0.44425	-2.07%	0.0063	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.480206	-1.20%	0.45364	-6.67%	0.0570	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.431638	-1.07%	0.48606	+11.40%	0.1485	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.39984	-1.10%	0.436315	+7.92%	0.0938	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.386644	-1.24%	0.4043	+3.27%	0.0555	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.438124	-1.88%	0.391515	-12.32%	0.1111	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.291103	-1.38%	0.446505	+51.26%	0.4210	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.251208	-1.52%	0.29519	+15.72%	0.0780	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.24003	-1.86%	0.25509	+4.30%	0.0570	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.136822	-0.17%	0.24457	+78.45%	0.5708	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.140568	-0.30%	0.13705	-2.79%	0.0211	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.143071	-0.34%	0.140985	-1.79%	0.0396	✓	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.149244	-0.45%	0.14356	-4.24%	0.0305	✓	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.147819	-0.46%	0.14992	+0.95%	0.0131	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.147039	-0.45%	0.148505	+0.54%	0.0020	✓	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.153236	-0.56%	0.147705	-4.15%	0.0061	✓	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.16285	-0.66%	0.154095	-6.00%	0.0524	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.15652	-0.62%	0.16393	+4.08%	0.0576	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.163937	-0.73%	0.1575	-4.63%	0.0183	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.170481	-1.02%	0.16514	-4.12%	0.0406	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.148697	-0.63%	0.17224	+15.10%	0.1441	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.157281	-0.81%	0.14964	-5.63%	0.0216	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.142918	-0.55%	0.15856	+10.33%	0.0285	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.142047	-0.56%	0.14371	+0.61%	0.0134	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.152775	-0.64%	0.14284	-7.10%	0.0485	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.155264	-0.68%	0.153755	-1.64%	0.0243	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.170503	-0.81%	0.15632	-9.06%	0.0789	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.16786	-0.93%	0.1719	+1.45%	0.0183	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.174576	-1.08%	0.16944	-3.99%	0.0031	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.165101	-1.09%	0.17649	+5.74%	0.0501	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.146681	-0.92%	0.166915	+12.75%	0.1226	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.161744	-1.26%	0.14804	-9.63%	0.0826	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.130054	-0.79%	0.163815	+24.96%	0.2156	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.11259	-0.66%	0.13109	+15.66%	0.1441	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.117723	-0.97%	0.11334	-4.66%	0.0231	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.097979	-0.50%	0.11888	+20.72%	0.1470	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.098137	-0.56%	0.098475	-0.22%	0.0344	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.092987	-0.52%	0.09869	+5.58%	0.0098	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.095116	-0.68%	0.093475	-2.39%	0.0197	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.102077	-1.38%	0.095765	-7.48%	0.0853	✓	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.092664	-0.33%	0.10351	+11.33%	0.1131	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.092445	-0.32%	0.092975	+0.25%	0.0051	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.094645	-0.35%	0.09274	-2.36%	0.0144	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.098238	-0.41%	0.09498	-3.71%	0.0339	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.097259	-0.38%	0.09864	+1.03%	0.0157	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.093079	-0.31%	0.097635	+4.57%	0.0528	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.096618	-0.47%	0.093365	-3.82%	0.0222	✓	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.096853	-0.52%	0.09707	-0.30%	0.0030	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.096375	-0.53%	0.09736	+0.49%	0.0099	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.097248	-0.57%	0.096885	-0.94%	0.0118	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.100253	-0.62%	0.097805	-3.04%	0.0204	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.101067	-0.59%	0.100875	-0.78%	0.0091	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.096742	-0.43%	0.10167	+4.64%	0.0421	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.09925	-0.45%	0.09716	-2.55%	0.0208	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.105208	-0.52%	0.0997	-5.73%	0.0639	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.11566	-0.88%	0.105755	-9.37%	0.0887	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.094571	-0.00%	0.116685	+23.38%	0.2439	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.096723	+0.04%	0.094575	-2.18%	0.0374	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.103129	-0.03%	0.09668	-6.28%	0.0655	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.10578	-0.05%	0.10316	-2.53%	0.0279	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.114275	-0.26%	0.105835	-7.63%	0.0481	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.113414	-0.23%	0.114575	+0.79%	0.0081	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.114722	-0.22%	0.113675	-1.13%	0.0129	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.118684	-0.36%	0.11498	-3.47%	0.0148	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.121054	-0.45%	0.119115	-2.04%	0.0015	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.119419	-0.43%	0.121595	+1.38%	0.0253	✗	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.123067	-0.52%	0.11994	-3.05%	0.0491	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.122418	-0.53%	0.123715	+0.52%	0.0008	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.125384	-0.57%	0.12307	-2.40%	0.0165	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.129113	-0.62%	0.1261	-2.94%	0.0409	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.134321	-0.71%	0.129925	-3.96%	0.0357	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.144249	-1.09%	0.135285	-7.24%	0.0464	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.152722	-1.60%	0.145845	-6.03%	0.0410	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.116209	-0.59%	0.1552	+32.77%	0.2594	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.122475	-0.69%	0.116895	-5.22%	0.0314	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.123119	-0.73%	0.12333	-0.56%	0.0020	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.116773	-0.80%	0.12402	+5.35%	0.0639	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.113598	-0.67%	0.11772	+2.93%	0.0259	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.108326	-0.66%	0.11437	+4.88%	0.0450	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.109774	-0.69%	0.10905	-1.35%	0.0040	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.112836	-0.72%	0.11054	-2.74%	0.0142	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.111367	-0.73%	0.11365	+1.31%	0.0164	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.106863	-0.75%	0.11218	+4.19%	0.0440	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.109357	-0.86%	0.10767	-2.39%	0.0211	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.111043	-0.95%	0.11031	-1.60%	0.0177	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.105863	-1.36%	0.112105	+4.46%	0.0414	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.111985	-1.43%	0.10732	-5.54%	0.0621	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.104627	-1.00%	0.11361	+7.50%	0.1076	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.10079	-0.87%	0.10568	+3.94%	0.0371	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.087063	-0.29%	0.10167	+16.43%	0.1621	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082808	-0.18%	0.08732	+5.26%	0.0542	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.082928	-0.13%	0.08296	-0.10%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.082681	-0.11%	0.08304	+0.32%	0.0255	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.086015	-0.17%	0.082775	-3.93%	0.0115	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.087108	-0.19%	0.08616	-1.28%	0.0097	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.09059	-0.23%	0.087275	-3.88%	0.0485	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.09816	-0.38%	0.090795	-7.86%	0.0625	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.094819	-0.33%	0.098535	+3.58%	0.0267	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.093775	-0.31%	0.09513	+1.13%	0.0049	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.09754	-0.39%	0.09407	-3.93%	0.0116	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.100015	-0.41%	0.09792	-2.50%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.101541	-0.45%	0.10043	-1.54%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.100392	-0.47%	0.102	+1.12%	0.0073	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.100236	-0.53%	0.10087	+0.10%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.101608	-0.55%	0.10077	-1.37%	0.0222	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.10375	-0.57%	0.10217	-2.08%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.098132	-0.47%	0.10434	+5.82%	0.0275	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.104434	-0.60%	0.0986	-6.15%	0.0536	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.110532	-0.77%	0.10506	-5.68%	0.0287	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.102939	-0.69%	0.11139	+7.47%	0.0827	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.09104	-0.54%	0.10365	+13.24%	0.0902	✗	1.00