DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s5

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

61.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0664

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0423

actual -0.0084

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	14.4415	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.0104	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.823	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.7785	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.7545	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.0773	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.4321	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.3707	-4.84%	15.295	-5.31%	0.0271	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.5714	-4.85%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0528	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.6025	-4.47%	14.512	-11.15%	0.0733	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.924	-4.57%	14.454	-13.38%	0.0803	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.1581	-4.34%	14.407	-14.71%	0.0999	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.6984	-4.50%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1141	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.6265	-4.33%	15.122	-12.98%	0.0990	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.2397	-4.70%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0492	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.4627	-4.87%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0427	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.62	-4.93%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0394	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.4486	-4.94%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0190	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.4154	-4.82%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0135	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.3764	-4.81%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0244	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.3216	-4.67%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0326	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.5807	-4.63%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0312	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.321	-4.39%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0403	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.0767	-4.15%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0605	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.7009	-4.42%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0171	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.488	-4.30%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0421	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	16.9821	-4.06%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0683	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.4751	-4.34%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0347	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.4794	-4.35%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0610	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.8578	-4.65%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0402	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.2597	-3.96%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0606	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.5421	-4.39%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0803	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.7266	-4.44%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0571	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.9195	-4.62%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0127	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.1186	-4.35%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0419	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.0917	-3.79%	18.275	+16.51%	0.1061	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.2449	-3.44%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1626	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	15.9755	-4.29%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0412	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.6206	-4.35%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0608	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.3596	-4.35%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0930	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.1845	-4.34%	17.739	+11.76%	0.1199	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	14.8752	-4.39%	16.852	+8.32%	0.1267	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	15.7329	-4.53%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0174	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.455	-5.20%	14.752	-15.02%	0.0821	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.1837	-3.83%	16.692	+5.72%	0.1036	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	15.9254	-4.06%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0590	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.2749	-3.88%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0745	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.0488	-3.27%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0761	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.0408	-1.77%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1498	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.506	-3.17%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1880	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	13.9164	-3.26%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.2091	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.1473	-2.73%	15.789	+8.56%	0.1040	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	13.6834	-2.73%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1643	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	13.9033	-2.45%	15.892	+11.50%	0.1166	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	13.7736	-2.52%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.1021	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	13.7241	-1.49%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0299	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.6041	-1.78%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0443	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.4146	-1.83%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0824	✗	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.6162	-1.70%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0706	✗	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	13.9173	-2.34%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0114	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.6059	-2.71%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0331	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	12.7331	-2.09%	14.129	+8.64%	0.1097	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.5516	-3.37%	13.932	+16.54%	0.1055	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.4383	-4.11%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0697	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.2106	-4.28%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0028	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.5308	-4.53%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0278	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.4389	-4.42%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0051	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.5124	-4.36%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0180	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.4622	-4.24%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1041	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.6355	-4.16%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1215	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.7467	-4.08%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.0784	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.4071	-4.45%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.0766	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.2092	-4.49%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0202	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.3293	-4.81%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0038	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.1734	-4.88%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0201	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.1523	-4.71%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0167	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	11.9324	-4.62%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0312	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.352	-4.82%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0110	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.7108	-5.03%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0300	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.5992	-5.06%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0070	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.5707	-4.99%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0074	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.4625	-4.88%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0094	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.5113	-4.92%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0155	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.9125	-5.10%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0241	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.1915	-3.93%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1372	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.1454	-3.76%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1800	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.7953	-3.47%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.2099	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.2415	-3.80%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1904	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.1607	-3.63%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1836	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.1769	-3.59%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1823	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.5246	-3.91%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1709	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	11.9251	-4.37%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0084	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.0201	-4.59%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0014	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.1066	-4.89%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0566	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.0911	-4.94%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0440	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.087	-4.95%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0353	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	11.9707	-4.87%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0349	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.6665	-5.02%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.0741	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	12.8034	-5.17%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0470	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.0291	-5.34%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0564	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	11.7953	-5.74%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0363	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.5771	-5.09%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0808	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.7861	-4.15%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1503	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.7049	-4.08%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1650	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.5733	-3.98%	13.336	+21.10%	0.2237	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.5374	-3.95%	13.502	+23.07%	0.2128	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.5687	-4.03%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2405	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.7388	-4.25%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1779	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.6636	-4.32%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.1322	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.7859	-4.42%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0325	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	10.9606	-4.55%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0056	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.6747	-4.54%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0064	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.4442	-4.53%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0155	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.2438	-4.52%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0015	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.7346	-4.84%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0101	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.5694	-4.83%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0045	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	10.9208	-4.94%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0112	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.6502	-4.88%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0405	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.3934	-5.17%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0488	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.5231	-5.39%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0392	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.6914	-4.34%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0653	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.0145	-4.33%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0791	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.9619	-4.12%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0682	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.3732	-4.21%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0792	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.1522	-4.00%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0603	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.0459	-3.77%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0440	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.5627	-3.96%	12.179	+1.15%	0.1072	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.8929	-4.01%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0157	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.1603	-4.02%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.2869	-4.10%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0337	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.7529	-3.99%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.5654	-3.88%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.6961	-3.91%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.4465	-3.26%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.5779	-3.21%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.8377	-3.53%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.9534	-3.46%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0321	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.9732	-2.58%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0350	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.8473	-2.10%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0248	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.718	-3.30%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.9408	-3.90%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1227	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.1285	-4.19%	11.962	-18.88%	0.0889	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.8902	-4.64%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0705	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.2259	-4.85%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0564	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.