DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s5

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +1d

assessed

143

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

55.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0236

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0089

actual -0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.6261	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.6023	-0.99%	14.773	+0.16%	0.0138	✗	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.3799	-0.91%	14.749	+1.63%	0.0152	✗	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.3259	-0.89%	14.512	+0.40%	0.0145	✗	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.2869	-0.83%	14.454	+0.33%	0.0059	✓	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.6264	-0.83%	14.407	-2.32%	0.0140	✓	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.9964	-0.83%	14.749	-2.47%	0.0110	✓	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	16.0087	-0.89%	15.122	-6.38%	0.0621	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.216	-0.91%	16.153	-1.30%	0.0101	✗	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.2011	-0.80%	16.365	+0.20%	0.0024	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.5442	-0.85%	16.3325	-2.12%	0.0064	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.7589	-0.78%	16.686	-1.22%	0.0117	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.3379	-0.84%	16.8915	-3.39%	0.0296	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.2409	-0.79%	17.4845	+0.61%	0.0059	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.919	-0.94%	17.3785	-3.93%	0.0159	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.165	-1.04%	18.089	-1.45%	0.0164	✗	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.3341	-1.07%	18.356	-0.96%	0.0031	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.1552	-1.09%	18.533	+0.97%	0.0274	✗	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	18.1091	-1.02%	18.355	+0.32%	0.0026	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	18.0677	-1.03%	18.2965	+0.23%	0.0104	✗	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.9911	-0.99%	18.255	+0.46%	0.0177	✗	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.2548	-0.97%	18.171	-1.43%	0.0167	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.9522	-0.90%	18.434	+1.76%	0.0273	✗	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.6675	-0.84%	18.116	+1.68%	0.0234	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.3456	-0.94%	17.8165	-3.79%	0.0197	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.1084	-0.90%	18.519	+1.35%	0.0220	✗	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.5539	-0.83%	18.273	+3.24%	0.0370	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.1	-0.92%	17.7	-3.11%	0.0196	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.1058	-0.93%	18.268	-0.04%	0.0089	✓	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.5347	-1.04%	18.275	-2.42%	0.0042	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.8167	-0.86%	18.729	+4.22%	0.0535	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.1423	-0.92%	17.971	+3.87%	0.0058	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.337	-0.95%	17.302	-1.15%	0.0013	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.5581	-1.02%	17.503	-1.33%	0.0068	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.7003	-0.90%	17.739	+5.26%	0.0124	✗	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.5747	-0.71%	16.852	+7.43%	0.0766	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.6652	-0.59%	15.686	+6.33%	0.0610	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.5456	-0.88%	14.752	-11.62%	0.0895	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.1878	-0.88%	16.692	+2.21%	0.0173	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.9163	-0.89%	16.3315	+1.70%	0.0303	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.7321	-0.89%	16.0585	+1.17%	0.0200	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.4167	-0.91%	15.873	+2.02%	0.0225	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.3104	-1.03%	15.558	-5.59%	0.0306	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.1302	-1.32%	16.4795	-5.06%	0.0372	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.6531	-0.86%	17.3585	+9.94%	0.1097	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.4295	-1.02%	15.789	-4.88%	0.0280	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.7231	-1.06%	16.599	+4.45%	0.0495	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.4411	-0.75%	15.892	+2.15%	0.0274	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.2439	-0.35%	15.5575	+8.84%	0.1038	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.861	-0.62%	14.294	+2.48%	0.0128	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.2863	-0.69%	13.9475	-3.04%	0.0230	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.4533	-0.63%	14.385	-1.10%	0.0081	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	13.9909	-0.54%	14.5445	+3.39%	0.0290	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.1785	-0.52%	14.067	-1.30%	0.0017	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.0523	-0.54%	14.2525	+0.87%	0.0099	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	13.8847	-0.34%	14.129	+1.41%	0.0445	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.7932	-0.42%	13.932	+0.58%	0.0038	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.6022	-0.46%	13.851	+1.36%	0.0126	✗	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.7814	-0.50%	13.665	-1.34%	0.0035	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.1495	-0.71%	13.851	-2.81%	0.0354	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.8736	-0.80%	14.251	+1.90%	0.0192	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	12.9366	-0.53%	13.985	+7.53%	0.0929	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.8669	-0.74%	13.0055	+8.79%	0.0310	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8227	-0.89%	11.955	+0.22%	0.0372	✓	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.6091	-0.88%	11.9285	+1.84%	0.0443	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.9624	-0.95%	11.7125	-3.02%	0.0244	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.8603	-0.90%	12.0775	+0.91%	0.0091	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.9304	-0.89%	11.9685	-0.57%	0.0062	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.868	-0.85%	12.037	+0.56%	0.0134	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.0378	-0.84%	11.97	-1.40%	0.0019	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.1444	-0.83%	12.14	-0.87%	0.0006	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.8638	-0.93%	12.246	-5.69%	0.0472	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.6627	-0.95%	12.985	+1.58%	0.0315	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.8167	-1.04%	12.7835	-1.30%	0.0129	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.6628	-1.06%	12.952	+1.20%	0.0236	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.626	-0.99%	12.798	+0.36%	0.0133	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.3896	-0.96%	12.7525	+1.94%	0.0187	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.8424	-1.04%	12.51	-3.60%	0.0207	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.2377	-1.10%	12.977	-3.04%	0.0291	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.1232	-1.11%	13.3845	+0.86%	0.0099	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	13.0833	-1.11%	13.2705	+0.30%	0.0148	✗	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.9559	-1.12%	13.2305	+0.98%	0.0085	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	13.0014	-1.19%	13.1025	-0.42%	0.0088	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.4297	-1.30%	13.158	-3.29%	0.0113	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.5528	-0.83%	13.606	+16.79%	0.1510	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.4918	-0.77%	11.6495	+0.59%	0.0129	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.1094	-0.66%	11.581	+3.56%	0.0392	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5956	-0.76%	11.183	-4.30%	0.0117	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.4995	-0.70%	11.685	+0.90%	0.0005	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.514	-0.69%	11.5805	-0.11%	0.0026	✓	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.9004	-0.78%	11.5935	-3.34%	0.0118	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.3562	-0.91%	11.9935	-3.82%	0.0149	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.476	-0.97%	12.47	-1.02%	0.0056	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.5944	-1.06%	12.5985	-1.03%	0.0188	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.5823	-1.08%	12.729	+0.07%	0.0037	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.5725	-1.13%	12.72	+0.03%	0.0134	✗	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.442	-1.13%	12.716	+1.05%	0.0082	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.1661	-1.27%	12.584	-5.64%	0.0471	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.3046	-1.46%	13.336	-1.23%	0.0168	✗	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.5422	-1.61%	13.502	-1.90%	0.0011	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.2921	-1.77%	13.764	+10.00%	0.0762	✗	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.0301	-1.37%	12.513	+2.59%	0.0607	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.1516	-0.90%	12.1975	+8.39%	0.0901	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0639	-0.86%	11.253	+0.83%	0.0220	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.9208	-0.83%	11.16	+1.34%	0.0083	✓	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.8815	-0.82%	11.012	+0.37%	0.0015	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.9192	-0.84%	10.971	-0.37%	0.0205	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.114	-0.91%	11.012	-1.82%	0.0005	✓	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.0427	-0.92%	11.216	+0.64%	0.0096	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.1782	-0.94%	11.145	-1.24%	0.0102	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.3705	-0.98%	11.2845	-1.73%	0.0160	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.0745	-0.97%	11.4835	+2.69%	0.0210	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.8364	-0.95%	11.1825	+2.22%	0.0088	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.6293	-0.93%	10.94	+1.97%	0.0070	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.1637	-1.04%	10.729	-4.89%	0.0156	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.9906	-1.04%	11.281	+1.58%	0.0162	✗	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.3607	-1.11%	11.106	-3.33%	0.0161	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.0686	-1.15%	11.4885	+2.60%	0.0382	✗	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.8154	-1.32%	11.197	+2.16%	0.0305	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	12.0163	-1.34%	10.96	-10.01%	0.0760	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.0796	-0.87%	12.179	+8.96%	0.1190	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.4108	-0.88%	11.177	-2.91%	0.0021	✓	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.3409	-0.81%	11.5125	+0.70%	0.0049	✓	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.7717	-0.85%	11.433	-3.71%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.526	-0.78%	11.873	+2.20%	0.0180	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.397	-0.71%	11.617	+1.20%	0.0097	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.9438	-0.80%	11.479	-4.66%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.2862	-0.84%	12.04	-2.82%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.5605	-0.86%	12.39	-2.21%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.6997	-0.88%	12.67	-1.11%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.1406	-0.83%	12.812	+4.66%	0.0342	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.9388	-0.77%	12.242	+1.75%	0.0111	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.0785	-0.77%	12.032	-1.15%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.7652	-0.56%	12.172	+2.87%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.8967	-0.55%	11.832	-1.09%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.1922	-0.64%	11.962	-2.52%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.304	-0.63%	12.271	-0.90%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.2439	-0.38%	12.382	+0.75%	0.0283	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.0719	-0.25%	12.29	+1.55%	0.0209	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	13.0766	-0.57%	12.102	-7.98%	0.0330	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.3995	-0.73%	13.152	-9.33%	0.0870	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.6253	-0.82%	14.506	-1.63%	0.0319	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.4666	-0.94%	14.746	-5.56%	0.0198	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.8373	-1.03%	15.614	-2.42%	0.0170	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.