DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s5

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

49.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1189

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0764

actual +0.0158

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	13.6651	-10.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	13.0742	-11.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	12.8483	-11.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	12.7941	-11.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	12.8087	-11.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	13.1772	-10.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	13.5827	-10.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	14.3964	-10.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	14.7179	-10.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	14.6285	-10.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.1417	-9.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	15.2147	-9.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	15.6785	-10.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	15.5572	-10.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	16.1724	-10.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	16.5291	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	16.6792	-10.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	16.5201	-10.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	16.4702	-9.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	16.3853	-10.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	16.3595	-9.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	16.561	-10.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	16.331	-9.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.1042	-9.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	16.6165	-10.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	16.4332	-10.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	15.9928	-9.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	16.4546	-9.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	16.5212	-9.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	16.8895	-9.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	16.3135	-9.22%	15.295	-14.89%	0.0409	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	15.6561	-9.51%	14.749	-14.76%	0.0774	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	15.8898	-9.22%	14.512	-17.09%	0.0967	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.0899	-9.30%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1188	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	15.2958	-9.23%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1130	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	14.3349	-8.61%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0280	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	13.5308	-8.28%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0411	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	15.2164	-8.84%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0280	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	14.9005	-8.76%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0345	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	14.7435	-8.19%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0600	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	14.6879	-7.47%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0657	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	14.4384	-7.20%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0955	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	15.4008	-6.55%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0879	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.0962	-7.27%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0470	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	14.9701	-5.19%	18.089	+14.57%	0.1498	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	15.8185	-4.70%	18.356	+10.58%	0.1017	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.2063	-4.31%	18.533	+16.62%	0.1444	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	14.8667	-4.44%	18.355	+17.98%	0.1512	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.0219	-1.90%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.2331	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.2603	-4.93%	18.255	+30.88%	0.2420	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	13.7805	-4.20%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1952	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.1942	-2.41%	18.434	+26.74%	0.2082	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	13.6025	-3.30%	18.116	+28.78%	0.2235	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	13.9439	-2.17%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1903	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	13.8299	-2.12%	18.519	+31.07%	0.2228	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	13.9492	+0.12%	18.273	+31.16%	0.2258	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.8356	-0.11%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1915	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.6951	+0.22%	18.268	+33.68%	0.2254	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.9717	+0.87%	18.275	+31.94%	0.2113	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.1642	-0.61%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1881	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.7541	-1.65%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1647	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	12.8568	-1.14%	17.302	+33.04%	0.2644	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.3206	-5.31%	17.503	+46.41%	0.3437	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.1443	-6.57%	17.739	+48.71%	0.3217	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	10.8301	-7.53%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2705	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.1132	-7.98%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1715	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	10.9935	-8.15%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0988	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.0822	-7.93%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1818	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.0288	-7.86%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1829	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.2041	-7.71%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1516	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.2935	-7.78%	15.873	+29.62%	0.1325	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	11.8195	-8.98%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0780	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	11.6263	-9.05%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.1339	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	11.737	-9.38%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1892	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	11.6359	-9.08%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0955	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	11.7068	-8.20%	16.599	+30.16%	0.1227	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	11.5302	-7.83%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0918	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	11.9091	-8.23%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0465	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.19	-8.92%	14.294	+6.80%	0.0951	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.0936	-8.87%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.0682	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.1032	-8.52%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0388	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.0144	-8.30%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0490	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.0339	-8.54%	14.067	+6.91%	0.0707	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.3662	-9.11%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.0606	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	10.8017	-7.28%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0746	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	10.6964	-7.64%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0395	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.3097	-7.81%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0851	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	10.7696	-7.83%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0616	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	10.7378	-7.28%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0566	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	10.7843	-6.98%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0929	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.1196	-7.29%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0677	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	11.5431	-7.43%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0408	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	11.7156	-7.01%	11.955	-5.11%	0.0676	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	11.8312	-7.05%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.0506	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	11.9128	-6.35%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0169	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	11.9887	-5.72%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0122	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	11.8778	-5.61%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0238	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.4886	-6.35%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0252	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	12.5874	-6.77%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0235	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	12.7156	-7.62%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0224	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	11.5759	-7.49%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0405	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.3508	-6.94%	12.985	+6.46%	0.1375	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.5384	-6.35%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1912	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.4324	-6.52%	12.952	+16.06%	0.2063	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.3179	-6.30%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1912	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.2673	-6.41%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1792	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.2793	-6.65%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1829	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.4198	-7.10%	12.977	+15.70%	0.2110	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.3748	-6.91%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.2481	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.5159	-6.81%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.2272	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	10.6888	-6.92%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1989	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.4143	-6.87%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.2108	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.2086	-6.69%	13.158	+20.27%	0.2116	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.0489	-6.34%	13.606	+26.82%	0.2126	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.5023	-6.90%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0511	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.3784	-6.55%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0486	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	10.71	-6.78%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0090	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.4592	-6.59%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0386	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.2161	-6.79%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0638	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.1298	-8.61%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0034	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.2074	-8.68%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.1270	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	10.4756	-9.01%	12.47	+8.32%	0.1446	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.3439	-9.53%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.1517	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	10.7285	-9.64%	12.729	+7.21%	0.1557	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	10.4515	-10.03%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1776	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	10.3381	-9.94%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1770	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	10.8377	-9.99%	12.584	+4.52%	0.1580	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.1796	-9.77%	13.336	+7.64%	0.2049	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	11.4281	-9.80%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1906	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	11.4123	-10.92%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1984	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	10.7544	-12.15%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1856	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	10.609	-11.83%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.1364	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	10.8126	-11.17%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	10.5884	-10.51%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0099	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	10.7609	-10.04%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.044	-10.00%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.1622	-9.85%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.1245	-9.48%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0423	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	10.962	-9.42%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0244	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	11.8164	-10.16%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0347	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	12.9357	-10.82%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.0951	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.0858	-11.26%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.0764	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	13.8568	-11.25%	10.94	-29.93%	0.0630	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.2356	-11.04%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0539	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.