CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s5
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +7d
assessed
103
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
31.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2621
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0417
actual +0.1228
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.069027 | 0.066522 | -3.63% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06897 | 0.066981 | -2.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.066976 | -2.56% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.065656 | -1.84% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.068764 | -2.43% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.071817 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.070787 | -2.69% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.075773 | -3.46% | 0.069027 | -12.06% | 0.0776 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.071419 | -3.16% | 0.06897 | -6.49% | 0.0163 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.084172 | -4.62% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2041 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.09094 | -6.30% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3063 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.08778 | -4.96% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2370 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.086959 | -5.89% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.1793 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.082423 | -4.86% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1366 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.07015 | -4.09% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.1171 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.068148 | -4.39% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0595 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.081899 | -6.91% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0409 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.071007 | -3.97% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2568 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.063077 | -3.37% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3443 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.066266 | -4.01% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.3084 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.069546 | -6.06% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1939 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.06622 | -5.19% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0586 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.066087 | -4.64% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0719 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.057593 | -3.75% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4488 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.054449 | -3.47% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3385 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.051867 | -3.22% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2589 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.049938 | -3.18% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3285 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.050403 | -3.31% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.3901 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.048279 | -3.34% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.3756 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.051138 | -3.71% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.2926 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.045288 | -3.25% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2455 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.044274 | -3.48% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.2017 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.042918 | -4.07% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2723 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.045322 | -5.12% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1780 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.053403 | -4.31% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0251 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.052206 | -5.05% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0960 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.056305 | -6.19% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0854 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.053079 | -7.40% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0593 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.058635 | -8.97% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.0782 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.04511 | -4.16% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0914 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.043345 | -3.40% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1872 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.043166 | -2.95% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3402 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.044146 | -2.90% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.2151 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.045938 | -3.18% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.2153 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.04565 | -2.43% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1577 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.045826 | -1.71% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.3184 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.04297 | +0.03% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0071 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044711 | +0.01% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0573 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045589 | +0.77% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0832 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.0488 | +0.04% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1893 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.069706 | -4.11% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3673 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.067811 | -3.89% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3526 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.065997 | -3.49% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3382 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.065803 | -3.46% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3796 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.066842 | -3.43% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3738 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.06757 | -3.37% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3684 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.064355 | -2.56% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2598 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.068528 | -2.95% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0287 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.067464 | -2.84% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0248 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.0672 | -2.36% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0101 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.067827 | -2.22% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0038 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.068684 | -2.02% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0287 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.066329 | -1.11% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0442 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.063896 | -1.32% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2045 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.066007 | -2.64% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3167 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.065442 | -5.12% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5423 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.0666 | -5.71% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5370 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.063267 | -5.76% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6706 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.058211 | -6.29% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7287 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.059166 | -9.43% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.7148 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.053342 | -5.99% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5621 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.051541 | -6.78% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.5064 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.049879 | -8.94% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3711 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.042578 | -7.71% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.5283 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.037317 | -5.25% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.5137 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.034761 | -5.83% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.5122 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.033682 | -6.36% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5930 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.028778 | -6.60% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6466 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026451 | -4.95% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6928 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.024075 | -5.10% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.8020 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.026151 | -5.24% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5846 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.027888 | -5.58% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3965 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.02575 | -5.62% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4459 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.035904 | -8.47% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0873 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.032112 | -6.99% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0590 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024889 | -4.51% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1437 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026015 | -4.70% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0159 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023125 | -3.97% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1663 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021769 | -3.39% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2207 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020317 | -3.19% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3189 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.02587 | -4.47% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4361 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.02275 | -3.55% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020525 | -3.08% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2727 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.01941 | -2.94% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3820 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020314 | -3.40% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1937 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017878 | -3.30% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2213 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018253 | -3.36% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1473 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018043 | -3.35% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.4031 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017815 | -3.27% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2608 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017776 | -3.14% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1541 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016037 | -2.52% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.1975 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018452 | -3.43% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0845 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016558 | -2.64% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0956 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015663 | -1.77% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1713 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019053 | -2.87% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021108 | -2.94% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1458 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021866 | -3.13% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2142 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020346 | -2.86% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2384 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020621 | -2.91% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0487 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022493 | -3.32% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2820 | ✓ | 1.00 |